Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction
🔊 In an exhilarating WNBA showdown, the Phoenix Mercury host the Golden State Valkyries on their home court. Both teams sit at the top of the standings, vying to improve their positions ahead of the playoffs, adding extra significance to this matchup. Their previous encounter ended in a Mercury victory, and now the Californians are eager for revenge.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of the previous official games between Phoenix Mercury (W) and Golden State Valkyries (W):
- They have played 4 matches;
- Victories (including overtime): 3 for today's home team and 1 for the visitors;
- The hosts average 85.25 points per game, while the visitors average 82.25;
- The average total score is 167.5.
The last encounter took place on 20 August 2025 at the Golden State Valkyries' court and ended with a score of 91:98.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Phoenix Mercury (W) Team Overview
Phoenix Mercury have shown consistent form throughout the season. Out of their last five games, they've secured three victories but also suffered two defeats. Their average scoring keeps them in fifth place on the table, showcasing a balanced performance both in defense and offense. The team excels in rebounding and effectively blocks opponents' shots, although they occasionally struggle with long-range shooting. An interesting note: Phoenix is renowned for their team cohesion, with most of the roster playing together for several consecutive seasons.
Match Results: Phoenix Mercury (W)

Golden State Valkyries (W) Team Overview
The Golden State Valkyries enter this matchup riding a wave of success, having won six of their last ten games. They sit just behind Phoenix in the standings, thanks to their formidable offensive play. Known for their ability to swiftly transition from defense to offense, they effectively utilize three-point shooting to rack up points. However, their defense can sometimes be vulnerable against aggressive opponents. Interestingly, among their ranks is one of the league's youngest stars, who has already emerged as a leader in average points per game.
Match Results: Golden State Valkyries (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-head clashes:
- Total encounters - 4;
- First-quarter wins at home - 1; on the road - 1;
- Average first-quarter total: 40.25;
- Today's home team averages 19.75 points, visitors - 20.5.
First-quarter stats: Phoenix Mercury (W) (home) vs Golden State Valkyries (W) (away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 17;
- Wins: 8 (57.14%) vs 7 (41.18%);
- Losses: 6 (42.86%) vs 10 (58.82%);
- Draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 20.86 vs 19.76;
- Average points conceded: 18.57 vs 20.65.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- Wins: 5 vs 7;
- Losses: 5 vs 3;
- Draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first-quarter total: 42.8 (scored - 22.3, conceded - 20.5) vs 38.5 (scored - 20.8, conceded - 17.7).
- Golden State Valkyries (W) have won the first quarter in 6 consecutive games (WNBA).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total matchups - 4;
- Home team victories - 3, Away team victories - 1.
- Golden State Valkyries (W) have covered the +11.5 spread on the road in 14 of their last 16 games (WNBA).
Total Points Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Average points per game for home team - 85.25, for away team - 82.25;
- Average total points in head-to-head matchups - 167.5.
Statistics: Phoenix Mercury (W) vs Golden State Valkyries (W)
- Tournament average total: 165.83 vs 155.94;
- Average points scored: 84.5 vs 78.47;
- Average points conceded: 81.33 vs 77.47;
- Average points in the first half: 42.63 vs 39.19;
- Average points in the second half: 41.87 vs 38.94;
- Phoenix Mercury (W): Average points scored at home in the tournament - 85.29;
- Golden State Valkyries (W): Average points scored on the road in the tournament - 77.06;
- Last 10 games (average points scored): 85.3 (home - 81.5) vs 76.8 (away - 79.2).
- Total over 147.5 points hit in 11 of the last 12 home games for Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The match promises to be intense as both teams aim to secure advantageous positions ahead of the playoffs. We anticipate a high-scoring game, thanks to Golden State Valkyries' dynamic play and Phoenix Mercury's solid offense. The hosts are likely to rely on their paint defense and rebounding to neutralize the visitors' threats, while the Californians will look to leverage their fast breaks and long-range shooting to boost their score. Considering recent trends, we can expect a closely contested battle with a narrow margin in the final score between the opponents. We recommend placing a bet on total over 151.5.