Lynx vs Toronto Tempo (W) Prediction 29 July 2026
๐ In this WNBA regular season matchup, the Minnesota Lynx are set to face the Toronto Tempo. The hosts come into the game in excellent form, and theyโre likely to impose themselves on both ends of the court against their Canadian opponents. Given the disparity in quality between the two sides, itโs hard to expect a high-scoring shootout from both teams.
Head-to-Head
๐ The most recent meeting between these two sides took place at the end of May this year, with Minnesota cruising to a convincing 100-72 victory. Earlier that same month, the Lynx also came out on top, claiming a 73-66 win.
Head-to-head statistics Lynx - Toronto Tempo (W)
Minnesota Lynx (W) Team Overview
In this matchup, Lynx are capable of delivering a solid performance on both ends of the floor. The team is riding a seven-game winning streak, having taken down opponents of varying caliber along the way. Their offense has looked sharp throughout this run, reflected in their current scoring metrics: theyโre averaging 90.3 points per game, and that number climbs to 91.9 when they play at home. Defensively, theyโre conceding around 82 points, though there have been occasions where Lynx have allowed significantly fewer. For instance, in a recent clash with Seattle (86-76), their defense was nothing short of exemplary. A similar scenario could unfold against Toronto.
Match Results: Minnesota Lynx (W)
Toronto Tempo (W) Team Overview
Toronto are struggling to find their rhythm, showing a distinctly low level of basketball lately. They have dropped eight of their last ten games and are currently on a three-game losing streak. Recent defeats include heavy losses to Las Vegas (83-109) and Atlanta (92-111). Tempo aim to play at a fast pace, but their execution is inconsistent - sometimes it works, sometimes it doesnโt, as seen in the 62-79 setback against Washington. Facing opponents who play a largely dominant brand of basketball will be a tough challenge under any circumstances, and playing away from home only makes things more difficult. Any lucky shots are likely to be kept to a minimum. On average, Toronto are scoring 87.3 points per game while conceding 91.9.
Match Results: Toronto Tempo (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 2;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 2; for the visitors on the road - 0;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 37.5;
- Today's home team averages 22.5, while the visitors average 15.
First Quarter Stats: Minnesota Lynx (W) (home) vs Toronto Tempo (W) (away)
- Tournament matches played: 15 vs 11;
- Number of wins: 9 (60%) vs 3 (27.27%);
- Number of losses: 5 (33.33%) vs 7 (63.64%);
- Number of draws: 1 (6.67%) vs 1 (9.09%).
- Average points scored: 22.07 vs 19.18;
- Average points conceded: 18.53 vs 23.27.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 6;
- Number of losses: 5 vs 3;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 1;
- Average first quarter total: 41.8 (scored - 21.2, conceded - 20.6) vs 45.9 (scored - 23.2, conceded - 22.7).
- Toronto Tempo (W) scored under 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 5 away games (WNBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 2;
- number of wins for the home team - 2, for the away team - 0.
Statistics: Minnesota Lynx (W) vs Toronto Tempo (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 28 vs 26;
- number of wins: 25 (80.65%) vs 10 (35.71%);
- number of losses: 6 (19.35%) vs 18 (64.29%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 11;
- number of away wins for the away team: 4.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 8 vs 2;
- number of losses: 2 vs 8;
- number of home wins for the home team: 4;
- number of away wins for the away team: 0.
- Toronto Tempo (W) won with a +19.5 points handicap in 10 of last 11 games (WNBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 86.5, for the away team - 69;
- average total points in H2H matches - 155.5.
Statistics: Minnesota Lynx (W) vs Toronto Tempo (W)
- average total in the tournament: 171.94 vs 179.18;
- average total points scored: 90.32 vs 87.32;
- average total points conceded: 81.61 vs 91.86;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 45.77 vs 42.71;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 44.55 vs 44.25;
- Minnesota Lynx (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 91.93;
- Toronto Tempo (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 90.36;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 92.8 (home - 96) vs 86.8 (away - 87).
- Under 183.5 points scored in 21 of last 23 Minnesota Lynx (W) home games (WNBA).
Editors' Prediction
Toronto have little chance of pulling off an upset here, with obvious issues in team chemistry and a roster that lacks both depth and quality. Minnesota, on the other hand, are a well-drilled unit capable of controlling both ends of the floor. It wouldnโt be surprising to see the Lynx build a commanding lead in the first half, putting the game out of reach early before turning to their bench and reserves for extended minutes down the stretch. While Minnesotaโs second unit can hold their own defensively, their offense is likely to slow down, leading to a drop in scoring late on. Thatโs why our editors recommend backing the under 187.5 points in this matchup.
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Betting Tips: Minnesota Lynx (W) - Toronto Tempo (W)
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