Mercury vs Toronto Tempo (W) Prediction 20 May 2026
🔈Which players are ready to step up and lead the defense? The top defenders will be revealed when Phoenix Mercury (W) and Toronto Tempo (W) go head-to-head on 20 May at 02:00 in the regular season of the WNBA. After a thorough analysis of this matchup, we're ready to share our predictions on how this contest might unfold.
Head-to-Head
⚠️These teams have never faced each other before, making it quite challenging to deliver a prediction without any head-to-head history.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Phoenix Mercury (W) Team Overview
📊 Phoenix Mercury (W) have picked up two wins and suffered two defeats so far this season, putting them fourth in the Western Conference standings.
🏀 The team are averaging 88.3 points per game in the 2026 campaign. Defensively, they have also impressed, conceding just 83.0 points on average-a testament to their reliability and cohesion at the back. Their home form deserves special mention, with Mercury posting an average of 87.5 points scored and 85.5 allowed over their last two games in front of their own fans.
Match Results: Phoenix Mercury (W)

Toronto Tempo (W) Team Overview
📊 Playing on the road always comes with its own set of challenges. As WNBA newcomers, they have managed just one win in three away games, including preseason fixtures. Toronto Tempo (W) are averaging 88.0 points per game this season while conceding 84.0.
🚧 In away games, where every detail matters, the team have shown impressive focus and cohesion, posting an average of 100.5 points scored and 97.5 allowed.
Match Results: Toronto Tempo (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
1st Quarter Statistics: Phoenix Mercury (W) (home) vs Toronto Tempo (W) (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 2;
- wins: 3 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 2 (100%);
- draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- average total points scored: 24 vs 16.5;
- average total points conceded: 16.33 vs 23.
Last 10 Matches (overall):
- wins: 7 vs 1;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 1 vs 1;
- average 1st quarter total: 45 (scored - 24, conceded - 21) vs 39.6 (scored - 18.6, conceded - 21).
- Phoenix Mercury (W) won the 1st quarter in last 6 games (WNBA).
Prediction on the outcome
- Toronto Tempo (W) won with a +7.5 points handicap in last 6 games (WNBA).
Prediction on the over/under
Statistics: Phoenix Mercury (W) vs Toronto Tempo (W)
- average total in the tournament: 173.83 vs 157.2;
- average total points scored: 91.17 vs 78;
- average total points conceded: 82.67 vs 79.2;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 47.17 vs 39.2;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 44 vs 38.8;
- Phoenix Mercury (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 87;
- Toronto Tempo (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 80.5;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 88.5 (home - 90.5) vs 78 (away - 80.5).
- Phoenix Mercury (W) have scored under 89.5 points in 15 of last 16 home games (WNBA).
Editorial Prediction
In 20 of their last 22 home games, Phoenix Mercury have seen the total points stay under 174.5. That trend has continued into this season, including the preseason-Phoenix have now played five consecutive low-scoring games at home. Our pick is under 174.5 points.