Шенджен Леопардс vs Zhejiang Prediction
🔊 In Game 3 of the CBA playoff semifinals, the Shenzhen Leopards host the Zhejiang Lions. The visitors have lived up to their status as favorites, taking both games at home to seize control of the series. Zhejiang, who finished second in the regular season, outperformed their rivals across most key metrics and now look to seal a spot in the finals on the road. Can the Leopards turn the tide on their home court? We’ll find out soon enough, but for now, let’s break down the matchup and offer a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Shenzhen Leopards and Zhejiang Guangsha Lions:
- played 36 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 15 for today's home team and 21 for the guests;
- the home team averages 97.25 points per match, the guests - 98.39;
- average total match points - 195.64.
The last confrontation took place on 18 May 2026 at the venue of Zhejiang Guangsha Lions and ended with a score of 92:85.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Shenzhen Leopards Team Overview
Shenzhen Leopards head into their home game facing a tough challenge, trailing 0-2 in the current series against Zhejiang. Over their last ten outings, the Leopards have picked up six wins-a solid run of form for the playoffs. On the season, Shenzhen average 99.1 points per game while conceding 94.4, a stat line that highlights their potent offense but also exposes defensive vulnerabilities. The recent ten-game stretch tells a similar story: they put up around 94.7 points and allow about 91.8 per contest, emphasizing their up-tempo style and offensive focus, especially on their home court.
So far, however, these strengths have had little impact against a more skilled and experienced Lions roster. The Leopards have outshot their opponents from beyond the arc (41% to 37%), matched them in turnovers and assists, yet still come up short. Shenzhen’s coach has yet to find an answer for Zhejiang’s dominance in the paint-the visitors simply have more size and physicality on both ends of the floor. Given these factors, it would be a major surprise if Shenzhen manage to turn the tide in this series.
Match Results: Shenzhen Leopards

Zhejiang Guangsha Lions Team Overview
Zhejiang Lions are enjoying a strong run on the road, stringing together four consecutive away wins after a loss-a testament to the visitors’ consistency over their last five outings. Their ten-game record is impressive as well: seven wins against three defeats, averaging 88.7 points scored while conceding just 82.6 per game. That defensive solidity clearly sets them apart from their hosts. Looking at their overall season numbers, Zhejiang maintain their high standard, putting up nearly 92 points per game while allowing just under 83.
In Game 2 of the semifinal series against Shenzhen Leopards, Bo Wang’s squad faced stiff resistance and only managed to pull away in a tense finish thanks to their dominance in the paint. The Lions were particularly effective on the offensive glass, grabbing seven more rebounds than their opponents. Brown led all scorers with a 30-point performance.
Match Results: Zhejiang Guangsha Lions
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 36;
- number of wins for the home team - 15, for the away team - 21.
Statistics: Shenzhen Leopards vs Zhejiang Guangsha Lions
- number of tournament matches played: 42 vs 42;
- number of wins: 32 (69.57%) vs 37 (78.72%);
- number of losses: 14 (30.43%) vs 10 (21.28%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 17;
- number of away wins for the away team: 14.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 6 vs 7;
- number of losses: 4 vs 3;
- number of home wins for the home team: 2;
- number of away wins for the away team: 2.
- Shenzhen Leopards have won in 8 of last 9 home games (Basketball League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 97.25, for the away team - 98.39;
- average total points in H2H matches - 195.64.
Statistics: Shenzhen Leopards vs Zhejiang Guangsha Lions
- average total in the tournament: 193.59 vs 174.64;
- average total points scored: 99.15 vs 91.96;
- average total points conceded: 94.43 vs 82.68;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 52.26 vs 47.68;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 46.28 vs 43.45;
- Shenzhen Leopards: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 101.14;
- Zhejiang Guangsha Lions: average total points scored away in the tournament - 88.86;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 94.7 (home - 84) vs 88.7 (away - 70.75).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
This matchup promises an open contest with both teams likely to push the tempo on offense, but there’s a clear imbalance: Shenzhen Leopards tend to rely heavily on their potent home attack, while Zhejiang Lions have built their late-season run on disciplined road defense-seven of their last eight away games have finished under the total. We expect this to be a classic playoff battle, defined by patient possessions and a slower pace, with the pragmatic Lions dictating the flow. Our prediction: Zhejiang will neutralize Shenzhen’s creative threats and we’re backing under 187.5 total points.