Seattle vs Calgary Prediction 5 October 2026
๐ The season is just getting underway, and yet Seattle and Calgary are already set for their second clash. Their first meeting offered little suspense - the Kraken netted six goals, conceding just once in a dominant display. Following that, Lane Lambertโs side fell to Edmonton, while the Flames suffered another heavy defeat. Now, the teams head to Seattle, where the hosts will play their first home game of the campaign.
Five wins for Seattle
๐ So far this year, Calgary have yet to find a way past Seattle-Kraken have come out on top in all five head-to-head meetings. The teams faced off twice in preseason, with Lambertโs side prevailing both times (4-2) and (4-3 in a shootout). In the regular season, the gap has only widened: just a few days ago, Seattle routed the Flames 6-1.
Head-to-head statistics Seattle - Calgary

A solid performance, but no end product.
After putting six past Calgary, Seattle were unable to extend their winning streak in Edmonton, falling 1-3. The Kraken had a tough start, hampered by early penalties, but managed to settle into the game. Bobby McMann leveled the score on the power play, and in the second period, Seattle outshot the Oilers 10-4. Philipp Grubauer denied Leon Draisaitl on several occasions, keeping the score level for much of the contest.
The breakthrough came with just 2:27 left on the clock, as a deflection left the puck at Draisaitlโs feet right in front of goal. Edmonton sealed the win with an empty-netter. For Seattle, the key takeaway is that after a shaky first period, they imposed their style and remained in contention until the final whistle. Now, the Kraken return home for a rematch against Calgary. Melanson remains questionable.
Match Results: Seattle Kraken

Two matches, ten goals conceded
The start of the regular season has been rough for Calgary so far. After a heavy 1-6 defeat to Seattle, the Flames traveled to Vancouver and once again came away empty-handed, falling 1-4. This time, Ryan Huskaโs side struck first: Matt Coronato converted on the power play in the opening period. Heading into the final frame, Calgary held on to a narrow lead.
But everything changed in the third period, as Vancouver scored four unanswered goals. Devin Cooley finished the night with 22 saves, while the Flames were edged in shots on target, 24 to 26. At five-on-five, the difference in high-danger chances was also against them (6 to 9). Now, Calgary are set for their second game in as many days, facing a team that put five past them just a few nights ago. Huberdeau will miss out due to injury.
Match Results: Calgary Flames
Total Goals Prediction
The recent six-goal outburst against Calgary looks like an outlier in Seattleโs longer run of form. The Kraken have scored under 3.5 goals in 12 of their last 14 games, and at home against the Flames, theyโve stayed under this mark in seven of their last eight head-to-head meetings. Weโre backing Seattleโs individual total under 3.5 goals.
Outcome Prediction
Despite Calgaryโs disappointing start to the season, the Flames tend to keep things close when facing Seattle on the road. Calgary have covered the +1.5 puck line in eight of their last nine head-to-head meetings at Seattleโs arena. Backing Calgary with a +1.5 handicap looks like the smart play here.
โญ๏ธ Editorโs Prediction
Calgary have yet to find an answer for Seattle. The Kraken have taken all five head-to-head meetings in 2026, including three recent victories-twice in preseason and once already in the regular season. Their latest clash ended in a rout, with Seattle winning 6-1. Following that, the Kraken put in a strong performance against Edmonton, only conceding the game-winner with 2:27 left in regulation.
The situation is quite the opposite for the Flames. Calgary have dropped five of their last six games and have already allowed ten goals across their first two regular-season outings. To make matters worse, this will be their second game in as many nights, while the Kraken are making their home debut this season. Given these factors, the edge goes to the hosts once again. My pick: Seattle to win, including overtime and shootout.
