Melbourne Phoenix vs New Zealand Breakers Prediction 21 January 2026
📢What tactical schemes can be used against zone defense? South East Melbourne Phoenix and New Zealand Breakers will show us their offensive options as they clash on 21 January at 08:30 in the "NBL" tournament. The favorite for the match is the South East Melbourne Phoenix team, and the victory of each side is rated as follows: against . We will analyze how accurate the bookmakers' ratings are in our prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams South East Melbourne Phoenix and New Zealand Breakers:
- played 23 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 15 for today's home team and 8 for the guests;
- the home team averages 90.91 points per match, the guests - 86.61;
- average total match points - 177.52.
The last confrontation took place on 13 December 2025 at the venue of South East Melbourne Phoenix and ended with a score of 92:80.
Head-to-head statistics Melbourne Phoenix - New Zealand Breakers

South East Melbourne Phoenix Team Overview
📊The South East Melbourne Phoenix team went through the last ten-game stretch, leaving behind a trail of splendid games and unforgettable moments. 7 wins and 3 losses are the figures that can be seen in this segment in the post-match protocols.
🏀The athletes demonstrated outstanding offensive qualities, scoring 1005 points during this time, and maintaining an average score of 100.5 points per game. This result is not only due to individual skill but also the skillful combination of efforts by the entire team.
🚧The defense also deserves attention, as with 93.2 points conceded, the team confirmed its reliability and cohesion in defensive actions. Every mistake in defense was thoroughly analyzed to improve the game.
❕The successes at the home venue are especially noteworthy, where 100.2 points were scored in the last 10 matches. This speaks to the team's extraordinary ability to interact and dominate when they play at home.
Match Results: South East Melbourne Phoenix

New Zealand Breakers Team Overview
📊Playing away always poses special challenges, but the team New Zealand Breakers managed to overcome them with dignity, achieving 5 victories in a stretch of 10 matches. These achievements were made possible not only by the individual skills of the players but also by their ability to work as a single organism.
🏀The total number of points scored over the same period - 893 points - highlights the efficiency of the team's attack, which does not lose its potential even in the absence of home support.
🚧The defensive play, with the team averaging 93 points conceded, deserves special attention. In away matches, where every detail matters, the club demonstrated high concentration and mutual support.
Match Results: New Zealand Breakers
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 90.91, for the away team - 86.61;
- average total points in H2H matches - 177.52.
Statistics: South East Melbourne Phoenix vs New Zealand Breakers
- average total in the tournament: 189.58 vs 179.56;
- average total points scored: 98.94 vs 89.63;
- average total points conceded: 90.65 vs 89.93;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 49.1 vs 45.59;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 48.74 vs 43.67;
- South East Melbourne Phoenix: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 99.71;
- New Zealand Breakers: average total points scored away in the tournament - 90.93;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 100.5 (home - 100.2) vs 89.3 (away - 91).
- Over 187.5 points scored in last 5 South East Melbourne Phoenix games (NBL).
Editorial Prediction
- Over 187.5 points scored in last 5 South East Melbourne Phoenix games (NBL).