New Zealand Breakers vs Melbourne Phoenix Prediction 12 October 2025

    New Zealand Breakers
    New Zealand Breakers
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    81
    87
    15
    31
    19
    16
    21
    13
    28
    25

    📢What tactical schemes can be used against zone defense? New Zealand Breakers and South East Melbourne Phoenix will show us their offensive options as they clash on 12 October at 03:30 in the "NBL" tournament. The favorite for the match is the South East Melbourne Phoenix team, and the victory of each side is rated as follows: against . We will analyze how accurate the bookmakers' ratings are in our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams New Zealand Breakers and South East Melbourne Phoenix:

    • played 20 matches;
    • wins (including extra time): 7 for today's home team and 13 for the guests;
    • the home team averages 86.1 points per match, the guests - 90.55;
    • average total match points - 176.65.

    The last confrontation took place on 29 August 2025 at the venue of South East Melbourne Phoenix and ended with a score of 102:89.

    Head-to-head statistics New Zealand Breakers - Melbourne Phoenix

    32%
    8 Wins
    68%
    17 Wins
    05.02.26
    NBL
    New Zealand Breakers
    New Zealand Breakers
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    83
    114
    20
    17
    32
    35
    15
    34
    16
    28
    21.01.26
    NBL
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    New Zealand Breakers
    New Zealand Breakers
    123
    116
    38
    28
    36
    26
    26
    31
    23
    31
    13.12.25
    NBL
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    New Zealand Breakers
    New Zealand Breakers
    92
    80
    26
    20
    18
    21
    27
    21
    21
    18
    12.10.25
    NBL
    New Zealand Breakers
    New Zealand Breakers
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    81
    87
    15
    21
    31
    13
    19
    28
    16
    25
    29.08.25
    NBL
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    New Zealand Breakers
    New Zealand Breakers
    101
    109
    27
    31
    26
    28
    22
    27
    26
    23
    Empty
    There are no events
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    New Zealand Breakers Team Overview

    🏆This season, New Zealand Breakers has stepped onto the court for 5 matches, with their performance breaking down as follows: 1 victories, 4 defeats.

    📈Throughout this season, New Zealand Breakers boasts a success rate of 42.86%, while their defeats account for 57.14% of their total matches.

    📊The team plays with the average over/under of 188.29 points, with an average of 92.86 points per match and conceding 95.43 points to the opposition.

    🏀At their home venue, the team's average score per game is 96 points. In home games, the team's defense concedes an average of 89 points per game.

    Match Results: New Zealand Breakers

    04.09.26
    NBL
    New Zealand Breakers
    New Zealand Breakers
    Sydney Kings
    Sydney Kings
    74
    95
    24
    30
    20
    21
    10
    20
    20
    24
    L
    22.02.26
    NBL
    Adelaide 36Ers
    Adelaide 36Ers
    New Zealand Breakers
    New Zealand Breakers
    107
    111
    25
    28
    29
    19
    28
    34
    25
    30
    W
    19.02.26
    NBL
    New Zealand Breakers
    New Zealand Breakers
    Cairns Taipans
    Cairns Taipans
    115
    84
    24
    24
    37
    20
    27
    22
    27
    18
    W
    14.02.26
    NBL
    Adelaide 36Ers
    Adelaide 36Ers
    New Zealand Breakers
    New Zealand Breakers
    92
    89
    16
    29
    23
    21
    20
    21
    33
    18
    L
    07.02.26
    NBL
    New Zealand Breakers
    New Zealand Breakers
    Illawarra Hawks
    Illawarra Hawks
    106
    95
    33
    25
    28
    25
    23
    30
    22
    15
    W
    Empty
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    South East Melbourne Phoenix Team Overview

    🏆This season, South East Melbourne Phoenix has stepped onto the court for 2 matches, with their performance breaking down as follows: 1 victories, 1 defeats.

    📈Throughout this season, South East Melbourne Phoenix boasts a success rate of 62.5%, while their defeats account for 37.5% of their total matches.

    📊The team plays with the average over/under of 186.75 points, with an average of 98 points per match and conceding 88.75 points to the opposition.

    🏀Away, the team throws on average 92.5 points per game, misses on average 92 points per meeting.

    Match Results: South East Melbourne Phoenix

    05.09.26
    NBL
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    Brisbane Bullets
    Brisbane Bullets
    113
    105
    37
    21
    30
    33
    17
    26
    29
    25
    W
    02.09.26
    NBL
    Sydney Kings
    Sydney Kings
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    84
    101
    28
    25
    18
    35
    17
    19
    21
    22
    W
    27.08.26
    NBL
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    Cairns Taipans
    Cairns Taipans
    95
    99
    22
    27
    30
    30
    27
    29
    16
    13
    L
    22.08.26
    NBL
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    Melbourne United
    Melbourne United
    91
    89
    15
    24
    26
    19
    19
    27
    31
    19
    W
    16.08.26
    NBL
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    Saint Mary's Gaels
    Saint Mary's Gaels
    86
    64
    20
    15
    18
    18
    27
    12
    21
    19
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction for the 1st quarter

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 20;
    • First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 4; for the visitors on the road - 4;
    • Average total points in the first quarter: 45.15;
    • Today's home team averages 21.2, while the visitors average 23.95.

