Fenerbahce vs Paris Prediction 22 April 2025
🔊 The eagerly anticipated EuroLeague playoffs kick off on Tuesday evening. In one of the opening round matchups, Fenerbahce will face Paris. The first game takes place in Istanbul. Both teams are in fine form. The hosts emerged as one of the top teams in the regular season, while the visitors made a surprising entry into the knockout stage through the play-in, thanks to a sensational away victory over Real Madrid. Can the French side continue to surprise? Let's analyze the match and make an insightful prediction.
Head-to-Head
Let's start by looking at the head-to-head history. The teams have faced each other twice, with the current hosts winning both encounters, while the visitors have yet to secure a victory.
The average total of 185.5 points comes from Fenerbahce scoring 188 points and Paris tallying 183.
The last official match between these teams took place on 25 March 2025, ending with a score of 101-100.
Head-to-head statistics Fenerbahce - Paris

Fenerbahce Team Overview
Fenerbahce continue to delight their fans with confident performances on their home court. Over the last 10 games, they've secured 8 victories, consistently displaying a high level of play. The team averages a modest 83.2 points per game (11th), but their defense keeps opponents in check, allowing just 81.2 points (3rd position). Their strengths lie in teamwork and controlling the pace of the game. Notably, Fenerbahce have won 20 out of their last 21 home games across all competitions-an impressive feat that underscores how challenging it is for opponents to play in Istanbul.
It's worth mentioning that the Turkish side have defeated Paris twice in the regular season, most recently in March, when Hayes-Davis scored a game-winning shot in a thrilling shootout (101-100). Interestingly, this player set a EuroLeague record by scoring 50 points against the underdog Alba.
Match Results: Fenerbahce

Paris Basketball Team Overview
Paris are in exceptional form on the road, having won all five of their recent matches consecutively. Their strength lies in their aggressive offense, averaging 86.3 points per game (ranked 7th), and their ability to quickly adapt to opponents' gameplay. However, their defense raises concerns, allowing as many as 85.32 points (ranked 13th). Notably, Paris have maintained a +1.5 point spread advantage for 12 consecutive games across all competitions.
Despite this, the French club are considered underdogs in this series and will need to exceed expectations to overcome a formidable opponent like Fenerbahçe. The team’s hopes largely rest on one of the league's top players, TJ Shorts, who averages 18.8 points and 7.5 assists per game. Additionally, big man Hayes stands out with 1.8 rebounds per game, alongside the sharpshooting duo of Heifi and Jantunen, who excel from beyond the arc.
Match Results: Paris Basketball
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Number of encounters - 2;
- Home wins - 2, Away wins - 0.
Statistics: Fenerbahce vs Paris
- Matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 34;
- Wins: 23 (67.65%) vs 20 (57.14%);
- Losses: 11 (32.35%) vs 15 (42.86%);
- Home wins in the tournament: 12 for the hosts;
- Away wins in the tournament: 9 for the visitors.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 8 vs 8;
- Losses: 2 vs 2;
- Home wins for the hosts: 5;
- Away wins for the visitors: 4.
- Fenerbahce have won 20 of their last 21 home games.
- Fenerbahce have secured victory in 8 of their last 9 matches.
Total Points Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Average points per game by the hosts - 94, by the visitors - 91.5;
- Average total points in head-to-head matches - 185.5.
Statistics: Fenerbahce vs Paris
- Average total in the tournament: 164.38 vs 171.54;
- Average points scored: 83.21 vs 86.31;
- Average points conceded: 81.18 vs 85.23;
- Average first-half points scored: 40.29 vs 44.54;
- Average second-half points scored: 42.91 vs 41.77;
- Fenerbahce: Average points scored at home in the tournament - 83.76;
- Paris: Average points scored away in the tournament - 90.22;
- Last 10 games (average points scored): 89 (home - 91.33) vs 95.8 (away - 95.17).
- Total under 176.5 points has hit in 9 of Fenerbahce's last 10 Euroleague matches.