Franca vs Brasília Prediction 28 May 2026
🔊 Sesi Franca host Brasilia in a do-or-die clash in the decisive Game 5 of their playoff semi-final series in the Brazilian Championship. The visitors recently pulled off a surprise win on the road to level the series, setting up this winner-takes-all showdown. Who will join Pinheiros in the championship final? We’ll find out soon enough, but for now let’s break down this matchup and offer a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Sesi Franca and Brasília:
- played 21 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 16 for today's home team and 5 for the guests;
- the home team averages 87.05 points per match, the guests - 79.33;
- average total match points - 166.38.
The last confrontation took place on 26 May 2026 at the venue of Sesi Franca and ended with a score of 69:71.
Head-to-head statistics Franca - Brasília
Sesi Franca Team Overview
Sesi Franca head into this clash still reeling from a narrow defeat to Brasilia in the previous game of the series. However, with six wins and four losses in their last ten outings, the team have shown consistent form, especially thriving on home court. Throughout the season, Franca have been prolific offensively, averaging 88.9 points per game, with a recent stretch seeing them post 81.4 points on average.
Defensively, they remain solid, conceding around 76-77 points per contest both over the season and in their latest fixtures. Franca’s main strength lies in their aggressive offense and ability to maintain a high tempo, even against tough opposition. While that trademark pace didn’t pay off in their last encounter, fans are hopeful their side will bounce back when it matters most.
Match Results: Sesi Franca
Brasília Team Overview
Brasilia claimed victory in their last outing against Sesi Franca, but their record over the past ten games stands at an even split, highlighting some inconsistency in their recent form. The visitors have averaged nearly 80 points per game this season, though that figure has dipped to just under 76 points in recent matchups, while conceding a similar average of 77.4.
Defensively, they have held up reasonably well compared to their season average of 72.7 points allowed, yet their offensive output has clearly dropped: Brasilia have now failed to surpass the 74.5-point mark in five consecutive contests. In the previous game of the series, Brasilia unexpectedly raised their defensive intensity, and it will be intriguing to see how they perform in this decisive showdown.
Match Results: Brasília
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 21;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 8; for the visitors on the road - 3;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 41.81;
- Today's home team averages 22.81, while the visitors average 19.
First Quarter Stats: Sesi Franca (home) vs Brasília (away)
- Tournament matches played: 25 vs 25;
- Number of wins: 16 (64%) vs 11 (44%);
- Number of losses: 8 (32%) vs 11 (44%);
- Number of draws: 1 (4%) vs 3 (12%).
- Average points scored: 23.8 vs 19.28;
- Average points conceded: 19.96 vs 19.4.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 4;
- Number of losses: 5 vs 5;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 1;
- Average first quarter total: 41.2 (scored - 20.8, conceded - 20.4) vs 36.9 (scored - 18.5, conceded - 18.4).
- Sesi Franca scored over 18.5 points in the 1st quarter in 21 of last 22 home games.
- Sesi Franca scored over 18.5 points in the 1st quarter in 14 of last 15 home games (Brazil League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 21;
- number of wins for the home team - 16, for the away team - 5.
Statistics: Sesi Franca vs Brasília
- number of tournament matches played: 38 vs 38;
- number of wins: 40 (80%) vs 36 (70.59%);
- number of losses: 10 (20%) vs 15 (29.41%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 19;
- number of away wins for the away team: 14.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 6 vs 6;
- number of losses: 4 vs 4;
- number of home wins for the home team: 2;
- number of away wins for the away team: 2.
- Brasília won with a +9.5 points handicap in 18 of last 19 away games.
- Brasília won with a +9.5 points handicap in 17 of last 18 away games (Brazil League).
- Brasília won with a +9.5 points handicap in 6 of last 7 games (Brazil League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 87.05, for the away team - 79.33;
- average total points in H2H matches - 166.38.
Statistics: Sesi Franca vs Brasília
- average total in the tournament: 165.66 vs 152.61;
- average total points scored: 88.96 vs 79.88;
- average total points conceded: 76.7 vs 72.73;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 46.02 vs 38.92;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 42.72 vs 40.29;
- Sesi Franca: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 91.04;
- Brasília: average total points scored away in the tournament - 77.88;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 81.4 (home - 81.2) vs 75.9 (away - 75.5).
- Brasília have scored under 74.5 points in last 5 games (Brazil League).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams are well-organized defensively and rarely rush their attacks, maintaining a measured tempo throughout. Brasilia's offensive output has notably dipped, especially against top-tier playoff opponents. This pattern has held firm: the visitors have fallen short of their usual individual total in five consecutive games, averaging under 74.5 points per outing. Given the added psychological pressure of such a high-stakes clash, we expect Cesi to struggle offensively as well. The pace is likely to slow to a crawl, setting up a low-scoring affair. Our pick: under 158.5 total points.No comments
Betting Tips: Sesi Franca - Brasília
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