Real Madrid vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Prediction 1 May 2026

Details
Key points
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Hapoel Tel-Aviv
    Hapoel Tel-Aviv
    102
    75
    24
    16
    33
    29
    21
    21
    20
    13

    🔊 Real Madrid are set to host Hapoel Tel Aviv in the second game of their playoff opening round series. The first matchup delivered the anticipated victory for the home side, who have been nearly unbeatable on their own court in this season's EuroLeague. Can the Israeli team make the necessary adjustments against a more skilled and experienced opponent? Coach Itoudis has his work cut out for him, needing to refine his squad's performance both defensively and offensively. Let's break down the matchup and offer an insightful prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊Teams Real Madrid and Hapoel Tel-Aviv have only had three official encounters so far, and here is the statistics:

    • for today's hosts 3 wins (including extra time), for the guests - 0;
    • average total points in the 1st half - 78.67, in the 2nd - 85.33;
    • average total match points - 164.

    Head-to-head statistics Real Madrid - Hapoel Tel Aviv

    83%
    5 Wins
    17%
    1 Win
    07.05.26
    ERL
    Hapoel Tel Aviv
    Hapoel Tel Aviv
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    81
    87
    21
    23
    15
    23
    17
    17
    28
    24
    05.05.26
    ERL
    Hapoel Tel-Aviv
    Hapoel Tel-Aviv
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    76
    69
    18
    21
    16
    15
    21
    10
    21
    23
    01.05.26
    ERL
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Hapoel Tel-Aviv
    Hapoel Tel-Aviv
    102
    75
    24
    21
    16
    21
    33
    20
    29
    13
    29.04.26
    ERL
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Hapoel Tel-Aviv
    Hapoel Tel-Aviv
    86
    82
    27
    18
    21
    15
    22
    22
    16
    27
    24.03.26
    ERL
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Hapoel Tel-Aviv
    Hapoel Tel-Aviv
    92
    83
    24
    19
    21
    16
    26
    25
    21
    23
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    Real Madrid Team Overview

    Real Madrid are in fine form, having won four of their last five games. Over their past 10 outings, they have secured seven victories and suffered three losses, showcasing consistent play. The team is highly productive, averaging 91.9 points per game while conceding 87.1 points during this period. The Spanish giants have hit peak form at just the right time, as the fate of their season hangs in the balance.

    In the first playoff game against Hapoel (86-82), Real dominated in all facets, maintaining a lead of 15+ points throughout (at times stretching to nearly twenty points). Only when the outcome was beyond doubt did Madrid ease off, conceding the final quarter 16-27. However, they face a setback with the injury to one of their key players, Tavares, who will definitely miss the upcoming clash. Coach Scariolo must quickly devise a plan to patch up the paint, as Real's entire defensive scheme relies heavily on rim protection.

    Match Results: Real Madrid

    24.09.26
    ERL
    BC Dubai
    BC Dubai
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    78
    77
    20
    16
    18
    28
    25
    18
    15
    15
    L
    19.09.26
    SuperCup
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Olympiacos
    Olympiacos
    93
    89
    24
    15
    23
    28
    28
    29
    18
    17
    W
    18.09.26
    SuperCup
    BC Dubai
    BC Dubai
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    95
    98
    27
    18
    16
    24
    20
    22
    25
    24
    7
    10
    W
    11.09.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Iberostar Tenerife
    Iberostar Tenerife
    97
    90
    29
    25
    20
    28
    27
    17
    21
    20
    W
    05.09.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Saski Baskonia
    Saski Baskonia
    121
    80
    46
    26
    32
    13
    28
    20
    15
    21
    W
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    Hapoel Tel-Aviv Team Overview

    Hapoel Tel Aviv have been delivering inconsistent performances, with four wins and six losses in their last ten games. They average around 91.4 points per game but concede almost as much, roughly 91.7 points in this stretch. Defensive issues have often led to setbacks in the EuroLeague regular season, ultimately dropping the club from a Top-3 position to a sixth-place finish. Nonetheless, for an Israeli team to qualify for the playoffs in their debut season in Europe's premier club competition is already a success. However, the owners' ambitions extend to reaching the Final Four.

    At the moment, Hapoel seem quite far from that goal, as evidenced by their clear loss in the first game against Real Madrid (82-86). The final score is misleading since, with just four minutes remaining, Itoudis' team trailed by 18 points. Additionally, they lost one of their key players, Bryant, to injury early in the match. Bryant had been providing significant impact both in scoring and assists. Without Elijah, the duo of Blakeney and Oturu stepped up, combining for 45 points (the latter also grabbed 17 rebounds). In Game 2, the coach may rely heavily on Oturu and his skills under the basket to score points, especially since Real Madrid will be without Tavares.

