Spartak Moscow vs Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Prediction 30 March 2026
🔊 The Yaroslavl club have taken the lead for the second time in the series, with the last two games extending beyond regulation time. Can Spartak level the series again against the reigning Gagarin Cup champions? Let's dive into the matchups and statistical trends ahead of Game 3 in the first round of the Kontinental Hockey League 2026 playoffs.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the past three seasons, Lokomotiv and Spartak have faced off 15 times: the Yaroslavl club claimed victory in 11 matches, while the Moscow side won four. In the current round of 16 series in Yaroslavl, the teams traded wins: Lokomotiv took the first game (5-3), with Spartak bouncing back in the second (2-1 OT). In Moscow, the Volga team triumphed again (4-3 OT).
Head-to-head statistics Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

Spartak Moscow Team Overview
With an average scoring rate of 2.67 goals per game in the current playoffs, the Moscow club ranks sixth among the Gagarin Cup teams. They remain one of only two clubs with a shot conversion rate above 10%-currently at 11.11%, with 8 goals from 72 shots. In terms of average goals conceded (3.33), Spartak are second to last in the tournament.
The Moscow club has yet to achieve a consistent power play performance (20.0% conversion) due to Lokomotiv's disciplined play, having only been penalized five times. Spartak's penalty kill rate stands at 60.0%, the worst among all Gagarin Cup teams.
Match Results: Spartak Moscow

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Team Overview
With an average of 3.33 goals per game, Lokomotiv are the second-highest scoring team in the tournament. The Yaroslavl side perform equally well in the first and third periods, but they face challenges in the middle of the game. In terms of conversion rate (9.26%), the team from Volga ranks fifth among the 16 participating teams. Conceding an average of 2.67 goals per game, Lokomotiv fall outside the top 10 in defensive rankings.
The "Railwaymen" have converted two out of five power-play opportunities (40.0%), marking the best performance in the tournament. Their penalty-killing stats are also solid, with an 80.0% success rate in neutralizing penalties.
Match Results: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Latest news
Spartak Moscow
💬 Spartak's head coach Alexei Zhamnov: “I asked the forwards to be more active and aggressive in the offensive zone. The opponents are well-trained. But if we don't pose a threat, we won't score goals. The guys themselves see that it's possible to play against this team.”
❌ Spartak's injured list now includes forward Nikita Kholodilin. Defender Joseph Keane's participation in the upcoming game is questionable after he sustained an injury in the third match. Forward Brandon Biro has recently left the injury list.
↔️ After the victorious game, Alexei Zhamnov made only one change: Sergei Lukyantsev was forced to replace Nikita Kholodilin in the third forward line.
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
💬 Lokomotiv head coach Bob Hartley: “Two tough games with overtimes, we couldn't afford to lose two in a row, especially in overtime. It's a unique psychological aspect. Whether you win or lose, confidence can swing either way.”
❌ Lokomotiv's injury list is clear.
↔️ In the third game, Nikita Cherepanov returned from suspension. He stepped into the second defensive pair, pushing Mark Ulev out of the lineup. In the attack, Artyom Kuzin took over Alexander Volkov's spot.
⚡️ Leaders
The standout performer for Spartak in the current playoffs is Ivan Morozov, who has tallied 2 goals and 2 assists. The forward has registered points in each of the three games in the series. Daniil Gutik, with 2 goals, as well as Daniil Orlov and Yegor Filin, each with 2 assists, are also high on the scoring and assist charts of the Cup.
For Lokomotiv, Georgy Ivanov and Alexander Radulov lead the scoring race with 4 points each (2 goals, 2 assists). Ivanov has contributed in every game of the series. Byron Froese follows closely with 3 points (1 goal, 2 assists).
🥅 Goalies
After three games in the series, Alexander Georgiev has faced one of the heaviest workloads, with 107 shots directed at Spartak's net. He has successfully stopped 98 of them, boasting a save percentage of 91.6% and a goals-against average (GAA) of 2.68.
Daniil Isaev has saved 64 out of 72 shots. His save percentage stands at 88.9%, which is not the highest for one of the KHL's top goaltenders from the regular season. Isaev's GAA after two games is 2.37, placing him only 13th in this metric.
Editor's Prediction
Lokomotiv and high-scoring hockey over the long haul are complete opposites. Just take a look at two intriguing trends: This season, in the nine games following Lokomotiv's matches with a combined score of 6+ goals, none surpassed even five goals.
Lokomotiv's play in the playoffs is even more effective defensively. In recent years, after high-scoring games (6+ goals), the next match took on a more defensive nature, with all 12 games ending with no more than five goals scored. Trusting these compelling trends, we opt for under 5.5 total goals in the match.