Indiana Fever (W) vs Connecticut Sun (W) Prediction 28 August 2026
🏀 Saturday’s WNBA action features the Indiana Fever taking on the Connecticut Sun. The hosts continue to solidify their place among the Eastern Conference frontrunners, looking to maintain momentum as the regular season heads toward its decisive stretch. Meanwhile, the visitors have been rooted to the bottom of the standings for some time. For the Fever, this matchup offers a chance to reinforce their status as favorites, while Connecticut will be eager to test themselves against much stronger opposition and try to spring an upset.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Indiana Fever (W) and Connecticut Sun (W):
- played 57 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 21 for today's home team and 36 for the guests;
- the home team averages 77.79 points per match, the guests - 80.88;
- average total match points - 158.67.
The last confrontation took place on 23 July 2026 at the venue of Indiana Fever (W) and ended with a score of 123:88.
Head-to-head statistics Indiana Fever (W) - Connecticut Sun (W)
Indiana Fever (W) Team Overview
Indiana are showing solid momentum, picking up six wins in their last ten games and currently riding a two-game winning streak. Their recent victory has certainly boosted the squad’s confidence. Averaging 96.7 points per game this season - and slightly higher at 97.4 over their last ten - Indiana’s offense remains consistently productive, even against top-tier opponents. Defensively, they concede an average of 90.2 points per game over the season and 93.5 in recent outings, giving their rivals some room around the basket. The Fever focus on an up-tempo style, capitalizing on quick transitions and efficient shot-making.
Match Results: Indiana Fever (W)
Connecticut Sun (W) Team Overview
Connecticut are having a tough season, managing just three wins against seven losses in their last ten outings. During this stretch, the Sun are averaging only 75.2 points per game, noticeably down from their season average of 78.65 - highlighting clear struggles to convert offensively when facing higher-caliber opponents. Defensively, things aren't much better: they're conceding an average of 86.5 points per game this season, with recent numbers hovering around the same mark (86). These stats suggest Connecticut are finding it difficult to keep pace with high-scoring rivals and lack resilience in the second half of games.
Match Results: Connecticut Sun (W)
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 77.79, for the away team - 80.88;
- average total points in H2H matches - 158.67.
Statistics: Indiana Fever (W) vs Connecticut Sun (W)
- average total in the tournament: 186.98 vs 165.15;
- average total points scored: 96.74 vs 78.65;
- average total points conceded: 90.24 vs 86.5;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 48.83 vs 40.6;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 46.67 vs 37.9;
- Indiana Fever (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 99.1;
- Connecticut Sun (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 78.16;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 97.4 (home - 96) vs 75.2 (away - 74.25).
- Indiana Fever (W) have scored under 99.5 points in 25 of last 26 games against Connecticut Sun (W) (WNBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 57;
- number of wins for the home team - 21, for the away team - 36.
Statistics: Indiana Fever (W) vs Connecticut Sun (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 39 vs 38;
- number of wins: 27 (64.29%) vs 11 (27.5%);
- number of losses: 15 (35.71%) vs 29 (72.5%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 14;
- number of away wins for the away team: 4.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 6 vs 3;
- number of losses: 4 vs 7;
- number of home wins for the home team: 2;
- number of away wins for the away team: 0.
- Connecticut Sun (W) won with a +17.5 points handicap in 11 of last 12 away games against Indiana Fever (W) (WNBA).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The match scenario clearly favors the hosts, who hold a distinct edge both in offensive quality and current form. Indiana play at a faster tempo, frequently push the ball through the center, and consistently convert their shots. Connecticut, on the other hand, tend to slow down after halftime and rarely surpass their own average scoring output - especially against the league’s top clubs. The under 179.5 total has hit nine games in a row for the Sun, making this the most significant trend heading into this clash. No other factor is as strongly backed by season-long stats. Our editors recommend betting on under 185.5 total points.
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Betting Tips: Indiana Fever (W) - Connecticut Sun (W)
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