Romania vs Bulgaria Prediction 30 August 2026

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The main thing

    ๐Ÿ€ Romania welcome Bulgaria in a EuroBasket qualifying clash that draws attention primarily due to the hostsโ€™ impressive recent home record. Both national teams enter the contest with contrasting current form, adding an extra layer of intrigue to this matchup. The home side have already kicked off the second phase of qualification with a win, while the visitors are set to make their debut in this stage on Sunday. Unsurprisingly, bookmakers list Bulgaria as clear favorites, especially with European superstar Vezenkov leading their roster.

    Head-to-Head

    ๐Ÿ“ŠThese national teams last faced each other in 2023, with a hard-fought away clash ending 62-61.

    Head-to-head statistics Romania - Bulgaria

    25%
    1 Win
    75%
    3 Wins
    10.07.23
    Int. Friendly Games
    Bulgaria
    Bulgaria
    Romania
    Romania
    92
    65
    23.02.23
    European Ch.ship QF
    Romania
    Romania
    Bulgaria
    Bulgaria
    61
    62
    12
    16
    13
    15
    19
    13
    17
    18
    28.08.22
    EuroBasket, Pre-Qualifiers, 2nd round, Gr F
    Bulgaria
    Bulgaria
    Romania
    Romania
    84
    72
    29
    19
    12
    15
    23
    20
    20
    18
    14.08.16
    FRI
    Romania
    Romania
    Bulgaria
    Bulgaria
    76
    83
    17
    23
    24
    22
    16
    16
    19
    22
    10.08.13
    European Ch.ship QF
    Bulgaria
    Bulgaria
    Romania
    Romania
    74
    77
    19
    20
    5
    24
    27
    16
    23
    17
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    Romania Team Overview

    Romania have posted an even split in their last ten outings, recording five wins and five losses. Their latest victory underlines the squadโ€™s ability to grind out results even when momentum isnโ€™t on their side. Over that stretch, the national team have averaged 76.9 points per game while conceding slightly more at 79.1. However, their season-long offensive numbers are far more impressive: they put up 89 points per contest while allowing an average of 78. Home court remains Romaniaโ€™s key asset. On their own floor, the team consistently showcase organized defense and often manage to hold opponents to modest scoring totals. One of their main strengths is the ability to adjust to the visitorsโ€™ pace and maintain control at the back. The biggest concern for Romania is their low shooting percentage from mid- and long-range, especially when facing disciplined defensive sides.

    Match Results: Romania

    27.08.26
    European Ch.ship QF
    Denmark
    Denmark
    Romania
    Romania
    78
    89
    10
    22
    23
    16
    20
    27
    25
    24
    W
    05.07.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Montenegro
    Montenegro
    Romania
    Romania
    65
    64
    17
    14
    11
    15
    27
    21
    10
    14
    L
    02.07.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Romania
    Romania
    Greece
    Greece
    73
    66
    16
    18
    19
    20
    16
    20
    22
    8
    W
    02.03.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Romania
    Romania
    Portugal
    Portugal
    101
    96
    27
    22
    23
    31
    26
    20
    25
    23
    W
    27.02.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Portugal
    Portugal
    Romania
    Romania
    99
    82
    25
    12
    29
    34
    21
    15
    24
    21
    L
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    Bulgaria Team Overview

    Bulgaria boast a more balanced roster, featuring players with significant European club competition experience. All eyes will be on the teamโ€™s leader and last seasonโ€™s EuroLeague MVP. The Bulgarians are comfortable embracing the role of favourites-not just for this match, but for Group D as a whole. They excel at imposing a slow, physical tempo even on the road, adapting their game plan smartly to counter their opponentsโ€™ strengths. Over their last ten games, Bulgaria have averaged 82.3 points scored while conceding 80.9. Fans are eager to see their side live up to their billing as favourites and set the tone in this clash against Romania.

    Match Results: Bulgaria

    21.08.26
    International
    Slovakia
    Slovakia
    Bulgaria
    Bulgaria
    79
    81
    16
    21
    19
    21
    17
    18
    27
    21
    W
    20.08.26
    International
    Bulgaria
    Bulgaria
    Angola
    Angola
    75
    82
    14
    17
    14
    19
    19
    30
    28
    16
    L
    05.07.26
    European Ch.ship QF
    Bulgaria
    Bulgaria
    Norway
    Norway
    88
    57
    27
    10
    25
    17
    22
    12
    14
    18
    W
    25.06.26
    International
    North Macedonia
    North Macedonia
    Bulgaria
    Bulgaria
    91
    87
    21
    22
    24
    21
    21
    23
    25
    21
    L
    21.06.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Bulgaria
    Bulgaria
    North Macedonia
    North Macedonia
    97
    68
    28
    20
    22
    17
    25
    16
    22
    15
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H:

    • average total points per match for the home team - 69.5, for the away team - 76;
    • average total points in H2H matches - 145.5.

    Statistics: Romania vs Bulgaria

    • average total in the tournament: 167 vs 156;
    • average total points scored: 89 vs 85;
    • average total points conceded: 78 vs 71;
    • average total points scored in the 1st half: 38 vs 41.33;
    • average total points scored in the 2nd half: 51 vs 43.67;
    • Romania: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 0;
    • Bulgaria: average total points scored away in the tournament - 83.5;
    • last 10 matches (average total points scored): 76.9 (home - 80.8) vs 82.3 (away - 81).
    Trends
    • Under 162.5 points scored in 11 of last 12 Romania home games.
    • Under 162.5 points scored in last 9 Romania home games (European Ch.ship QF).
    👉Prediction: Total points Under (162,5) (odds: 1.72)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • Number of encounters - 4;
    • Home team wins - 1, away team wins - 3.
    Trends
    • Romania won with a +7.5 points handicap in last 10 home games.
    • Romania won with a +7.5 points handicap in 7 of last 8 games (European Ch.ship QF).
    👉Prediction: Romania Handicap (+7,5) (odds: 1.72)

    โญ Editorial Prediction

    Given the significance of the result and the specific playing styles of both teams, itโ€™s reasonable to expect a tight contest, with an emphasis on half-court offense and physical battles in the paint. Bulgaria come into this clash as the more cohesive and experienced side, fully capable of claiming a win on the road. However, Romania, buoyed by home support, will look to contain their opponentsโ€™ offense and avoid a blowout. Backing the favorites with a handicap carries some risk here. Instead, the smarter play appears to be the under 162.5 total points- a bet that has landed in 11 of Romaniaโ€™s last 12 home games.

    Total points Under (162,5)
    Published: 28/08/2026, 12:44
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Basketball specialist
    47
    1
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    99 predictions
    Statistics for August 2026

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    Betting Tips: Romania - Bulgaria

    Romania won the 2nd half:
    romania-6in last 7 home games.
    2nd Half Romania Win
    -
    Romania won the 4th quarter:
    romania-6in last 7 home games.
    4th Quarter Romania Win
    -
    Romania lost the 1st half:
    romania-6in 5 of last 6 home games (European Ch.ship QF).
    1st Half Bulgaria Win
    -
    Under 162.5 points scored:
    romania-6in 11 of last 12 Romania home games.
    romania-6in last 9 Romania home games (European Ch.ship QF).
    Total points Under (162,5)
    -139
    View more facts