Memphis vs Oklahoma Prediction 25 April 2025
🔊 This Friday, the Memphis Grizzlies will host the third game of their opening playoff series against the Oklahoma City Thunder. The home team will aim to give their fans hope that they can challenge the regular season champions, despite suffering two lackluster defeats on the road. Will Morant and company manage to notch a win in this matchup, or will the Thunder move closer to a clean sweep of the Grizzlies? Let's break down the game and provide an insightful prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the Memphis Grizzlies and Oklahoma City Thunder:
- They have played 54 games;
- Wins (including overtime): 20 for today's home team and 34 for the visitors;
- The home team averages 103.54 points per game, while the visitors average 107.48;
- The average total points per game is 211.02.
The last head-to-head took place on 22 April 2025 at the Oklahoma City Thunder's venue and ended with a score of 118-99.
Head-to-head statistics Memphis - Oklahoma

Memphis Grizzlies Team Overview
The Memphis Grizzlies have sparked one major question with their performances in the first two games: why did they fire the most successful coach in the franchise's history, Taylor Jenkins, at the end of the regular season and push for the playoffs? Surely, the Dallas Mavericks, who fell short in the play-in, wouldn't have suffered such a humiliating 51-point defeat. In the second game of the series, Memphis showed some improvement, but still, a 19-point loss (99-118) hardly qualifies as a respectable performance.
Jackson Jr. and Morant put up decent numbers with 26 and 23 points respectively, but little beyond that. As soon as these two leaders took a break on the bench, their teammates appeared utterly helpless against Oklahoma's formidable defense. With each game, it becomes increasingly clear that the Thunder are simply two levels above, and it would be a significant achievement for the Tennesseans if they manage not to get swept in the series.
Match Results: Memphis Grizzlies

Oklahoma City Thunder Team Overview
The Oklahoma City Thunder are in peak form, having won their last five games consecutively and boasting an impressive season record of 70 wins and only 12 losses over 82 regular-season games. Known for their powerful, balanced basketball on both ends of the court, this approach has been highly effective in the playoffs so far. While their first-round opponent was relatively weak, it's clear that Mike Daigneault's squad is playing with a significant margin of dominance.
In the second game, Oklahoma methodically applied pressure on their opponent for the full 48 minutes, leaving no doubt about their victory. Ultimately, all three leading scorers-Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, and Jalen Williams-each racked up over 20 points. It seems that this Thunder team, with their incredibly well-coordinated teamwork, phenomenal defense, and deep bench, is nearly unstoppable. This might just be an illusion that could dissipate in the later rounds, but for now, Oklahoma rightfully stands as the leading favorite in the championship race. There might not be a better opportunity than now to claim the organization's first-ever championship trophy.
Match Results: Oklahoma City Thunder
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 54;
- Home team victories - 20, away team victories - 34.
- Memphis Grizzlies have lost 11 consecutive head-to-head games against these opponents (NBA).
- Oklahoma City Thunder have won 17 of their last 19 games (NBA).
- Oklahoma City Thunder have won 14 of their last 15 road games (NBA).
Total Points Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Average points per game for the home team - 103.54, for the visitors - 107.48;
- Average total points in head-to-head games - 211.02.
Statistics: Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder
- Average total in the tournament: 237.83 vs 227.8;
- Average points scored: 120.87 vs 120.6;
- Average points conceded: 116.95 vs 107.2;
- Average points in the first half: 60.57 vs 61.94;
- Average points in the second half: 60.14 vs 58.57;
- Memphis Grizzlies: Average points scored at home in the tournament - 123.36;
- Oklahoma City Thunder: Average points scored on the road in the tournament - 118.35;
- Last 10 games (average points scored): 112.4 (home - 125.67) vs 124.4 (away - 124).