Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Real Madrid Prediction 5 May 2026
🔊 On a neutral court in Sofia this Tuesday, the third game of the EuroLeague playoff quarterfinal series between Hapoel Tel Aviv and Real Madrid takes place. The first two encounters in Spain were marked by the dominance of Scariolo's more experienced playoff contenders. Can the nominal hosts turn the tide of the series? Let's analyze the matchup and make an insightful prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Hapoel Tel-Aviv and Real Madrid:
- played 4 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 0 for today's home team and 4 for the guests;
- the home team averages 78.5 points per match, the guests - 88.75;
- average total match points - 167.25.
The last confrontation took place on 01 May 2026 at the venue of Real Madrid and ended with a score of 102:75.
Head-to-head statistics Hapoel Tel Aviv - Real Madrid
Hapoel Tel-Aviv Team Overview
Hapoel have been inconsistent lately, securing just two wins in their last five outings. The Tel Aviv team averages 87.7 points per game while conceding 85.7, yet they typically score more when playing at home. Their strength lies in a high-tempo offense with a focus on three-point shots, but their defense often falters in crucial moments. Notably, they've won 8 of their last 9 home games.
Currently, Itoudis' squad not only faces the challenge of being unable to play in their home city due to the unstable situation in the Middle East, but they are also up against a formidable opponent in the playoffs. After putting up a commendable fight in the series opener (82-86), Hapoel looked lackluster in Game 2 (75-102), despite Real being without their key player, Tavares. The Israeli side even held a one-point lead at halftime but collapsed in the second half, losing by 29 points. It seems that the team, which shone brightly during the regular season, is now falling victim to a simple lack of playoff experience.
Match Results: Hapoel Tel-Aviv
Real Madrid Team Overview
Real Madrid are in excellent form, having won four of their last five games in a row. The team from Madrid are showcasing high scoring efficiency, averaging 96.1 points over their last ten matches, while maintaining a solid defense, conceding an average of 82.8 points this season. Their offensive prowess is backed by a strong three-point shooting percentage (37.8% accuracy, ranking 3rd in the EuroLeague) and effective rebounding on the offensive glass. It's no surprise that Real have scored more than 88 points in six of their last seven encounters.
In their previous clash against Hapoel, Scariolo's squad clearly demonstrated their superiority with a commanding victory (102-75). In the absence of big man Tavares, point guard Campazzo stepped up, scoring 23 points. Madrid displayed impressive accuracy both in regular shooting (59.4%) and from beyond the arc (41%), while also securing 10 more rebounds. Faced with Real's phenomenal defense and subsequent fast-break points, as well as pick-and-roll plays, the Israeli opponents had no answer. Following such domination, the Spanish giants are clearly determined to close out the series in the next game.
Match Results: Real Madrid
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 4;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 0; for the visitors on the road - 1;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 43.25;
- Today's home team averages 19, while the visitors average 24.25.
First Quarter Stats: Hapoel Tel-Aviv (home) vs Real Madrid (away)
- Tournament matches played: 19 vs 19;
- Number of wins: 10 (52.63%) vs 9 (47.37%);
- Number of losses: 7 (36.84%) vs 9 (47.37%);
- Number of draws: 2 (10.53%) vs 1 (5.26%).
- Average points scored: 23.58 vs 22.37;
- Average points conceded: 21.42 vs 20.89.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 5;
- Number of losses: 5 vs 5;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 44.8 (scored - 22.9, conceded - 21.9) vs 46.7 (scored - 22.7, conceded - 24).
- Over 43.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 4;
- number of wins for the home team - 0, for the away team - 4.
Statistics: Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs Real Madrid
- number of tournament matches played: 38 vs 38;
- number of wins: 23 (57.5%) vs 26 (65%);
- number of losses: 17 (42.5%) vs 14 (35%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 13;
- number of away wins for the away team: 6.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 4 vs 8;
- number of losses: 6 vs 2;
- number of home wins for the home team: 2;
- number of away wins for the away team: 3.
- Real Madrid won with a +5.5 points handicap in last 8 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 78.5, for the away team - 88.75;
- average total points in H2H matches - 167.25.
Statistics: Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs Real Madrid
- average total in the tournament: 173.53 vs 171.08;
- average total points scored: 87.75 vs 88.25;
- average total points conceded: 85.78 vs 82.83;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 44.4 vs 45.6;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 42.75 vs 42.65;
- Hapoel Tel-Aviv: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 89.42;
- Real Madrid: average total points scored away in the tournament - 83.47;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 90.6 (home - 90.67) vs 96.1 (away - 88).
- Real Madrid have scored over 87.5 points in 6 of last 7 away games.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Real Madrid are clearly in better shape for this game, thanks to their current form and a four-game winning streak. However, the nominal home side have nothing to lose, so we believe they will find more effective ways to challenge their opponent's defense this time. The Spanish champions have struggled on the road in the EuroLeague this season, winning only 6 out of 19 games. We anticipate that the absence of Tavares will significantly impact the visitors' performance. This could lead to more defensive errors, resulting in another high-scoring game. We're betting on over 171.5 total points.No comments
Betting Tips: Hapoel Tel-Aviv - Real Madrid
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in 8 of last 9 away games.in 6 of last 7 away games (Euroleague).in 7 of last 8 games (Euroleague).
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