    Match Results: Hapoel Tel-Aviv

    26.09.26
    Israel IBL Cup
    Hapoel Tel Aviv
    Hapoel Tel Aviv
    Hapoel Beer Sheva
    Hapoel Beer Sheva
    85
    67
    27
    19
    15
    10
    19
    15
    24
    23
    W
    24.09.26
    ERL
    Hapoel Tel Aviv
    Hapoel Tel Aviv
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    84
    86
    21
    16
    18
    28
    18
    24
    27
    18
    L
    17.09.26
    Super Cup
    Maccabi Tel-Aviv
    Maccabi Tel-Aviv
    Hapoel Tel Aviv
    Hapoel Tel Aviv
    101
    83
    28
    26
    26
    16
    25
    14
    22
    27
    L
    13.09.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Hapoel Tel Aviv
    Hapoel Tel Aviv
    77
    85
    19
    23
    20
    22
    22
    17
    16
    23
    W
    12.09.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Maxima Roma
    Maxima Roma
    Hapoel Tel Aviv
    Hapoel Tel Aviv
    78
    80
    10
    21
    28
    24
    22
    19
    18
    16
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of matchups - 3;
    • number of wins for the home team - 3, for the away team - 0.

    Statistics: Real Madrid vs Hapoel Tel-Aviv

    • number of tournament matches played: 38 vs 38;
    • number of wins: 25 (64.1%) vs 23 (58.97%);
    • number of losses: 14 (35.9%) vs 16 (41.03%);
    • number of wins at home for the home team: 19;
    • number of away wins for the away team: 10.

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of wins: 7 vs 4;
    • number of losses: 3 vs 6;
    • number of home wins for the home team: 3;
    • number of away wins for the away team: 2.
    Trends
    • Real Madrid have won in last 14 home games (Euroleague).
    • Real Madrid have won in 9 of last 10 home games.
    👉Prediction: Real Madrid Win (inc. OT) (odds: 1.29)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H:

    • average total points per match for the home team - 84.33, for the away team - 79.67;
    • average total points in H2H matches - 164.

    Statistics: Real Madrid vs Hapoel Tel-Aviv

    • average total in the tournament: 170.92 vs 173.44;
    • average total points scored: 87.9 vs 88.08;
    • average total points conceded: 83.03 vs 85.36;
    • average total points scored in the 1st half: 45.74 vs 44.46;
    • average total points scored in the 2nd half: 42.15 vs 43;
    • Real Madrid: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 92.1;
    • Hapoel Tel-Aviv: average total points scored away in the tournament - 86.8;
    • last 10 matches (average total points scored): 91.9 (home - 94) vs 91.4 (away - 91.71).
    👉Prediction: Total points Over (169,5) (odds: 1.72)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The match is expected to be high-paced, given the attacking prowess of both teams. Real Madrid's form appears more convincing compared to their visitors from Tel Aviv. However, we believe that a coach as elite as Itoudis will find a way to elevate Hapoel's game in the upcoming clash. The absence of Tavares should considerably weaken Madrid's defense, which the well-coordinated Israeli club's offensive leaders can fully exploit (incidentally, Bryant, who was injured, is likely to play). Therefore, we anticipate a more competitive encounter than last time and are backing the visitors to cover the spread (+8.5).

    Hapoel Tel-Aviv Handicap (+8,5)
    Odds-154
    Published: 30/04/2026, 11:16

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    Betting Tips: Real Madrid - Hapoel Tel-Aviv

    Real Madrid won the 2nd quarter:
    real-madrid-bcin 18 of last 19 home games.
    real-madrid-bcin 11 of last 12 games (Euroleague).
    real-madrid-bcin 8 of last 9 games.
    Hapoel Tel-Aviv lost the 2nd quarter:
    hapoel-tel-avivin last 7 away games.
    2nd Quarter Real Madrid to Win
    -154
    Real Madrid have won:
    real-madrid-bcin last 14 home games (Euroleague).
    real-madrid-bcin 9 of last 10 home games.
    Real Madrid Win (inc. OT)
    Everygame
    -333
    Real Madrid won the 1st half:
    real-madrid-bcin 13 of last 14 games (Euroleague).
    real-madrid-bcin last 11 home games (Euroleague).
    1st Half Real Madrid to Win
    -200
    Hapoel Tel-Aviv won the 4th quarter:
    hapoel-tel-avivin 7 of last 8 games (Euroleague).
    hapoel-tel-avivin last 5 away games (Euroleague).
    4th Quarter Hapoel Tel-Aviv to Win
    +135

    Real Madrid - Hapoel Tel Aviv Table position

    Regular season Season Standings
    gWLForm
    2.
    Valencia Basket
    Valencia Basket
    382513
    3.
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    382414
    4.
    Fenerbahce Istanbul
    Fenerbahce Istanbul
    382414
    5.
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    382315
    6.
    Hapoel Tel Aviv
    Hapoel Tel Aviv
    382315
    7.
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    382216