Dinamo vs Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Prediction 3 October 2026
🔊 Dmitry Kvartalnov returns to Minsk, this time at the helm of Lokomotiv. His new side heads into the trip on the back of two wins over Sibir, while Dinamo have just suffered a defeat to CSKA. The Minsk outfit spent plenty of time in the offensive zone but managed to convert only one of their chances. Now they face another tough opponent-Lokomotiv have conceded an average of just 1.6 goals per game in their September road fixtures.
All the home sides have come out on top.
📊 Last season, these teams faced off six times, with the home side coming out on top in every encounter. Remarkably, four of those clashes were decided beyond regulation, going all the way to a shootout. The most recent meeting saw Dinamo claim victory: after Artur Kayumov opened the scoring, Alex Limoges leveled the game, and Sam Anas sealed the win with the decisive shootout attempt (2-1). Lokomotiv have not won in Minsk since September 2023.
Head-to-head statistics Dinamo - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Plenty of time spent on the attack, but no end product.
In the second half of September, Dinamo’s offense came to life, averaging 3.6 goals per game. They could have picked up even more points, but a few late-game lapses cost them dearly. Dinamo Moscow leveled the score with just 41 seconds left on the clock, while Lada nearly completed a comeback from 0-5 down, closing the gap to a single goal. Against CSKA, the trouble started much earlier: Dinamo conceded twice in just 28 seconds during the opening period.
Dinamo spent 18 minutes and 45 seconds in the attacking zone compared to CSKA’s 7:37, but managed to score only once. Daniil Sotishvili netted their lone goal on the power play. After the game, Sergei Brylin singled out his team’s lack of net-front presence and second-chance efforts as key issues. Now, Dinamo will have to cope without Kalinin, Limoges, Melosh, and Obe-Kubel.
Match Results: Dinamo Minsk
Two matches, two wins
The end of September was a mixed bag for Lokomotiv. The Yaroslavl side first suffered a shutout loss to Barys and then fell 1-3 to Amur, before facing Sibir twice in quick succession. They came out on top in both encounters-winning 2-1 away and 3-1 at home. In the most recent meeting, Lokomotiv actually trailed 0-1 after two periods.
Everything changed in the final twenty minutes. Just 19 seconds into the third period, Rushan Rafikov leveled the score on the power play. With Sibir down a man again, Alexander Radulov put the hosts ahead. Artem Kuzin sealed the win with an empty-netter at the buzzer. In September, Lokomotiv conceded an average of just 1.6 goals per road game, with an away xGA of 2.13. Alekseev, Berezkin, and Romantsev remain sidelined through injury.
Match Results: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
⚡️ Key Players
Christopher Tierney has tallied 12 points in 10 games for Dynamo, netting two goals and adding 10 assists. Ty Smith has contributed 10 points (1 goal, 9 assists), while Sam Anas has appeared in seven contests, collecting eight points (3 goals, 5 assists).
Lokomotiv’s top scorer is Alexander Radulov, who has posted 11 points (5 goals, 6 assists) in 11 games. Egor Surin and Rushan Rafikov have each recorded eight points-Surin with a 4+4 split, Rafikov with 2 goals and 6 assists.
🥅 Goaltenders
Vasily Demchenko has featured in five games for Dynamo, picking up two wins. He boasts an 89.7% save percentage with a 2.65 goals-against average. Zach Fucale has played six times, earning one win with an 88.1% save rate and a 2.88 GAA.
Daniil Isaev has backstopped Lokomotiv to eight wins in 10 appearances, allowing just 13 goals on 206 shots for a stellar 93.7% save percentage and a 1.39 GAA. Alexei Melnichuk has played twice, earning one victory with an 87.8% save percentage and a 3.07 GAA.
⭐️ Editor’s Prediction
Lokomotiv’s recent games have been low-scoring affairs, with no more than four goals netted in each of their last four outings. A similar trend was evident in Minsk during last season’s championship-head-to-head clashes between Dinamo and Lokomotiv here averaged just four goals in regulation. In addition, the Yaroslavl side have conceded an average of only 1.6 goals per away game this September. With the visitors boasting such a solid defense, a high-scoring contest seems unlikely. My pick: under 5.5 total goals.
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