Oklahoma vs Raptors Prediction 26 January 2026
🔊 The matchup between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Toronto Raptors promises to be a standout event in the NBA regular season. The reigning champions continue to dominate the league, despite a recent stumble against a struggling Indiana side. Meanwhile, the visitors are having their best season in years, sitting in the Top 4 of the East. They arrive for this clash with the Thunder riding a three-game winning streak, and it will be intriguing to see if they can hold their own against an irked favorite. Let's break down the game and offer a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Oklahoma City Thunder and Toronto Raptors:
- played 36 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 22 for today's home team and 14 for the guests;
- the home team averages 111.17 points per match, the guests - 106.67;
- average total match points - 217.83.
The last confrontation took place on 08 February 2025 at the venue of Oklahoma City Thunder and ended with a score of 121:109.
Head-to-head statistics Oklahoma - Raptors
Oklahoma City Thunder Team Overview
The Oklahoma City Thunder are in remarkable form, securing their 37th win in 46 games this season. Over their last five outings, the team has claimed three victories and suffered two defeats, most recently falling to league underdogs Indiana in a stunning upset (114-117).
Their average scoring remains high, thanks to a balanced offense and a reliable defense, which still ranks as the best in defensive ratings (108 points allowed). The franchise excels particularly in rebounding and interior play, but they are currently feeling the absence of the injured Hartenstein, leaving them vulnerable in the paint.
Match Results: Oklahoma City Thunder
Toronto Raptors Team Overview
The Toronto Raptors are riding high after securing three consecutive victories, which gives their fans plenty of optimism ahead of their visit to the reigning champions. Offensively, they often rely on fast breaks and three-point shots, although their shooting consistency could use some improvement.
Like Oklahoma, the Canadians' main strength remains their robust defense, allowing just 112.2 points per game (ranking 6th). Coach Rajakovic operates with a tight rotation, which might pose challenges as the regular season progresses, but for now, the excellent chemistry of the starting five combined with high motivation is a significant advantage. Notably, all three recent wins came on the road, with the latest being a 110-98 victory over Portland.
Match Results: Toronto Raptors
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 36;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 9; for the visitors on the road - 8;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 53.89;
- Today's home team averages 27.58, while the visitors average 26.31.
First Quarter Stats: Oklahoma City Thunder (home) vs Toronto Raptors (away)
- Tournament matches played: 25 vs 27;
- Number of wins: 15 (60%) vs 16 (59.26%);
- Number of losses: 7 (28%) vs 9 (33.33%);
- Number of draws: 3 (12%) vs 2 (7.41%).
- Average points scored: 30.8 vs 29.48;
- Average points conceded: 26.96 vs 27.26.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 6 vs 6;
- Number of losses: 3 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 59.2 (scored - 30.9, conceded - 28.3) vs 55.6 (scored - 29.2, conceded - 26.4).
- Oklahoma City Thunder scored under 31.5 points in the 1st quarter in 12 of last 14 games against Toronto Raptors (NBA).
- Oklahoma City Thunder scored under 31.5 points in the 1st quarter in 6 of last 7 home games against Toronto Raptors (NBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 36;
- Home team wins - 22, away team wins - 14.
- Toronto Raptors won with a +19.5 points handicap in last 12 away games against Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 111.17, for the away team - 106.67;
- average total points in H2H matches - 217.83.
Statistics: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Toronto Raptors
- average total in the tournament: 228.06 vs 226.45;
- average total points scored: 119.9 vs 114.25;
- average total points conceded: 108.15 vs 112.21;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 60.04 vs 56.89;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 58.63 vs 56.55;
- Oklahoma City Thunder: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 120.76;
- Toronto Raptors: average total points scored away in the tournament - 114.37;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 118.9 (home - 116.6) vs 113.4 (away - 114.14).
- Over 220.5 points scored in last 6 Oklahoma City Thunder games against Toronto Raptors (NBA).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Oklahoma favor long possession plays and dominance in the paint, while Toronto rely on fast breaks and aggressive defense. Considering the current form of both teams, it's reasonable to expect an intense game with plenty of scoring opportunities on both sides. The absence of Hartenstein and Caruso significantly weakens the Thunder's defense, allowing the Canadians to make a strong offensive showing. However, the home team, eager to bounce back from their previous defeat, won’t be holding back either. We’re backing over 221.5 total points.No comments
Betting Tips: Oklahoma City Thunder - Toronto Raptors
in 7 of last 8 home games against Toronto Raptors (NBA).in 7 of last 8 games (NBA).in 11 of last 12 home games (NBA).in 13 of last 15 Oklahoma City Thunder home games against Toronto Raptors (NBA)..svg)
in 12 of last 14 games against Toronto Raptors (NBA).in 6 of last 7 home games against Toronto Raptors (NBA).
Other predictions
