Paris vs Fenerbahce Prediction 5 February 2026

Details
Key points
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    Fenerbahce
    Fenerbahce
    90
    92
    23
    22
    23
    22
    21
    19
    22
    30

    🔊 One of Friday's EuroLeague matches will take place in the French capital, where Paris will face off against Fenerbahce. The home team will look to leverage the support of their fans against the league leaders. However, will that be enough to mount a worthy challenge against the reigning champions? We have our doubts, as the Turkish powerhouse is in peak form, steamrolling opponents along the way. Meanwhile, the hosts have been languishing among the bottom dwellers, with no realistic shot at breaking into the Top 10. Paris have managed just one win in their last five tournament outings and appear to be competing without much motivation. Let's break down this matchup and offer an insightful prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Paris Basketball and Fenerbahce Istanbul:

    • played 6 matches;
    • wins (including extra time): 0 for today's home team and 6 for the guests;
    • the home team averages 83 points per match, the guests - 92.33;
    • average total match points - 175.33.

    The last confrontation took place on 01 October 2025 at the venue of Fenerbahce Istanbul and ended with a score of 96:77.

    Head-to-head statistics Paris - Fenerbahce

    0%
    0 Wins
    100%
    7 Wins
    05.02.26
    ERL
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    Fenerbahce
    Fenerbahce
    90
    92
    23
    21
    22
    19
    23
    22
    22
    30
    01.10.25
    ERL
    Fenerbahce
    Fenerbahce
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    96
    77
    25
    19
    18
    21
    27
    19
    26
    18
    29.04.25
    ERL
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    Fenerbahce
    Fenerbahce
    88
    98
    18
    20
    22
    26
    21
    17
    19
    17
    8
    18
    24.04.25
    ERL
    Fenerbahce
    Fenerbahce
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    89
    72
    29
    20
    32
    18
    15
    19
    13
    15
    22.04.25
    ERL
    Fenerbahce
    Fenerbahce
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    83
    78
    18
    22
    31
    20
    14
    20
    20
    16
    Empty
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    Paris Basketball Team Overview

    Paris are navigating a challenging period this season. They've managed just one win in their last five games, which highlights their inconsistent form. While their scoring can vary, their defense remains a glaring weakness, conceding a significant number of points to opponents. In their latest outing, Paris fell to Bayern with a score of 75-81.

    From the start of the season, the team has found themselves among the underdogs. This hasn't come as a surprise to fans, as the management let go of their leader and EuroLeague star Shorts to Panathinaikos without finding an equivalent replacement. Robinson, Stevens, and Roden are putting in efforts but remain highly inconsistent. Only Hifi has maintained a high level of play, emerging as the top scorer with 17 points in the aforementioned clash against Bayern. One systemic issue is their weak rebounding performance, with Paris securing just 60% of rebounds under their own basket, the worst in the tournament.

    Match Results: Paris Basketball

    05.11.26
    ERL
    Efes Anadolu Istanbul
    Efes Anadolu Istanbul
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    90
    95
    26
    23
    10
    19
    34
    24
    20
    29
    W
    03.11.26
    Pro A
    Cholet Basket
    Cholet Basket
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    94
    90
    28
    19
    15
    22
    15
    20
    21
    18
    15
    11
    L
    01.11.26
    Pro A
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    ES Chalon
    ES Chalon
    116
    112
    21
    26
    36
    32
    24
    23
    23
    23
    12
    8
    W
    29.10.26
    ERL
    Maccabi Tel-Aviv
    Maccabi Tel-Aviv
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    94
    99
    17
    25
    19
    10
    29
    30
    29
    34
    W
    27.10.26
    ERL
    BC Dubai
    BC Dubai
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    93
    99
    25
    23
    22
    31
    25
    19
    21
    26
    W
    Empty
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    Fenerbahce Team Overview

    Fenerbahce sit atop the league standings thanks to their impressive form: five consecutive victories highlight the team's excellent condition. Over the last ten games, they've suffered just one defeat, showcasing a high level of play both offensively and defensively. On the road, the club also excels, frequently winning by more than three points. In their previous head-to-head with Paris, Fenerbahce secured a commanding victory with a score of 96-77, underscoring their dominance over the French side.

    Recently, Jasikevicius's squad continued to thrill their fans by defeating a formidable Barcelona away (82-78). The reigning EuroLeague champions once again delivered an elite defensive performance while excelling from mid-range, hitting an outstanding 19 of 28 shots (68%). The club's top scorer this season is Horton-Tucker, who has adapted excellently to European basketball after his NBA stint. Against the Catalan giants, role player Biberovic emerged as the hero with 19 points, once again highlighting Fener's bench depth.

