Panathinaikos vs Asvel Prediction 30 September 2026

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Key points

    🏀 Panathinaikos are set to host ASVEL in Round 2 of the EuroLeague. Both sides opened their campaigns with victories - no surprise for the Greeks, but ASVEL’s win over Maccabi Tel Aviv certainly caught fans off guard. Now, the big question is: what tactical twist will ASVEL’s coach Tony Parker come up with against one of the tournament’s top contenders? We’ll find out soon enough.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Last season, these teams faced off twice, with Panathinaikos edging out hard-fought victories on both occasions - 91-85 at home and 79-78 on the road.

    Head-to-head statistics Panathinaikos - Asvel

    79%
    11 Wins
    21%
    3 Wins
    30.01.26
    ERL
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    78
    79
    17
    15
    12
    20
    17
    20
    32
    24
    15.10.25
    ERL
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    91
    85
    26
    19
    22
    20
    20
    21
    23
    25
    28.02.25
    ERL
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    Panathinaikos BC
    Panathinaikos BC
    93
    96
    16
    25
    28
    29
    19
    17
    30
    25
    30.10.24
    ERL
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    92
    68
    27
    14
    18
    15
    25
    23
    22
    16
    08.03.24
    ERL
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    85
    67
    20
    17
    18
    19
    21
    14
    26
    17
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    Panathinaikos remain a formidable side, even when they're not fielding their strongest lineup.

    After a disappointing EuroLeague campaign last season, Panathinaikos have set their sights high this year, aiming to claim both the continental crown and the Greek championship. So far, things are going according to plan. In the opening round, Obradovic’s men left Paris with no chance at OAKA, cruising to a 91-72 victory. The hosts dominated the boards (outrebounding their opponents 45-31), jumped out to a 31-17 lead after the first quarter, and were up by 25 midway through the third. Newcomer Francisco led the way with 18 points, while Lessort contributed 15 points and 9 rebounds. Notably, star leader Nunn, along with Sloukas, Hayes-Davis, and Fall, all sat out the contest - some of whom could return against ASVEL. With such depth, Panathinaikos’ potential is undeniable, and it’s no surprise bookmakers list the Athens powerhouse among the top favorites to lift the trophy alongside reigning champions Olympiacos.

    Match Results: Panathinaikos

    26.09.26
    Greece Super Cup
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    PAOK
    PAOK
    82
    84
    15
    24
    19
    14
    24
    17
    24
    29
    L
    24.09.26
    ERL
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    91
    72
    31
    17
    11
    14
    27
    13
    22
    28
    W
    19.09.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    PAOK
    PAOK
    87
    81
    19
    21
    24
    20
    18
    19
    26
    21
    W
    18.09.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    JL Bourg Basket
    JL Bourg Basket
    90
    69
    25
    10
    26
    21
    18
    13
    21
    25
    W
    12.09.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    Spartak Subotica
    Spartak Subotica
    77
    59
    25
    21
    19
    12
    16
    14
    17
    12
    W
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    ASVEL are proving to be a tough nut to crack.

    ASVEL experienced a turbulent offseason, leaving their fans with a sense of pessimism as many of their plans fell through due to financial constraints. Club owner Parker was forced to step in as head coach, but immediately delivered a pleasant surprise by guiding his side to an 84-74 upset over the heavily favored Maccabi Tel Aviv. The French team clinched the win with gritty defense and a physical brand of basketball, forcing the Israeli giants into 20 turnovers.

    Another key factor was ASVEL’s impressive three-point shooting - 16 makes from 34 attempts. Crowder led the charge with 19 points, while Mills added 15. But it was young reserve Fodzo who truly delighted the coaching staff, contributing 14 points and 5 rebounds. For now, this supposed underdog is playing with real energy and looks capable of disrupting almost any offense. The big question remains: can they contain Panathinaikos’ powerful attack?

    Match Results: ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne

    27.09.26
    Pro A
    Cholet Basket
    Cholet Basket
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    85
    97
    24
    27
    21
    31
    23
    21
    17
    18
    W
    24.09.26
    ERL
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    Maccabi Tel-Aviv
    Maccabi Tel-Aviv
    84
    74
    19
    19
    23
    13
    20
    25
    22
    17
    W
    19.09.26
    France FSC
    Roanne Chorale
    Roanne Chorale
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    73
    71
    22
    12
    11
    19
    21
    15
    19
    25
    L
    19.09.26
    France FSC
    Roanne Chorale
    Roanne Chorale
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    73
    71
    22
    12
    11
    19
    21
    15
    19
    25
    L
    13.09.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Eurobasket Roma
    Eurobasket Roma
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    84
    78
    20
    20
    23
    19
    16
    24
    25
    15
    L
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    Total Points Prediction

    In head-to-head matchups, Panathinaikos average 84.2 points per game, while ASVEL post 78.1. The combined average total in these fixtures stands at 162.4 points. Recent trends are telling: in eleven of their last twelve EuroLeague meetings with ASVEL, Panathinaikos have failed to surpass the 92.5-point mark. On home court, the Greeks have also stayed under this threshold for six consecutive games. Backing the hosts’ individual total under 92.5 points at odds of 1.71 looks like a well-founded prediction.

    Match Outcome Prediction

    These sides have met 14 times in head-to-head clashes, with Panathinaikos claiming 11 wins and ASVEL taking three. The Greek powerhouse clearly holds the upper hand, but there’s an intriguing trend: in six of their last seven EuroLeague meetings, ASVEL have managed to cover a +18.5 point spread. It’s worth considering a bet on the visitors with a +18.5 handicap at odds of 1.63.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The Athens side boast superior quality, depth, and inside presence, and with 19,000 fans backing them at home, they've already proven they can win even without some of their key players. The main threat comes from ASVEL’s ability to catch fire from beyond the arc-just as they did in the opening round-and keep things close. Obradovic’s squad may have impressive rotation options, but their injury woes are mounting (Hernangomez was the latest casualty in the Greek Super Cup over the weekend). Given all that, we expect the visitors’ aggressive defense to keep this contest tighter than the bookmakers predict. Our pick: ASVEL to cover the +17.5 handicap.

    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne Handicap (+17,5)
    Odds-137
    Published: 29/09/2026, 10:04
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Basketball expert
    83
    0
    62
    145 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Panathinaikos - ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne

    Panathinaikos won the 2nd quarter:
    panathinaikosasvel-basketin 9 of last 10 games against ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Euroleague).
    2nd Quarter Panathinaikos to Win
    -256
    Panathinaikos won the 1st half:
    panathinaikosasvel-basketin last 9 games against ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Euroleague).
    1st Half Panathinaikos to Win
    -385
    Panathinaikos won the 3rd quarter:
    panathinaikosin 7 of last 8 home games.
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne lost the 3rd quarter:
    asvel-basketin 9 of last 10 games.
    3rd Quarter Panathinaikos to Win
    -250
    Panathinaikos have won:
    panathinaikosasvel-basketin last 9 games against ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Euroleague).
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne have lost:
    asvel-basketin 8 of last 9 games (Euroleague).
    Panathinaikos Win (inc. OT)
    Everygame
    -1667
    View more facts

    Panathinaikos - Asvel Table position

    Regular season
    gWLForm
    3.
    Valencia Basket
    Valencia Basket
    220
    4.
    Olympiacos
    Olympiacos
    220
    5.
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    110
    6.
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    110
    7.
    BC Dubai
    BC Dubai
    220
    8.
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    211