Heat vs Warriors Prediction 20 November 2025
🔊 Can the visitors slow down one of the fastest offenses in the tournament? In this NBA regular-season matchup, Miami will face Golden State. The hosts are accustomed to playing at a high tempo. However, the veteran roster of the Warriors could pose a challenge to that pace. Expect a fascinating and competitive battle to unfold.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical analysis of previous official games between the Miami Heat and the Golden State Warriors:
- They have played 37 games;
- Wins (including overtime): 19 for today's home team and 18 for the visitors;
- The hosts average 107.08 points per game, while the visitors average 107.68;
- The average total score per game is 214.76.
The last encounter took place on 25 March 2025 at the Golden State Warriors' court and ended with a score of 112-86.
Head-to-head statistics Heat - Warriors

Miami Heat Team Overview
The Heat continue to play with their now-characteristic fast-paced style. This approach has them sitting second in the league for scoring, averaging 124.6 points per game. However, their results have started to dip to 57.1%. They still have some levers to pull moving forward, including boasting the best assists metric at 30.3. Yet, it's important not to overlook their defensive struggles, conceding 121.5 points due to their high tempo.
As their pace potentially slows down, Miami might increasingly recall that for a long time, they were primarily a defensive team. They have several players capable of elite defense, such as Andrew Wiggins, who is particularly motivated against his former team. So, the Heat might also appeal to fans of pragmatic basketball.
Match Results: Miami Heat

Golden State Warriors Team Overview
The primary challenge for Golden State in this scenario will be the back-to-back factor. Less than 24 hours ago, they faced Orlando and suffered a 113-121 defeat. It's worth noting that prior to this, they were on a three-game winning streak where their defense was performing quite well. On average, the visitors concede 114.4 points, ranking 8th in the entire league. Therefore, it makes sense to expect Steve Kerr's squad to deliberately slow down the pace.
In terms of shooting efficiency, the Warriors are in excellent shape. This is hardly surprising, given that Stephen Curry, a living basketball legend, is on the roster. The sharpshooter continues to excel from beyond the arc, contributing significantly to the team's 37.6% accuracy rate. However, the number of attempts might not be particularly high, as the Heat are also adept at defending. Situationally, quick three-point opportunities will likely be contested.
Match Results: Golden State Warriors
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 37;
- Home team wins - 19, away team wins - 18.
- Golden State Warriors won with a +7.5 points handicap in 13 of last 15 away games against Miami Heat (NBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 107.08, for the away team - 107.68;
- average total points in H2H matches - 214.76.
Statistics: Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors
- average total in the tournament: 241.55 vs 229.76;
- average total points scored: 120.45 vs 115.48;
- average total points conceded: 121.1 vs 114.29;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 63.65 vs 54.81;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 55.4 vs 59.86;
- Miami Heat: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 121.36;
- Golden State Warriors: average total points scored away in the tournament - 114.15;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 121.8 (home - 126.6) vs 113.4 (away - 112.75).
- Under 234.5 points scored in 6 of last 7 Golden State Warriors games (NBA).