Golden State Valkyries vs Mercury Prediction
🔊 On Wednesday, we're in for an exhilarating matchup in the WNBA as the Golden State Valkyries host the Phoenix Mercury. The game will take place in San Francisco and promises to be a true highlight of the regular season. Both teams are at the top of the standings, and their playoff positioning battle is intensifying by the day. This clash could significantly impact the future of both squads, especially considering their closely contested head-to-head results this season.
Head-to-Head
Let's start by looking at the head-to-head history. The teams have faced each other three times, with the current hosts winning one match and the visitors winning two.
The average total of 160.33 points comes from Golden State Valkyries (W) scoring 238 points and Phoenix Mercury (W) scoring 243 points.
The last official match between the teams took place on 15 July 2025 and ended with a score of 77-78.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Golden State Valkyries (W) Team Overview
The Golden State Valkyries are in decent form, having won seven of their last ten games. They currently sit in seventh place in the standings, with 18 victories out of 34 games this season. The team showcases consistent play at home, often leveraging the strengths of their guards to create fast breaks. However, they may face challenges in defending against opponents' long-range shots, which remains a weak spot for the squad. It's worth noting that the Valkyries have managed to defeat the Phoenix Mercury only once in their last five encounters.
Match Results: Golden State Valkyries (W)
Phoenix Mercury (W) Team Overview
Phoenix Mercury enter this matchup with solid form, having won five of their last ten games and currently sitting in fourth place with 20 victories this season. Their offensive strategy revolves around powerful forwards and a strong three-point shooting game. Despite a few recent losses, the team remains a formidable force due to their versatility and ability to adapt to various opponents' playing styles.
Match Results: Phoenix Mercury (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-head Matches:
- Total encounters - 3;
- First quarter wins for the home team (on their court) - 1; for the visitors (away) - 0;
- Average first quarter total: 34;
- Today's home team averages 17 points, while the visitors also average 17.
First Quarter Stats: Golden State Valkyries (W) (home) vs Phoenix Mercury (W) (away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 15;
- Number of wins: 8 (61.54%) vs 6 (40%);
- Number of losses: 5 (38.46%) vs 8 (53.33%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 1 (6.67%).
- Average points scored: 18.92 vs 20.53;
- Average points conceded: 18.31 vs 21.27.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 6 vs 6;
- Number of losses: 4 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 37.3 (scored - 19.7, conceded - 17.6) vs 41.9 (scored - 22.2, conceded - 19.7).
- The total for the first quarter has been under 37.5 points in 7 consecutive home games for the Golden State Valkyries (W) (NBA Women).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 3;
- Home team victories - 1, away team victories - 2.
- Golden State Valkyries (W) have covered the +6.5 spread at home in 12 of their last 13 games (WNBA).
Total Points Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Average total points scored by the home team - 79.33, by the away team - 81;
- Average total points scored in head-to-head matches - 160.33.
Statistics: Golden State Valkyries (W) vs. Phoenix Mercury (W)
- Average tournament total: 155.3 vs. 165.03;
- Average points scored: 78.57 vs. 84.03;
- Average points conceded: 76.73 vs. 81;
- Average points scored in the first half: 39 vs. 42.48;
- Average points scored in the second half: 39.2 vs. 41.55;
- Golden State Valkyries (W): average points scored at home in the tournament - 80.54;
- Phoenix Mercury (W): average points scored on the road in the tournament - 82.87;
- Last 10 games (average points scored): 75.5 (home - 72.67) vs. 83.1 (away - 84.17).
- Total under 162.5 points has hit in 12 of Golden State Valkyries' (W) last 14 games (WNBA).
- Total under 162.5 points has hit in Golden State Valkyries' (W) last 10 home games consecutively (WNBA).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams bring their strengths to the table: the Golden State Valkyries rely on a fast-paced offense, while the Phoenix Mercury look to dominate with accurate three-point shooting. Given the home advantage for the Valkyries, we can expect a more intense battle from the hosts. Considering Golden State's trend of performing well at home with a spread of +6.5 in nearly all of their games this season, this aspect of the matchup deserves attention. We anticipate a closely contested game with the likelihood that the hosts can avoid a heavy defeat. We're backing Golden State to win with a spread of (+7.5).
Betting Tips: Golden State Valkyries (W) - Phoenix Mercury (W)
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