Mystics vs Connecticut Sun (W) Prediction 22 September 2026
🏀 In the US capital, the WNBA matchup sees the Washington Mystics hosting the Connecticut Sun. The hosts have already secured their spot in the playoffs and are clearly focused on the postseason, while the visitors have spent the entire regular season languishing at the bottom of their conference and are simply waiting for the offseason and an inevitable rebuild. The Mystics are heavy favorites with the bookmakers, and rightly so.
Head-to-Head
📊 These two sides have faced off 58 times in official matches. The hosts have claimed 26 victories, while the visitors have come out on top 32 times. Their most recent head-to-head took place on 28 July 2026 in Washington, where the home team secured a 92-84 win.
Head-to-head statistics Mystics - Connecticut Sun (W)
Washington Mystics (W) Team Overview
The Washington Mystics are in impressive form, having secured four wins in their last five outings and currently riding a two-game winning streak. Over the past 10 games, they have posted seven victories against just three losses, underlining their confident play during this stretch of the season. On average, the Mystics put up 89.7 points per game while allowing 83.1, with their offense consistently surpassing the 80-point mark. Washington make the most of their offensive strengths and are capable of delivering high-scoring performances both at home and on the road, though their defense does show occasional lapses.
Match Results: Washington Mystics (W)
Connecticut Sun (W) Team Overview
Connecticut are navigating a tough stretch of the season, suffering five consecutive defeats and managing just two wins in their last ten outings, dropping the other eight. Over this span, the visitors are averaging 76.7 points per game, but their defense has been a major concern, conceding an average of 91.9 points to their opponents. This disparity between offensive output and defensive performance highlights significant issues at the back-Sun often find themselves chasing the game, which has a clear impact on their overall style of play.
Match Results: Connecticut Sun (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 58;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 14; for the visitors on the road - 14;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 40.21;
- Today's home team averages 20.55, while the visitors average 19.66.
First Quarter Stats: Washington Mystics (W) (home) vs Connecticut Sun (W) (away)
- Tournament matches played: 21 vs 22;
- Number of wins: 14 (66.67%) vs 10 (45.45%);
- Number of losses: 7 (33.33%) vs 11 (50%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 1 (4.55%).
- Average points scored: 22.29 vs 22.68;
- Average points conceded: 21.62 vs 24.14.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 7 vs 4;
- Number of losses: 2 vs 6;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 44.6 (scored - 23.4, conceded - 21.2) vs 43.2 (scored - 20.2, conceded - 23).
- Over 38.5 points in the 1st quarter in 11 of last 12 Washington Mystics (W) games (WNBA).
- Over 38.5 points in the 1st quarter in 8 of last 9 Connecticut Sun (W) away games (WNBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 79.36, for the away team - 80.12;
- average total points in H2H matches - 159.48.
Statistics: Washington Mystics (W) vs Connecticut Sun (W)
- average total in the tournament: 165.73 vs 166.55;
- average total points scored: 83.3 vs 78.55;
- average total points conceded: 82.43 vs 88;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 39.95 vs 40.73;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 41.98 vs 37.68;
- Washington Mystics (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 84.19;
- Connecticut Sun (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 77.55;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 89.7 (home - 85.67) vs 76.7 (away - 73.4).
- Over 152.5 points scored in last 8 Washington Mystics (W) games (WNBA).
- Over 152.5 points scored in 10 of last 11 Connecticut Sun (W) games (WNBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 58;
- number of wins for the home team - 26, for the away team - 32.
Statistics: Washington Mystics (W) vs Connecticut Sun (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 42 vs 42;
- number of wins: 27 (61.36%) vs 11 (25%);
- number of losses: 17 (38.64%) vs 33 (75%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 13;
- number of away wins for the away team: 4.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 7 vs 2;
- number of losses: 3 vs 8;
- number of home wins for the home team: 2;
- number of away wins for the away team: 0.
- Connecticut Sun (W) won with a +11.5 points handicap in 13 of last 14 away games against Washington Mystics (W) (WNBA).
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Washington consistently put up close to 90 points, even when facing tough opponents. Connecticut’s defensive struggles persist - they have allowed an average of over 91 points per game across their last ten outings. The main trend also points toward high scoring: the total has gone over 152.5 in each of the Mystics’ last eight games. With Washington’s offensive firepower matched against Connecticut’s defensive vulnerabilities, our editorial team expects an open contest with plenty of scoring from both sides. The pick - over 155.5 total points.
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Betting Tips: Washington Mystics (W) - Connecticut Sun (W)
in 8 of last 9 home games (WNBA).in last 10 away games (WNBA).
in 14 of last 15 away games (WNBA).in 8 of last 9 games (WNBA).in 8 of last 9 away games (WNBA).
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