Severstal Cherepovec vs Shanghai Dragons Prediction 3 October 2026
🔊 Severstal wrap up their home stand with a clash against a side that, back in late September, left the SKA Arena with a perfect record. Shanghai are riding a four-game winning streak, having most recently halted Metallurg’s momentum. Severstal, meanwhile, saw their own three-game run come to an end-they did manage to rally against Admiral and force overtime, but couldn’t seal the win. Now, Severstal face the challenge of breaking down one of the league’s most disciplined defences in recent games.
Three goals as the norm
📊 Recent head-to-head clashes have clearly favored Severstal. The Cherepovets side have claimed back-to-back wins, but what's even more notable is their offensive output. Severstal have scored at least three goals in nine of their last ten encounters with the Dragons. Heading into this matchup, that trend remains relevant-especially as the hosts’ attack has shown significant improvement in recent games.
Head-to-head statistics Severstal Cherepovec - Shanghai Dragons

The goals are back.
After suffering three consecutive shutout defeats, Severstal have turned things around offensively. Over their next four games, the Cherepovets side averaged 3.8 goals per night. Newcomers Nikita Popugaev and Denis Yan have been particularly impressive during this stretch, each finding the net four times. Andrei Kozyrev’s team put together a three-game winning run, which was eventually snapped by Admiral.
The matchup with the Far Eastern club required a late comeback in the third period. By the 45th minute, Severstal were trailing 1-3, but Vladimir Grudinin cut the deficit before Aleksandr Skorenov leveled the score. Severstal fired 40 shots on target compared to Admiral’s 26 and spent 17 minutes and 13 seconds in the offensive zone, but ultimately fell short in the shootout. Both Popugaev and Skorenov tallied power-play goals in that contest. For the upcoming game, Burenov, Kazulaev, and Liska are ruled out.
Match Results: Severstal Cherepovec

The Dragons spring a surprise
Shanghai wrapped up their home stand with a perfect record-four regulation wins in a row. In their last two outings, the Dragons conceded just one goal each against Dinamo Minsk and Metallurg. The series finale was particularly impressive. Magnitogorsk arrived riding a five-game winning streak, but Mitch Love’s side put an end to that run with a commanding 4-1 victory.
Half of Shanghai’s goals came in the second period on the power play. First, David Chen converted during a five-on-three advantage, and just 64 seconds later, Riley Sutter capitalized on another Metallurg penalty. In the third, Takhir Mingachev extended the lead, and Nate Sucese sealed it with an empty-netter. Pavel Khomchenko allowed just one goal all night. Now the Dragons hit the road, still searching for their first regulation win away from home this season. Martin Frk will miss out due to injury.
Match Results: Shanghai Dragons
⚡️ Key Players
Denis Yan has tallied seven points in ten games for Severstal, with six goals and one assist to his name. Notably, five of his goals have come on the power play. Aleksandr Skorenov has chipped in with six points (2 goals, 4 assists), while Ilya Ivantsov has contributed five (3 goals, 2 assists).
For Shanghai, Dmitrij Jaskin leads the way with seven points in eight appearances-scoring five goals and adding two assists. Brett Murray is right behind him with six points (3 goals, 3 assists). Riley Sutter has also collected six points, needing just four games to do so-registering three goals and three assists.
🥅 Goaltenders
Alexander Samoylov has started nine games for Severstal, picking up four wins. He has turned aside 92.5% of shots faced, posting a 2.09 goals-against average and recording one shutout. Vsevolod Skotnikov has featured in two games, saving 86.1% of shots with a 3.64 goals-against average.
Pavel Khomchenko has won four of his five starts for Shanghai, allowing just seven goals while boasting a 94.8% save percentage and a stellar 1.74 goals-against average. Amir Miftakhov has appeared in four games, securing two wins with an 89.3% save percentage and a 3.79 goals-against average.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
Shanghai head to Cherepovets riding a four-game winning streak, having allowed just a single goal to Metallurg in their latest outing. But Severstal are enjoying a scoring run of their own-netting at least three goals in each of their last four games. The numbers are even more impressive when it comes to matchups against the Dragons: Severstal have scored three or more in nine of their last ten head-to-head clashes. After three consecutive shutout losses, Severstal’s offense has come back to life, averaging 3.8 goals over the next four fixtures. My pick: Severstal’s individual total over 2.5 goals.