Memphis vs Oklahoma Prediction 25 April 2025

    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    108
    114
    40
    37
    18
    13
    29
    22
    36
    27

    🔊 This Friday, the Memphis Grizzlies will host the third game of their opening playoff series against the Oklahoma City Thunder. The home team will aim to give their fans hope that they can challenge the regular season champions, despite suffering two lackluster defeats on the road. Will Morant and company manage to notch a win in this matchup, or will the Thunder move closer to a clean sweep of the Grizzlies? Let's break down the game and provide an insightful prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the Memphis Grizzlies and Oklahoma City Thunder:

    • They have played 54 games;
    • Wins (including overtime): 20 for today's home team and 34 for the visitors;
    • The home team averages 103.54 points per game, while the visitors average 107.48;
    • The average total points per game is 211.02.

    The last head-to-head took place on 22 April 2025 at the Oklahoma City Thunder's venue and ended with a score of 118-99.

    Head-to-head statistics Memphis - Oklahoma

    34%
    20 Wins
    66%
    39 Wins
    10.01.26
    NBA
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    116
    117
    35
    25
    30
    21
    29
    35
    22
    36
    23.12.25
    NBA
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    119
    103
    31
    28
    36
    26
    17
    19
    35
    30
    09.11.25
    NBA
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    100
    114
    33
    25
    29
    26
    18
    34
    20
    29
    26.04.25
    NBA
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    115
    117
    31
    34
    28
    26
    26
    28
    30
    29
    25.04.25
    NBA
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    108
    114
    40
    29
    37
    22
    18
    36
    13
    27
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Memphis Grizzlies Team Overview

    The Memphis Grizzlies have sparked one major question with their performances in the first two games: why did they fire the most successful coach in the franchise's history, Taylor Jenkins, at the end of the regular season and push for the playoffs? Surely, the Dallas Mavericks, who fell short in the play-in, wouldn't have suffered such a humiliating 51-point defeat. In the second game of the series, Memphis showed some improvement, but still, a 19-point loss (99-118) hardly qualifies as a respectable performance. 

    Jackson Jr. and Morant put up decent numbers with 26 and 23 points respectively, but little beyond that. As soon as these two leaders took a break on the bench, their teammates appeared utterly helpless against Oklahoma's formidable defense. With each game, it becomes increasingly clear that the Thunder are simply two levels above, and it would be a significant achievement for the Tennesseans if they manage not to get swept in the series. 

    Match Results: Memphis Grizzlies

    20.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    90
    94
    24
    23
    23
    24
    29
    19
    14
    28
    L
    18.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Houston Rockets
    Houston Rockets
    101
    90
    24
    9
    24
    24
    25
    24
    28
    33
    W
    17.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Atlanta Hawks
    Atlanta Hawks
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    64
    96
    2
    32
    20
    19
    20
    25
    22
    20
    W
    14.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    85
    106
    24
    22
    20
    25
    13
    29
    28
    30
    W
    13.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    88
    96
    19
    24
    27
    26
    19
    18
    23
    28
    L
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    Oklahoma City Thunder Team Overview

    The Oklahoma City Thunder are in peak form, having won their last five games consecutively and boasting an impressive season record of 70 wins and only 12 losses over 82 regular-season games. Known for their powerful, balanced basketball on both ends of the court, this approach has been highly effective in the playoffs so far. While their first-round opponent was relatively weak, it's clear that Mike Daigneault's squad is playing with a significant margin of dominance.

    In the second game, Oklahoma methodically applied pressure on their opponent for the full 48 minutes, leaving no doubt about their victory. Ultimately, all three leading scorers-Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, and Jalen Williams-each racked up over 20 points. It seems that this Thunder team, with their incredibly well-coordinated teamwork, phenomenal defense, and deep bench, is nearly unstoppable. This might just be an illusion that could dissipate in the later rounds, but for now, Oklahoma rightfully stands as the leading favorite in the championship race. There might not be a better opportunity than now to claim the organization's first-ever championship trophy.

    Match Results: Oklahoma City Thunder

    19.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Brooklyn Nets
    Brooklyn Nets
    90
    108
    24
    37
    21
    23
    19
    22
    26
    26
    L
    16.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    87
    97
    20
    24
    25
    25
    18
    28
    24
    20
    L
    15.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    103
    106
    22
    31
    29
    29
    20
    18
    32
    28
    L
    12.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    104
    79
    27
    16
    26
    22
    20
    18
    31
    23
    L
    11.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    96
    84
    24
    23
    29
    20
    33
    23
    10
    18
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Total encounters - 54;
    • Home team victories - 20, away team victories - 34.
    Trends
    • Memphis Grizzlies have lost 11 consecutive head-to-head games against these opponents (NBA).
    • Oklahoma City Thunder have won 17 of their last 19 games (NBA).
    • Oklahoma City Thunder have won 14 of their last 15 road games (NBA).
    👉Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder Win (inc. OT) (odds: 1.29)

    Total Points Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Average points per game for the home team - 103.54, for the visitors - 107.48;
    • Average total points in head-to-head games - 211.02.

    Statistics: Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder

    • Average total in the tournament: 237.83 vs 227.8;
    • Average points scored: 120.87 vs 120.6;
    • Average points conceded: 116.95 vs 107.2;
    • Average points in the first half: 60.57 vs 61.94;
    • Average points in the second half: 60.14 vs 58.57;
    • Memphis Grizzlies: Average points scored at home in the tournament - 123.36;
    • Oklahoma City Thunder: Average points scored on the road in the tournament - 118.35;
    • Last 10 games (average points scored): 112.4 (home - 125.67) vs 124.4 (away - 124).
    👉Prediction: Total points Over (227,5) (odds: 1.93)

    Editor's Prediction

    Considering the current form of both teams, it's hard to see Memphis rising from the ashes and competing on equal footing, even at home. Unless Oklahoma unexpectedly fields their entire reserve squad-which is unlikely in a knockout round-it's expected that we'll witness the visitors' dominance once again, as they've been highly successful against the Grizzlies with an 11-game winning streak. We recommend betting on Oklahoma to win with a spread of (-7.5).

    Oklahoma City Thunder Handicap (-7,5)
    Published: 23/04/2025, 16:48

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    Betting Tips: Memphis Grizzlies - Oklahoma City Thunder

    Memphis Grizzlies have lost:
    memphis-grizzliesoklahoma-city-thunderin last 11 games against Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA).
    Oklahoma City Thunder have won:
    oklahoma-city-thunderin 17 of last 19 games (NBA).
    oklahoma-city-thunderin 14 of last 15 away games (NBA).
    Oklahoma City Thunder Win (inc. OT)
    Bovada
    -417
    Memphis Grizzlies lost the 2nd quarter:
    memphis-grizzliesoklahoma-city-thunderin 10 of last 11 games against Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA).
    2nd Quarter Oklahoma City Thunder Win
    -156
    Memphis Grizzlies lost the 1st half:
    memphis-grizzliesoklahoma-city-thunderin last 9 games against Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA).
    1st Half Oklahoma City Thunder Win
    -222
    Memphis Grizzlies lost the 1st quarter:
    memphis-grizzliesoklahoma-city-thunderin 8 of last 9 games against Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA).
    1st Quarter Oklahoma City Thunder Win
    -149

    Memphis - Oklahoma Table position

    Group stage WESTB
    gWLForm
    1.
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    431
    2.
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix Suns
    431
    3.
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    422
    4.
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    422
    5.
    Utah Jazz
    Utah Jazz
    404