Calgary vs Toronto Prediction 5 February 2025

🔊Who will take the upper hand in the Canadian derby? Calgary continues to struggle to maintain a position in the top-8 of the West. Recently, the club has been losing points more often than gaining them, making their tournament position increasingly vulnerable. Toronto, on the other hand, after a series of setbacks, managed to defeat one of the conference leaders for the first time in a long while.

📊 Head-to-Head

Last season, the opponents met twice, and the "Maple Leafs" came out on top in both cases (5:4 SO, 4:3). Both encounters were extremely hard-fought. The most productive player in those matches was Toronto forward Auston Matthews. The American scored a hat-trick and provided an assist in the second game, thus participating in all of his team's scoring actions. The player is still in excellent form and has scored points in six of the last eight matches.

🔥 Calgary

If the "Flames" want to make it to the Stanley Cup playoffs, the team needs to start fighting for a playoff spot now. However, it seems that the club does not understand this and regularly loses points at the most critical moment of the season. In the last five matches, Ryan Huska's team managed to defeat only Anaheim (4:1) and Seattle (3:2). This is clearly not enough for a successful fight for a spot in the Western Conference's playoff eight. Moreover, the club lacks even a minimal margin of safety.

🍁 Toronto

The "Maple Leafs" remain among the main favorites in the East but are experiencing serious problems achieving results. Craig Berube's team suffered three defeats in their last five matches, managing to beat only Tampa (5:3) and Edmonton (4:3). However, these local successes were made possible not by the actions of field players but rather in spite of them. In both cases, the result was brought by Joseph Woll's brilliant play at the last line of defense. Classic Toronto problems related to a lack of proper focus at crucial moments are starting to manifest in Ontario.

🔗 Probable Lineups

Calgary: Vladar - Hanley, Andersson - Huberdeau, Kadri, Farabee

Toronto: Woll - McCabe, Tanev - Knies, Matthews, Marner

🥅 Goalkeepers

Calgary goaltender Daniel Vladar plays rather infrequently and ineffectively this season. For instance, he failed against Winnipeg (81.5%) but later returned to the lineup and shone in the match against Seattle (93.5%). He clearly loses the battle for the number one spot to his young partner Dustin Wolf.

Toronto goaltender Joseph Woll is in excellent form. In his last five matches, the American consistently maintained a 90% save percentage, with his best performance coming against Edmonton. In that game, he managed to stop 45 out of 48 shots on his goal, becoming the first star of the match. This is exactly the kind of play expected from the 2017 World Junior Champion.

📝 Editorial Prediction

The matchups between these teams in recent years have been quite competitive but one-sided. The "Maple Leafs" usually gain points. The "Flames" have been unable to defeat their opponent on home ice in six of the last seven games. Overall, Calgary has not beaten Craig Berube's team in 9 out of 10 meetings. The current standings and form of the teams suggest this trend will continue. We recommend betting on - Toronto will not lose.