Franca vs Brasília Prediction
🔊 On Tuesday, one of the NBB playoff semifinals will see Sesi Franca and Brasília go head-to-head. The hosts have enjoyed a dominant season, finishing the regular campaign at the top of the standings and powering through the playoff bracket so far. In contrast, the visitors wrapped up the regular season in fourth place, so it’s no surprise that bookmakers have them pegged as clear underdogs for this clash. Can the capital city franchise put up a fight? Let’s break down this matchup and offer a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Sesi Franca and Brasília:
- played 17 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 14 for today's home team and 3 for the guests;
- the home team averages 90.71 points per match, the guests - 81.59;
- average total match points - 172.29.
The last confrontation took place on 14 April 2026 at the venue of Brasília and ended with a score of 78:83.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Sesi Franca Team Overview
Sesi Franca have racked up seven wins in their last ten outings. The team are in good form overall, but a certain inconsistency is still apparent: three defeats in that same stretch highlight the need for greater focus in crunch time, especially now as they enter the season’s decisive phase. At home, Sesi Franca are averaging 86.6 points per game while conceding 79.1 over their last ten matches; their season averages are even more impressive - 90.48 scored and just 77.3 allowed. This balance underscores their offensive firepower and ability to put together high-scoring runs, even against top-tier opposition.
The regular season champions have already dispatched Botafogo and Mogi das Cruzes in the playoffs. While they breezed past the former with a 3-0 sweep, the series against Mogi went down to the wire - everything hung in the balance until the closing seconds of a dramatic Game 5. In a tense clutch finish, Sesi edged out a 78-77 victory, with the American duo of Bennett and Jackson combining for 39 points. Still, the performance was far from perfect: Franca were outmatched on the boards and in assists. It’s clear they will need to step up their game, as Brasilia present a far tougher challenge than their previous opponents.
Match Results: Sesi Franca
Brasília Team Overview
Brasilia are in similar form to their current opponents, having picked up seven wins and three losses over their last ten outings. However, their recent averages are less impressive than Sesi Franca’s home numbers: the visitors put up 78.8 points per game while conceding around 75.3, suggesting a solid defense but an offense that lacks the same punch as their rivals. Looking at season-long stats, Brasilia’s case is stronger-averaging 81 points scored and allowing fewer than 73-which propelled them into the regular season’s top four.
In the playoffs, the franchise have followed a trajectory much like Sesi’s: they cruised past Caxias do Sul in the opening round, but needed five games to edge out Flamengo. The decisive clash was settled in crunch time (72-69), with Paulichi making the key contribution-posting 18 points and 8 rebounds. Brasilia also shot significantly better from beyond the arc (30.7% accuracy compared to Flamengo’s mere 21.8%). However, their struggles on the offensive glass (just 6 rebounds to Flamengo’s 15) raise concerns-this weakness could prove costly in the current series.
Match Results: Brasília
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 17;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 7; for the visitors on the road - 2;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 43.76;
- Today's home team averages 24.41, while the visitors average 19.35.
First Quarter Stats: Sesi Franca (home) vs Brasília (away)
- Tournament matches played: 23 vs 23;
- Number of wins: 15 (65.22%) vs 10 (43.48%);
- Number of losses: 7 (30.43%) vs 10 (43.48%);
- Number of draws: 1 (4.35%) vs 3 (13.04%).
- Average points scored: 24.61 vs 19.48;
- Average points conceded: 20.22 vs 19.83.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 4;
- Number of losses: 5 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 2;
- Average first quarter total: 49.4 (scored - 26.1, conceded - 23.3) vs 41 (scored - 20.9, conceded - 20.1).
- Over 41.5 points in the 1st quarter in 15 of last 16 Sesi Franca home games.
- Over 41.5 points in the 1st quarter in 12 of last 13 Sesi Franca home games (Brazil League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 17;
- number of wins for the home team - 14, for the away team - 3.
Statistics: Sesi Franca vs Brasília
- number of tournament matches played: 38 vs 38;
- number of wins: 38 (82.61%) vs 34 (72.34%);
- number of losses: 8 (17.39%) vs 13 (27.66%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 18;
- number of away wins for the away team: 13.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 7 vs 7;
- number of losses: 3 vs 3;
- number of home wins for the home team: 2;
- number of away wins for the away team: 2.
- Brasília won with a +8.5 points handicap in 32 of last 33 games.
- Brasília won with a +8.5 points handicap in 31 of last 32 games (Brazil League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 90.71, for the away team - 81.59;
- average total points in H2H matches - 172.29.
Statistics: Sesi Franca vs Brasília
- average total in the tournament: 167.78 vs 153.57;
- average total points scored: 90.48 vs 80.74;
- average total points conceded: 77.3 vs 72.83;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 46.93 vs 39.3;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 43.3 vs 40.72;
- Sesi Franca: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 92.65;
- Brasília: average total points scored away in the tournament - 78.65;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 86.6 (home - 85.4) vs 78.8 (away - 76.25).
- Sesi Franca have scored over 86.5 points in 11 of last 12 home games (Brazil League).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The clash promises to be played at a high tempo, with both teams known for their aggressive attacking style-especially the hosts, who have delivered impressive home scoring all season long. Cesi Franca hold a clear edge in offensive organization and shot conversion, consistently posting averages above the 80-point mark, even against elite opponents. In their last twelve home games, the hosts have surpassed the 86.5-point total in eleven outings. Our editorial team backs Cesi Franca’s individual total over 84.5 as the main pick for this matchup.
Betting Tips: Sesi Franca - Brasília
in 16 of last 17 home games (Brazil League).in 15 of last 17 games (Brazil League).in 8 of last 9 home games (Brazil League).in 7 of last 8 games (Brazil League).in last 5 home games.
Other predictions
