Spartak Moscow vs Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Prediction 4 November 2026
🔊 HC Spartak Moscow return home after a disappointing trip to Nizhny Novgorod. The Red-and-Whites conceded twice in the first six minutes and never recovered. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl also opened November with a defeat, despite putting 36 shots on goal against Lada without scoring. They now face a defence that has lost three of its last four games. But HC Spartak Moscow have a chance to do something no team have managed this season: hand Lokomotiv Yaroslavl back-to-back defeats.
Nine Games, One Win
📊 Last season left HC Spartak Moscow with painful memories of facing Lokomotiv Yaroslavl. Across four regular-season games and five Gagarin Cup playoff meetings, Spartak managed just one win. The first-round playoff series was particularly tough: Lokomotiv took it in five games, 4-1. Over the season, Lokomotiv outscored Spartak 33-19. Now Spartak must find a way past opponents who gave them little chance last season.
Head-to-head statistics Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
HC Spartak Moscow have lost their scoring touch
HC Spartak Moscow remain fourth in the Western Conference with 28 points, but their recent results have raised concerns. After a strong run, Alexei Zhamnov’s side have lost three of their last four games, falling to the Shanghai Dragons, Severstal and Torpedo. Two of those defeats came in shootouts. HC Spartak Moscow had picked up points in ten straight games before losing to Torpedo in regulation, though, and even during this dip in form, they have often stayed level through three periods.
In their latest game against Torpedo, HC Spartak Moscow conceded after just 15 seconds and were two goals down by the sixth minute. Ivan Fedotov was replaced by Artyom Zagidulin, but the deficit had grown to three by the midway point. HC Spartak Moscow improved in the second half and finished with a 31-20 advantage in shots on goal, yet managed just one goal from chances worth 2.5 expected goals. Ivan Ryabov scored on the power play after the goaltender was pulled for an extra skater, but there was not enough time to complete the comeback.
Match Results: Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl fail to score for the first time
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl are still battling CSKA for top spot in the Western Conference, and three wins in their last four games show that Dmitry Kvartalnov’s side rarely stay in a slump for long. Their victories over Severstal (1-0) and Sochi (6-2) were particularly telling: they found two very different ways to win. Kirill Yemelyanov and Matvey Kotkov scored twice each against Sochi, while 16-year-old Yakov Kazantsev became the youngest goaltender in KHL history.
Against Lada, however, Lokomotiv’s usual dominance was not enough to produce a goal. They outshot their opponents 36-18 but lost 1-0. Two Lokomotiv goals were ruled out, the first for goaltender interference and the second for offside. The hosts held a 15-5 edge in shots in the third period, only to concede on a counterattack in the 56th minute. Even a late push could not bring an equaliser. Maxim Beryozkin and Danil Romantsev have returned from injury, though, giving the team more options in attack.
Match Results: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
First-period prediction
HC Spartak Moscow have failed to score in the first period of five consecutive home games. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl have conceded an average of just 0.11 goals per first period on the road this season. Our pick is HC Spartak Moscow under 0.5 first-period goals at odds of 1.9.
Match result prediction
HC Spartak Moscow have avoided defeat in regulation in 10 of their last 11 KHL games. However, they have not won in regulation in nine straight head-to-head meetings with Lokomotiv Yaroslavl. A tie after regulation would fit both trends, but the head-to-head record remains a concern. Our pick is HC Spartak Moscow to avoid defeat in regulation at odds of 1.63.
Goals total prediction
HC Spartak Moscow have scored at least two goals in 10 of their last 11 KHL games. They have averaged 2.67 goals in recent home games, while Lokomotiv Yaroslavl have conceded an average of three in recent away games. Our pick is HC Spartak Moscow over 1.5 team goals at odds of 1.35.
Risky Bet
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl have won the first period in six of their last seven KHL away games. HC Spartak Moscow have failed to score in the first period in five straight home games. We’re backing Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win the first period at odds of 2.8.
Solid bet
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl have won the first period in six of their last seven KHL away games. HC Spartak Moscow have failed to win the first period in six of their last seven home head-to-head meetings. Our pick is Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to avoid defeat in the first period at odds of 1.33.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐️ Editor’s Prediction
The two teams’ latest defeats could hardly have been more different. HC Spartak Moscow effectively lost their game against Torpedo in the opening six minutes, while Lokomotiv Yaroslavl spent much of their game against Lada on the attack but could not find a way past Andrei Mishurov. Lokomotiv have another edge: they have not lost back-to-back games this season. The head-to-head record offers little comfort for the Moscow side, either. HC Spartak Moscow have gone nine straight games without beating Lokomotiv Yaroslavl in regulation and have failed to win inside 60 minutes in eight of their last nine home meetings. My pick: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to avoid defeat in regulation (X2).
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Betting Tips: Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
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