Mystics vs Connecticut Sun (W) Prediction 28 July 2026
🔊 In this WNBA regular season clash, the Washington Mystics take on the Connecticut Sun. Both teams have the offensive firepower to put up impressive numbers, and a fast-paced contest is on the cards. Expect a high-scoring affair with the potential for the total to go over.
Head-to-Head
📊 The most recent meeting between these teams took place at the end of June this year, with Connecticut coming out on top, 68-57. Looking at their last five head-to-head clashes, the Sun hold a slight edge, winning three out of five.
Head-to-head statistics Mystics - Connecticut Sun (W)
Washington Mystics (W) Team Overview
At the moment, Washington are in decent form, having picked up three wins in their last five games. Their recent victories over Las Vegas (100-99) and Golden State Valkyries (90-82) particularly stand out. The capital side have shown they can perform well on the road, averaging 80.3 points per game away from home. That number climbs to 82.2 when they play in front of their own fans. It's also important to consider the context - Washington's opponents have been struggling defensively. The Mystics should look to exploit those weaknesses, especially on their home court, where they often find their rhythm, including from beyond the arc. All things considered, Washington have a solid chance not only to win but to put up a high score as well.
Match Results: Washington Mystics (W)
Connecticut Sun (W) Team Overview
The Connecticut side are struggling for form, with just two wins from their last five outings. To make matters worse, they've suffered back-to-back defeats, both on the road, falling to Indiana (88-123) and Phoenix (63-72). While Connecticut are capable of putting together a solid performance on occasion, overall, they remain one of the weakest teams in the competition, managing just 7 wins in 27 games. Most of those victories have come against similarly matched opponents. The stats don’t favor the visitors either: they average 79.7 points scored per game while conceding 86.5. Offensively, they can hold their own at times, but defensively, they continue to struggle.
Match Results: Connecticut Sun (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 57;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 14; for the visitors on the road - 13;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 39.88;
- Today's home team averages 20.46, while the visitors average 19.42.
First Quarter Stats: Washington Mystics (W) (home) vs Connecticut Sun (W) (away)
- Tournament matches played: 13 vs 14;
- Number of wins: 8 (61.54%) vs 7 (50%);
- Number of losses: 5 (38.46%) vs 6 (42.86%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 1 (7.14%).
- Average points scored: 21.31 vs 22.5;
- Average points conceded: 21 vs 23.5.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 6;
- Number of losses: 5 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 38.3 (scored - 18.3, conceded - 20) vs 41 (scored - 21, conceded - 20).
- Over 39.5 points in the 1st quarter in 6 of last 7 Washington Mystics (W) home games (WNBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 57;
- number of wins for the home team - 25, for the away team - 32.
Statistics: Washington Mystics (W) vs Connecticut Sun (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 26 vs 27;
- number of wins: 15 (53.57%) vs 8 (27.59%);
- number of losses: 13 (46.43%) vs 21 (72.41%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 6;
- number of away wins for the away team: 4.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 6 vs 5;
- number of losses: 4 vs 5;
- number of home wins for the home team: 4;
- number of away wins for the away team: 2.
- Connecticut Sun (W) won with a +7.5 points handicap in 14 of last 15 games against Washington Mystics (W) (WNBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 79.14, for the away team - 80.05;
- average total points in H2H matches - 159.19.
Statistics: Washington Mystics (W) vs Connecticut Sun (W)
- average total in the tournament: 162.82 vs 166.14;
- average total points scored: 80.32 vs 79.66;
- average total points conceded: 82.5 vs 86.48;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 36.96 vs 40.79;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 41.21 vs 38.66;
- Washington Mystics (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 82.15;
- Connecticut Sun (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 78.86;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 78.9 (home - 82.33) vs 81.4 (away - 84.25).
- Connecticut Sun (W) have scored over 74.5 points in 6 of last 7 away games (WNBA).
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Betting Tips: Washington Mystics (W) - Connecticut Sun (W)
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