Mercury vs Toronto Tempo (W) Prediction 30 August 2026
π In Phoenix, two teams from the lower end of the WNBA standings will square off as the Phoenix Mercury host the Toronto Tempo. While this matchup doesnβt carry significant playoff implications, it offers both sides a chance to snap their losing streaks. The visitors are still searching for ways to turn their season around and remain determined to compete, even on tough road trips. Fans can expect a clash between two squads struggling at both ends of the court, which is likely to shape the flow of the game.
Head-to-Head
πSo far, teams Phoenix Mercury (W) and Toronto Tempo (W) have had two official encounters, with the most recent one taking place on 27 June 2026. The match was held at the venue of Toronto Tempo (W) and ended with a score of 80:89.
Head-to-head statistics Mercury - Toronto Tempo (W)
Phoenix Mercury (W) Team Overview
Phoenix head into this matchup on the back of a four-game losing streak. Over their last 10 outings, they've managed just 2 wins while suffering 8 defeats - a clear sign of inconsistent and shaky form. During this stretch, the hosts are averaging 85.2 points per game while conceding 90.9, underlining their defensive struggles and a lack of reliability at their own rim. For the season, Phoenix average 84.3 points scored and 87.4 allowed; they tend to play high-scoring basketball but almost always trail their opponents in total points. Their home record tells a similar story: in their last 11 games on their own court, the hosts have failed to break the 92-point mark even once.
Match Results: Phoenix Mercury (W)
Toronto Tempo (W) Team Overview
Toronto are enduring an even tougher campaign, with just one win in their last ten outings and nine defeats highlighting a prolonged slump in form - further underscored by a recent loss heading into this matchup. Over that stretch, the Canadians have averaged only 83.5 points per game, while their defensive frailties have been exposed as opponents put up 93.4 points against them on average. Across the season, the visitorsβ offensive numbers are slightly better at 85.9 points per contest, but defensive issues remain a persistent problem, conceding 92.8 on average. On top of that, the Tempo have failed to reach the 82.5-point mark in five consecutive games.
Match Results: Toronto Tempo (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 2;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 0; for the visitors on the road - 0;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 44;
- Today's home team averages 21.5, while the visitors average 22.5.
First Quarter Stats: Phoenix Mercury (W) (home) vs Toronto Tempo (W) (away)
- Tournament matches played: 20 vs 20;
- Number of wins: 8 (40%) vs 4 (20%);
- Number of losses: 10 (50%) vs 15 (75%);
- Number of draws: 2 (10%) vs 1 (5%).
- Average points scored: 21.65 vs 20.25;
- Average points conceded: 22.6 vs 24.1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 2 vs 0;
- Number of losses: 7 vs 10;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 44.7 (scored - 20.8, conceded - 23.9) vs 46.5 (scored - 20.7, conceded - 25.8).
- Toronto Tempo (W) lost the 1st quarter in 12 of last 13 away games (WNBA).
- Toronto Tempo (W) lost the 1st quarter in last 11 games (WNBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 89.5, for the away team - 89;
- average total points in H2H matches - 178.5.
Statistics: Phoenix Mercury (W) vs Toronto Tempo (W)
- average total in the tournament: 171.83 vs 178.78;
- average total points scored: 84.39 vs 85.95;
- average total points conceded: 87.44 vs 92.83;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 42.37 vs 42.05;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 41.93 vs 43.66;
- Phoenix Mercury (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 85.05;
- Toronto Tempo (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 87.3;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 85.2 (home - 84.6) vs 83.5 (away - 82.86).
- Phoenix Mercury (W) have scored under 92.5 points in last 11 home games (WNBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 2;
- number of wins for the home team - 1, for the away team - 1.
Statistics: Phoenix Mercury (W) vs Toronto Tempo (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 39 vs 39;
- number of wins: 15 (36.59%) vs 11 (26.83%);
- number of losses: 26 (63.41%) vs 30 (73.17%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 6;
- number of away wins for the away team: 4.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 2 vs 1;
- number of losses: 8 vs 9;
- number of home wins for the home team: 0;
- number of away wins for the away team: 0.
- Toronto Tempo (W) won with a +12.5 points handicap in 7 of last 8 games (WNBA).
β Editorial Prediction
This matchup holds no significance in terms of the standings, so itβs reasonable to expect both teams to ramp up their offensive output - without the pressure of chasing a result, creativity should come to the fore. Earlier this season, Phoenix and Toronto both put up solid scoring numbers but consistently struggled on the defensive end. As the regular season winds down, their defensive frailties have only become more pronounced. With neither side motivated by playoff implications and given their attacking tendencies, this game is poised to go over 175.5 total points.
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Betting Tips: Phoenix Mercury (W) - Toronto Tempo (W)
in 15 of last 16 games (WNBA).in last 10 away games (WNBA).
in 13 of last 14 away games (WNBA).in 8 of last 9 games (WNBA).in 12 of last 13 away games (WNBA).in last 11 games (WNBA).in 5 of last 6 home games (WNBA).
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