    Match Results: Fenerbahce

    05.11.26
    ERL
    Fenerbahce
    Fenerbahce
    Baskonia Vitoria Gasteiz
    Baskonia Vitoria Gasteiz
    84
    65
    33
    18
    19
    14
    11
    9
    21
    24
    W
    01.11.26
    Basketball Super League
    Fenerbahce
    Fenerbahce
    Tofas Bursa
    Tofas Bursa
    88
    77
    25
    21
    22
    22
    23
    16
    18
    18
    W
    29.10.26
    ERL
    Real Madrid BC
    Real Madrid BC
    Fenerbahce
    Fenerbahce
    95
    76
    22
    24
    25
    18
    23
    13
    25
    21
    L
    27.10.26
    ERL
    Valencia
    Valencia
    Fenerbahce
    Fenerbahce
    86
    78
    19
    9
    17
    16
    24
    21
    26
    32
    L
    25.10.26
    Basketball Super League
    Pinar Karsiyaka
    Pinar Karsiyaka
    Fenerbahce
    Fenerbahce
    72
    97
    16
    25
    20
    24
    14
    25
    22
    23
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of matchups - 6;
    • number of wins for the home team - 0, for the away team - 6.

    Statistics: Paris Basketball vs Fenerbahce Istanbul

    • number of tournament matches played: 25 vs 25;
    • number of wins: 8 (32%) vs 18 (72%);
    • number of losses: 17 (68%) vs 7 (28%);
    • number of wins at home for the home team: 5;
    • number of away wins for the away team: 7.

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of wins: 5 vs 9;
    • number of losses: 5 vs 1;
    • number of home wins for the home team: 3;
    • number of away wins for the away team: 4.
    Trends
    • Fenerbahce Istanbul have won in 14 of last 15 games.
    • Fenerbahce Istanbul have won in 9 of last 10 games (Euroleague).
    👉Prediction: Fenerbahce Win (inc. OT)(odds: 1.38)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H:

    • average total points per match for the home team - 83, for the away team - 92.33;
    • average total points in H2H matches - 175.33.

    Statistics: Paris Basketball vs Fenerbahce Istanbul

    • average total in the tournament: 181.4 vs 160.72;
    • average total points scored: 89.08 vs 82.08;
    • average total points conceded: 92.32 vs 78.64;
    • average total points scored in the 1st half: 43.12 vs 39.08;
    • average total points scored in the 2nd half: 45.96 vs 43;
    • Paris Basketball: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 90;
    • Fenerbahce Istanbul: average total points scored away in the tournament - 84.64;
    • last 10 matches (average total points scored): 93.4 (home - 92.83) vs 84.1 (away - 83.4).
    Trends
    • Fenerbahce Istanbul have scored under 90.5 points in 10 of last 11 games.
    👉Prediction: Fenerbahce Total points Under (90,5)(odds: 1.86)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Paris rely on their high-scoring home games, while Fenerbahce aim for a slow, defensive approach, applying pressure around the perimeter. The Istanbul giants are well aware of the reckless playing style of the French side, so from the start, they will tightly mark their leader, Hifi, as Paris lacks other reliable options. Therefore, it's unlikely that the underdog's frantic pace (the fastest in the tournament) will be effective. We anticipate that, as usual against top opponents, they will miss their mark, while Fenerbahce calmly and methodically capitalize on their superior quality on the opponent's half. We're backing the visitors to win with a -4.5 handicap.

    Fenerbahce Handicap (-4,5)
    Odds-143
    Published: 04/02/2026, 16:15

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    Betting Tips: Paris Basketball - Fenerbahce

    Fenerbahce Istanbul have won:
    fenerbahcein 14 of last 15 games.
    fenerbahcein 9 of last 10 games (Euroleague).
    Fenerbahce Win (inc. OT)
    Everygame
    -222
    Fenerbahce Istanbul won the 3rd quarter:
    fenerbahcein last 7 games.
    fenerbahcein 6 of last 7 away games.
    3rd Quarter Fenerbahce to Win
    -139
    Under 188.5 points scored:
    fenerbahcein 22 of last 23 Fenerbahce Istanbul away games.
    Total points Under (188,5)
    -
    Under 186.5 points scored:
    fenerbahcein 10 of last 11 Fenerbahce Istanbul away games (Euroleague).
    Total points Under (186,5)
    -556
    View more facts

    Paris - Fenerbahce Table position

    Regular season Season Standings
    MPWLForm
    3.
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    382414
    4.
    Fenerbahce Istanbul
    Fenerbahce Istanbul
    382414
    5.
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    382315
    15.
    Partizan Belgrade
    Partizan Belgrade
    381622
    16.
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    381523
    17.
    Virtus Bologna
    Virtus Bologna
    381424