    First Quarter Stats: New Zealand Breakers (home) vs South East Melbourne Phoenix (away)

    • Tournament matches played: 4 vs 2;
    • Number of wins: 2 (50%) vs 1 (50%);
    • Number of losses: 2 (50%) vs 1 (50%);
    • Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
    • Average points scored: 23.25 vs 26;
    • Average points conceded: 23.75 vs 22.5.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 3 vs 5;
    • Number of losses: 7 vs 4;
    • Number of draws: 0 vs 1;
    • Average first quarter total: 47.2 (scored - 21.2, conceded - 26) vs 47 (scored - 24.4, conceded - 22.6).
    Trends
    • New Zealand Breakers scored under 25.5 points in the 1st quarter in 6 of last 7 games against South East Melbourne Phoenix (NBL).
    👉Prediction: 1st Quarter, New Zealand Breakers Total points Under (25,5) (odds: 1.43)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of matchups - 20;
    • number of wins for the home team - 7, for the away team - 13.

    Statistics: New Zealand Breakers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix

    • number of tournament matches played: 5 vs 2;
    • number of wins: 3 (42.86%) vs 5 (62.5%);
    • number of losses: 4 (57.14%) vs 3 (37.5%);
    • number of wins at home for the home team: 2;
    • number of away wins for the away team: 1.

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of wins: 4 vs 5;
    • number of losses: 6 vs 5;
    • number of home wins for the home team: 3;
    • number of away wins for the away team: 1.
    👉Prediction: South East Melbourne Phoenix Win (inc. OT) (odds: 1.74)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H:

    • average total points per match for the home team - 86.1, for the away team - 90.55;
    • average total points in H2H matches - 176.65.

    Statistics: New Zealand Breakers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix

    • average total in the tournament: 188.29 vs 186.75;
    • average total points scored: 92.86 vs 98;
    • average total points conceded: 95.43 vs 88.75;
    • average total points scored in the 1st half: 46.29 vs 52.5;
    • average total points scored in the 2nd half: 46.57 vs 45.5;
    • New Zealand Breakers: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 96;
    • South East Melbourne Phoenix: average total points scored away in the tournament - 92.5;
    • last 10 matches (average total points scored): 90.9 (home - 94.17) vs 97.2 (away - 93.25).

    Trends
    • South East Melbourne Phoenix have scored over 91.5 points in 12 of last 13 away games.
    👉Prediction: South East Melbourne Phoenix Total points Over (91,5) (odds: 1.61)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Over 182.5 points scored in last 13 South East Melbourne Phoenix away games.
    • Over 182.5 points scored in last 12 South East Melbourne Phoenix away games (NBL).

    Total points Over (182,5)
    Published: 10/10/2025, 05:25

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    Betting Tips: New Zealand Breakers - South East Melbourne Phoenix

    South East Melbourne Phoenix lost the 1st quarter:
    south-east-melbourne-phoenixin 7 of last 8 away games.
    1st Quarter New Zealand Breakers Win
    +116
    South East Melbourne Phoenix lost the 2nd half:
    south-east-melbourne-phoenixin 7 of last 8 away games.
    south-east-melbourne-phoenixin 6 of last 7 away games (NBL).
    2nd Half New Zealand Breakers Win
    -106
    New Zealand Breakers scored under 50.5 points in the 2nd half:
    new-zealand-breakerssouth-east-melbourne-phoenixin 19 of last 21 games against South East Melbourne Phoenix (NBL).
    new-zealand-breakersin 12 of last 14 games (NBL).
    2nd Half, New Zealand Breakers Total points Under (50,5)
    -400
    South East Melbourne Phoenix scored under 49.5 points in the 2nd half:
    new-zealand-breakerssouth-east-melbourne-phoenixin 15 of last 16 games against New Zealand Breakers (NBL).
    2nd Half, South East Melbourne Phoenix Total points Under (49,5)
    -323
    View more facts

    New Zealand Breakers - Melbourne Phoenix Table position

    Group stage Lgnite Cup Ladder
    gWLForm
    1.
    Adelaide 36Ers
    Adelaide 36Ers
    431
    2.
    New Zealand Breakers
    New Zealand Breakers
    431
    3.
    Perth Wildcats
    Perth Wildcats
    431
    5.
    Tasmania Jackjumpers
    Tasmania Jackjumpers
    422
    6.
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    South East Melbourne Phoenix
    422
    7.
    Illawarra Hawks
    Illawarra Hawks
    422