Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks (W) Prediction

    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    88
    97
    24
    19
    27
    18
    25
    35
    22
    15

    🔈Which players can take on leadership in defense? The names of the best defenders will become known after the showdown between the teams Phoenix Mercury (W) and Los Angeles Sparks (W), which will take place on 22 May at 02:00 in the "WNBA" tournament. After a thorough analysis of the match, we are ready to share our predictions regarding its possible outcome.

    Head-to-Head

    📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Phoenix Mercury (W) and Los Angeles Sparks (W):

    • played 63 matches;
    • wins (including extra time): 30 for today's home team and 33 for the guests;
    • the home team averages 79.78 points per match, the guests - 82.02;
    • average total match points - 161.79.

    The last confrontation took place on 10 September 2025 at the venue of Phoenix Mercury (W) and ended with a score of 83:88.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    47%
    30 Wins
    53%
    34 Wins
    22.05.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    88
    97
    24
    25
    19
    35
    27
    22
    18
    15
    10.09.25
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    83
    88
    25
    19
    19
    26
    18
    18
    21
    25
    27.08.25
    WNBA
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    84
    92
    18
    24
    22
    24
    17
    20
    27
    24
    01.06.25
    WNBA
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    80
    85
    27
    17
    23
    20
    9
    24
    21
    24
    22.05.25
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    89
    86
    23
    19
    19
    27
    24
    7
    23
    33
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    Phoenix Mercury (W) Team Overview

    📊The Phoenix Mercury (W) team went through the last ten-game stretch, leaving behind a trail of splendid games and unforgettable moments. 4 wins and 6 losses are the figures that can be seen in this segment in the post-match protocols.

    🏀The athletes demonstrated outstanding offensive qualities, scoring 885 points during this time, and maintaining an average score of 88.5 points per game. This result is not only due to individual skill but also the skillful combination of efforts by the entire team.

    🚧The defense also deserves attention, as with 86.3 points conceded, the team confirmed its reliability and cohesion in defensive actions. Every mistake in defense was thoroughly analyzed to improve the game.

    ❕The successes at the home venue are especially noteworthy, where 90.5 points were scored in the last 10 matches. This speaks to the team's extraordinary ability to interact and dominate when they play at home.

    Match Results: Phoenix Mercury (W)

    12.06.26
    WNBA
    Dallas Wings (W)
    Dallas Wings (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    85
    70
    24
    20
    21
    16
    25
    16
    15
    18
    L
    10.06.26
    WNBA
    Golden State Valkyries (W)
    Golden State Valkyries (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    87
    81
    22
    18
    27
    14
    17
    29
    21
    20
    L
    06.06.26
    WNBA
    Portland Fire (W)
    Portland Fire (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    72
    78
    16
    21
    18
    17
    17
    17
    21
    23
    W
    04.06.26
    WNBA
    Seattle Storm (W)
    Seattle Storm (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    68
    72
    15
    21
    18
    15
    22
    16
    13
    20
    W
    02.06.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    77
    111
    22
    35
    18
    32
    16
    21
    21
    23
    L
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    Los Angeles Sparks (W) Team Overview

    📊Playing away always poses special challenges, but the team Los Angeles Sparks (W) managed to overcome them with dignity, achieving 5 victories in a stretch of 10 matches. These achievements were made possible not only by the individual skills of the players but also by their ability to work as a single organism.

    🏀The total number of points scored over the same period - 864 points - highlights the efficiency of the team's attack, which does not lose its potential even in the absence of home support.

    🚧The defensive play, with the team averaging 89.8 points conceded, deserves special attention. In away matches, where every detail matters, the club demonstrated high concentration and mutual support.

    Match Results: Los Angeles Sparks (W)

    11.06.26
    WNBA
    Seattle Storm (W)
    Seattle Storm (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    83
    88
    17
    22
    23
    18
    27
    26
    16
    22
    W
    07.06.26
    WNBA
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Portland Fire (W)
    Portland Fire (W)
    89
    72
    24
    21
    17
    22
    23
    12
    25
    17
    W
    06.06.26
    WNBA
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Dallas Wings (W)
    Dallas Wings (W)
    96
    104
    28
    24
    27
    30
    23
    23
    18
    27
    L
    03.06.26
    WNBA
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    69
    79
    10
    14
    20
    23
    21
    27
    18
    15
    L
    30.05.26
    WNBA
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    84
    81
    20
    18
    19
    18
    23
    24
    22
    21
    L
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    Prediction for the 1st quarter

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 63;
    • First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 12; for the visitors on the road - 15;
    • Average total points in the first quarter: 40.62;
    • Today's home team averages 19.75, while the visitors average 20.87.

