Mercury vs Dallas Wings (W) Prediction 22 September 2026
🏀 The Phoenix Mercury are set to host the Dallas Wings in a WNBA clash. The hosts remain second from bottom in the Western Conference standings and are essentially playing out the remainder of the regular season. Meanwhile, the visitors have already secured their playoff berth and are clearly focused on the postseason. This matchup will be intriguing as both sides look to find motivation in what is, for all intents and purposes, a friendly encounter.
Head-to-Head
📊 The rivals have faced each other 55 times in official games. Phoenix have claimed 30 wins, while Dallas have secured 25 victories. Their most recent head-to-head took place on 19 September 2026 in Dallas, where the hosts came out on top with an 87-82 win.
Head-to-head statistics Mercury - Dallas Wings (W)
Phoenix Mercury (W) Team Overview
Phoenix Mercury have struggled for consistency lately, picking up just three wins in their last ten games while suffering seven defeats. Despite this rough patch, the team has managed to maintain solid offensive numbers at home, averaging 84.9 points per game over their last ten outings, though they concede an average of 86.5 points. Their season stats back up their offensive prowess, with an average of 84.93 points per contest, but defensive issues remain a major concern as opponents are putting up close to 87 points against them. The franchise thrive on fast breaks and look to push the tempo at every opportunity, yet persistent defensive lapses and struggles on the boards continue to undermine their efforts, even on their own court.
Match Results: Phoenix Mercury (W)
Dallas Wings (W) Team Overview
Dallas Wings are riding an impressive wave of form, heading into this matchup on a five-game winning streak. Over their last ten outings, they have claimed victory seven times while suffering just three defeats, highlighting a consistent run of results. On the road, the Texas side have been prolific offensively, averaging 90.1 points per game, while their defense has held firm - opponents have managed just 83 points on average across the Wings’ last ten away fixtures. Throughout the season, Dallas maintain a powerful attacking presence, nearly hitting the 90-point mark per contest, and their defense at the rim proves reliable as well, conceding just 84.9 points on average.
Match Results: Dallas Wings (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 55;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 13; for the visitors on the road - 12;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 40.55;
- Today's home team averages 20.27, while the visitors average 20.27.
First Quarter Stats: Phoenix Mercury (W) (home) vs Dallas Wings (W) (away)
- Tournament matches played: 21 vs 21;
- Number of wins: 9 (42.86%) vs 7 (33.33%);
- Number of losses: 10 (47.62%) vs 14 (66.67%);
- Number of draws: 2 (9.52%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 21.9 vs 20.33;
- Average points conceded: 22.33 vs 22.38.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 4 vs 5;
- Number of losses: 5 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 1;
- Average first quarter total: 42.9 (scored - 21.4, conceded - 21.5) vs 43.8 (scored - 23.9, conceded - 19.9).
- Over 42.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 5 Phoenix Mercury (W) games against Dallas Wings (W) (WNBA).
- Over 42.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 5 Dallas Wings (W) games (WNBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 84.25, for the away team - 81.71;
- average total points in H2H matches - 165.96.
Statistics: Phoenix Mercury (W) vs Dallas Wings (W)
- average total in the tournament: 172.02 vs 174.48;
- average total points scored: 84.93 vs 89.55;
- average total points conceded: 87.09 vs 84.93;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 42.89 vs 44.14;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 41.95 vs 44.7;
- Phoenix Mercury (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 85.81;
- Dallas Wings (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 89.81;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 84.9 (home - 86.4) vs 90.1 (away - 82.33).
- Over 168.5 points scored in 9 of last 10 Phoenix Mercury (W) games against Dallas Wings (W) (WNBA).
- Over 168.5 points scored in 8 of last 9 Phoenix Mercury (W) games (WNBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 55;
- number of wins for the home team - 30, for the away team - 25.
Statistics: Phoenix Mercury (W) vs Dallas Wings (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 42 vs 42;
- number of wins: 17 (38.64%) vs 28 (63.64%);
- number of losses: 27 (61.36%) vs 16 (36.36%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 7;
- number of away wins for the away team: 11.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 3 vs 7;
- number of losses: 7 vs 3;
- number of home wins for the home team: 1;
- number of away wins for the away team: 0.
- Dallas Wings (W) won with a -4.5 points handicap in last 6 games (WNBA).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Phoenix have the firepower to put up points at home, but their defense consistently struggles against top-tier opponents. The visitors, meanwhile, boast a reliable offense and maintain an impressive shooting percentage even on the road, as reflected in their recent stats. Over their last 10 games, the Texas franchise have surpassed the 86-point mark nine times. Given the hosts’ defensive frailties and ongoing slump, a well-founded pick would be to back Dallas to score over 86.5 points.
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Betting Tips: Phoenix Mercury (W) - Dallas Wings (W)
in 7 of last 8 games against Dallas Wings (W) (WNBA).in last 6 games (WNBA).in 9 of last 10 away games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).in 9 of last 10 Phoenix Mercury (W) games against Dallas Wings (W) (WNBA).in 8 of last 9 Phoenix Mercury (W) games (WNBA).
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