Indiana Fever (W) vs New York Liberty (W) Prediction 11 August 2026
🔊 In this WNBA regular season clash, the Indiana Fever are set to host the New York Liberty. While the home side have been showcasing some impressive basketball, the visitors are also capable of delivering a strong performance. Expect a fiercely contested battle, with the outcome likely hanging in the balance right up until the final minutes - or even seconds - of the game.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last time these teams met was on July 19, when Indiana hosted and secured a 108-88 victory. Looking at their five most recent head-to-head encounters, Liberty hold a slight edge with three wins to Indiana’s two.
Head-to-head statistics Indiana Fever (W) - New York Liberty (W)
Indiana Fever (W) Team Overview
In this matchup, Indiana have every reason to be optimistic. On average, they put up nearly 100 points per game, especially when playing on their home court. Clark and her teammates are more than capable of creating high-quality scoring opportunities. However, it’s important to note that these numbers are partly inflated by games against clearly weaker opponents - for instance, they recently cruised past Portland with a 112-98 victory. When Indiana face teams with genuine ambitions this season, things get a bit more complicated. They’ve suffered losses to Minnesota (100-108) and Las Vegas (84-86), for example. So even at home, it’s tough to expect Indiana to completely dominate New York.
Match Results: Indiana Fever (W)
New York Liberty (W) Team Overview
The New York side are riding a four-game winning streak and are clearly in top form. The team is brimming with confidence, averaging 90.5 points per game this season. Interestingly, that number climbs to 92.8 when they’re on the road. Up against Indiana, who look to push the tempo, New York should find plenty of opportunities. They have the tools to capitalize from beyond the arc, and they’ll also pose a threat in the paint. Defense will likely come to the fore in the final quarter - a factor that could prove decisive down the stretch. New York have shown they know how to close out tight contests, as evidenced by recent wins over Seattle (92-86) and Phoenix (94-92).
Match Results: New York Liberty (W)
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 78.59, for the away team - 79.43;
- average total points in H2H matches - 158.02.
Statistics: Indiana Fever (W) vs New York Liberty (W)
- average total in the tournament: 185.66 vs 177.5;
- average total points scored: 96.09 vs 90.47;
- average total points conceded: 89.57 vs 87.03;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 48.97 vs 44.39;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 46.03 vs 45.28;
- Indiana Fever (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 98.79;
- New York Liberty (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 92.78;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 101.6 (home - 100) vs 97.7 (away - 97.33).
- New York Liberty (W) have scored over 93.5 points in 7 of last 8 games (WNBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 63;
- number of wins for the home team - 32, for the away team - 31.
Statistics: Indiana Fever (W) vs New York Liberty (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 32 vs 33;
- number of wins: 22 (62.86%) vs 22 (61.11%);
- number of losses: 13 (37.14%) vs 14 (38.89%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 12;
- number of away wins for the away team: 10.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 7 vs 7;
- number of losses: 3 vs 3;
- number of home wins for the home team: 3;
- number of away wins for the away team: 3.
- New York Liberty (W) won with a +4.5 points handicap in 7 of last 8 games (WNBA).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
This matchup offers no clear-cut favourite. Certainly, with home-court advantage, Fever are likely to feel more at ease and could excel in key areas. Still, New York have proven they can stay afloat even when the odds are stacked against them. A little misfortune or emotional slip-ups could sway the outcome, but Liberty’s recent form suggests they fear no opponent. Our editorial team expects a high-quality contest on both ends, with the game likely to be decided in the closing moments. That’s why we’re backing New York +3.5 on the spread.
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Betting Tips: Indiana Fever (W) - New York Liberty (W)
in 8 of last 9 away games (WNBA).in 7 of last 8 games (WNBA).in 48 of last 50 Indiana Fever (W) games against New York Liberty (W) (WNBA).in 30 of last 31 Indiana Fever (W) home games against New York Liberty (W) (WNBA).in 15 of last 17 home games against New York Liberty (W) (WNBA).
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