New York Liberty (W) vs Indiana Fever (W) Prediction 22 August 2026
๐ New York Liberty are set to host Indiana Fever on their home court in this WNBA clash, a matchup drawing significant attention given both teamsโ positions in the standings. The hosts remain firmly in the playoff zone and are highly motivated as the regular season winds down, while the visitors currently top the Eastern Conference. This head-to-head carries added significance for Liberty, as every win could prove crucial in solidifying their place in the Top 4.
Head-to-Head
๐Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams New York Liberty (W) and Indiana Fever (W):
- played 64 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 31 for today's home team and 33 for the guests;
- the home team averages 79.63 points per match, the guests - 79.02;
- average total match points - 158.64.
The last confrontation took place on 11 August 2026 at the venue of Indiana Fever (W) and ended with a score of 106:92.
Head-to-head statistics New York Liberty (W) - Indiana Fever (W)
New York Liberty (W) Team Overview
New York have posted a 7-3 record over their last 10 games, underlining both solid form and consistent results. They come into this fixture off a win, although their recent run has seen victories interrupted by occasional setbacks, with a two-game winning streak snapped by losses along the way. Over the course of the season, they average 90 points scored and concede 87.2 per game. That offensive output has ticked up in recent outings-nearly 95 points scored and exactly 90 allowed per contest - highlighting notable attacking firepower but also exposing some defensive frailties, particularly against fast-paced opponents. On their home court, New York traditionally show greater discipline; a lengthy run of low-scoring games at home attests to a more organized defensive effort, even as the team maintains its overall attacking identity.
Match Results: New York Liberty (W)
Indiana Fever (W) Team Overview
Indiana head into this matchup riding the momentum of a recent four-game winning streak, only snapping that run with a narrow 85-91 loss to Dallas - their first defeat in quite some time. Over their last 10 outings, the Fever have posted seven wins against just three losses, matching the hosts in terms of victories but boasting even more impressive offensive numbers. Indiana are averaging 96.2 points per game on the season, and that figure has climbed to nearly 98 over this recent stretch. However, their defense has shown vulnerabilities, conceding around 92-93 points per contest. The Fever are always eager to push the pace, often engaging in high-scoring shootouts and rarely slowing things down, even on the road.
Match Results: Indiana Fever (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 64;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 15; for the visitors on the road - 16;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 42.22;
- Today's home team averages 21.22, while the visitors average 21.
First Quarter Stats: New York Liberty (W) (home) vs Indiana Fever (W) (away)
- Tournament matches played: 19 vs 19;
- Number of wins: 12 (63.16%) vs 13 (68.42%);
- Number of losses: 6 (31.58%) vs 5 (26.32%);
- Number of draws: 1 (5.26%) vs 1 (5.26%).
- Average points scored: 22.84 vs 26.32;
- Average points conceded: 19.89 vs 23.53.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 6 vs 7;
- Number of losses: 3 vs 2;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 1;
- Average first quarter total: 47.1 (scored - 25.4, conceded - 21.7) vs 48.3 (scored - 26.1, conceded - 22.2).
- New York Liberty (W) won the 1st quarter in 7 of last 8 home games (WNBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 79.63, for the away team - 79.02;
- average total points in H2H matches - 158.64.
Statistics: New York Liberty (W) vs Indiana Fever (W)
- average total in the tournament: 177.25 vs 185.98;
- average total points scored: 90.05 vs 96.2;
- average total points conceded: 87.2 vs 89.78;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 44.55 vs 48.8;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 44.78 vs 46.1;
- New York Liberty (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 88;
- Indiana Fever (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 93;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 94.9 (home - 95.75) vs 97.6 (away - 98.29).
- Under 189.5 points scored in last 18 New York Liberty (W) home games (WNBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 64;
- number of wins for the home team - 31, for the away team - 33.
Statistics: New York Liberty (W) vs Indiana Fever (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 37 vs 37;
- number of wins: 24 (60%) vs 26 (65%);
- number of losses: 16 (40%) vs 14 (35%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 13;
- number of away wins for the away team: 12.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 7 vs 7;
- number of losses: 3 vs 3;
- number of home wins for the home team: 4;
- number of away wins for the away team: 5.
- New York Liberty (W) have won in 8 of last 9 home games against Indiana Fever (W) (WNBA).
โญ Editorial Prediction
Both teams have been playing at a high tempo and posting solid scoring averages this season and in recent games. However, New York consistently keeps the total score in check on home court - every one of their last eighteen home fixtures has finished under 189.5 points. Despite both sides boasting strong offensive form, that trend highlights the hostsโ ability to dictate the pace through disciplined defense. That approach reduces the likelihood of another shootout, even against the visitorsโ aggressive attack. The pick: under 191.5 total points.
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Betting Tips: New York Liberty (W) - Indiana Fever (W)
in 8 of last 9 home games against Indiana Fever (W) (WNBA).in 9 of last 10 home games (WNBA).in 7 of last 8 home games (WNBA).in 31 of last 32 New York Liberty (W) home games against Indiana Fever (W) (WNBA).
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