    First Quarter Stats: Phoenix Mercury (W) (home) vs Los Angeles Sparks (W) (away)

    • Tournament matches played: 3 vs 1;
    • Number of wins: 3 (100%) vs 1 (100%);
    • Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
    • Average points scored: 24 vs 19;
    • Average points conceded: 16.33 vs 9.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 7 vs 4;
    • Number of losses: 2 vs 6;
    • Number of draws: 1 vs 0;
    • Average first quarter total: 45 (scored - 24, conceded - 21) vs 42.8 (scored - 20.6, conceded - 22.2).
    Trends
    • Under 44.5 points in the 1st quarter in 7 of last 8 Phoenix Mercury (W) home games against Los Angeles Sparks (W) (WNBA).
    • Under 44.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 6 Phoenix Mercury (W) games against Los Angeles Sparks (W) (WNBA).
    👉Prediction: 1st Quarter Total Under 44.5 (odds: 1.61)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • Number of encounters - 63;
    • Home team wins - 30, away team wins - 33.
    Trends
    • Phoenix Mercury (W) won with a -2.5 points handicap in 7 of last 8 games against Los Angeles Sparks (W) (WNBA).
    👉Prediction: Phoenix Mercury (W) Handicap (-2.5) (odds: 1.9)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H:

    • average total points per match for the home team - 79.78, for the away team - 82.02;
    • average total points in H2H matches - 161.79.

    Statistics: Phoenix Mercury (W) vs Los Angeles Sparks (W)

    • average total in the tournament: 173.83 vs 176;
    • average total points scored: 91.17 vs 87.5;
    • average total points conceded: 82.67 vs 88.5;
    • average total points scored in the 1st half: 47.17 vs 42.17;
    • average total points scored in the 2nd half: 44 vs 45.33;
    • Phoenix Mercury (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 87;
    • Los Angeles Sparks (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 85;
    • last 10 matches (average total points scored): 88.5 (home - 90.5) vs 86.4 (away - 86).

    Trends
    • Los Angeles Sparks (W) have scored under 88.5 points in 8 of last 9 away games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).
    👉Prediction: Los Angeles Sparks (W) Total points Under (88.5) (odds: 1.75)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Under 176.5 points scored in last 10 Phoenix Mercury (W) games against Los Angeles Sparks (W) (WNBA).

    Our choice
    Total points Under (176.5) at odds of -149*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (20 May 2026, 06:25)

    Betting Tips: Phoenix Mercury (W) - Los Angeles Sparks (W)

    Phoenix Mercury (W) lost the 4th quarter
    phoenix-mercuryl-a-sparksin 6 of last 7 home games against Los Angeles Sparks (W) (WNBA).
    4th Quarter Los Angeles Sparks (W) Win
    +110
    Phoenix Mercury (W) have scored under 90.5 points
    phoenix-mercuryl-a-sparksin 23 of last 25 home games against Los Angeles Sparks (W) (WNBA).
    phoenix-mercuryin 16 of last 17 home games (WNBA).
    Phoenix Mercury (W) Total points Under (90.5)
    -133
    Under 90.5 points in the 2nd half
    phoenix-mercuryl-a-sparksin 14 of last 15 Phoenix Mercury (W) games against Los Angeles Sparks (W) (WNBA).
    phoenix-mercuryl-a-sparksin 13 of last 14 Phoenix Mercury (W) home games against Los Angeles Sparks (W) (WNBA).
    l-a-sparksin last 8 Los Angeles Sparks (W) away games (WNBA).
    2nd Half Total Under 90.5
    -115
    Under 175.5 points scored
    phoenix-mercuryl-a-sparksin 13 of last 14 Phoenix Mercury (W) home games against Los Angeles Sparks (W) (WNBA).
    Total points Under (175.5)
    +103
    View more facts

    Mercury - Los Angeles Sparks (W) Table position

    Preseason
    gWLForm
    1.
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    330
    2.
    Dallas Wings (W)
    Dallas Wings (W)
    220
    3.
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    220
    4.
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    220
    5.
    Golden State Valkyries (W)
    Golden State Valkyries (W)
    110
    6.
    Indiana Fever (W)
    Indiana Fever (W)
    321