Dallas Wings (W) vs Mercury Prediction 19 September 2026
🔊 In this WNBA regular season clash, the Dallas Wings take on the Phoenix Mercury. Both teams have shown they can deliver strong offensive performances, as evidenced by their recent return to the court after a lengthy break. A fast-paced game is expected, giving both sides plenty of scoring opportunities. This could well result in a high-scoring affair.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last head-to-head took place in mid-June, with Dallas coming out on top, 85-70. It's worth noting that in each of the past five meetings, the home side has always secured the win.
Head-to-head statistics Dallas Wings (W) - Mercury
Dallas Wings (W) Team Overview
The hosts are in top form, riding a five-game winning streak. After nearly a three-week break, they returned to action with a convincing 97-77 victory over the Los Angeles Sparks. While recovery time after that outing was limited, fatigue shouldn’t be an issue for the squad. Dallas are likely to stick with their up-tempo style, especially at home where their shooting has been impressive - averaging around 89 points per game. Defensively, however, things are less clear-cut. They concede about 85 points on average, though there have been games where they’ve allowed significantly fewer. Still, expecting flawless execution on their own end isn’t realistic at this stage - especially with the opposition also hitting their stride.
Match Results: Dallas Wings (W)
Phoenix Mercury (W) Team Overview
Phoenix have struggled throughout the season, winning less than 40% of their games. However, their recent form offers some hope. At the end of August, they cruised past Toronto with a commanding 101-69 victory, and just days ago, they edged out Portland 94-91. The latest outing was a clear demonstration of Phoenix’s offensive capabilities. On average, the team puts up 85 points per game, and if Mercury maintain their high-tempo approach, they could easily push that number past 90. The major concern remains their defense, which the coaching staff seem to approach with a philosophical outlook. With no overarching ambitions for the season, individual stats often take precedence for the players. Offense is very much the priority.
Match Results: Phoenix Mercury (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 54;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 10; for the visitors on the road - 13;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 40.5;
- Today's home team averages 20.3, while the visitors average 20.2.
First Quarter Stats: Dallas Wings (W) (home) vs Phoenix Mercury (W) (away)
- Tournament matches played: 21 vs 20;
- Number of wins: 13 (61.9%) vs 9 (45%);
- Number of losses: 6 (28.57%) vs 11 (55%);
- Number of draws: 2 (9.52%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 23.19 vs 21.25;
- Average points conceded: 19.76 vs 21.25.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 3;
- Number of losses: 4 vs 6;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 1;
- Average first quarter total: 44.2 (scored - 24.1, conceded - 20.1) vs 44.3 (scored - 21.4, conceded - 22.9).
- Over 43.5 points in the 1st quarter in 6 of last 7 Dallas Wings (W) games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).
- Over 43.5 points in the 1st quarter in 6 of last 7 Dallas Wings (W) home games (WNBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 81.61, for the away team - 84.3;
- average total points in H2H matches - 165.91.
Statistics: Dallas Wings (W) vs Phoenix Mercury (W)
- average total in the tournament: 174.6 vs 172.09;
- average total points scored: 89.6 vs 85;
- average total points conceded: 85 vs 87.09;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 43.86 vs 42.74;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 45.02 vs 42.16;
- Dallas Wings (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 88.86;
- Phoenix Mercury (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 82.55;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 89 (home - 91.86) vs 84.9 (away - 83.4).
- Over 172.5 points scored in 8 of last 9 Dallas Wings (W) games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 54;
- number of wins for the home team - 24, for the away team - 30.
Statistics: Dallas Wings (W) vs Phoenix Mercury (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 41 vs 41;
- number of wins: 27 (62.79%) vs 17 (39.53%);
- number of losses: 16 (37.21%) vs 26 (60.47%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 15;
- number of away wins for the away team: 8.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 6 vs 3;
- number of losses: 4 vs 7;
- number of home wins for the home team: 6;
- number of away wins for the away team: 2.
- Phoenix Mercury (W) won with a +10.5 points handicap in last 7 games (WNBA).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The hosts come into this matchup as clear favorites. While they have had their share of slip-ups, their current form simply can't be overlooked - especially on the offensive end, where Dallas are generating quality looks with ease. Playing at home, their shots should be falling. It's hard to see Phoenix putting up much resistance on that front. That said, the visitors are also capable of putting up points themselves. Our editorial team expects both sides to deliver an entertaining, high-scoring contest for the neutrals. We're backing the game to go over 167.5 points.
No comments
Betting Tips: Dallas Wings (W) - Phoenix Mercury (W)
in last 7 games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).in last 6 games (WNBA).in 12 of last 14 home games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).in 12 of last 14 Dallas Wings (W) home games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).
Other predictions
