Heat vs Warriors Prediction 20 November 2025

Details
Key points
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    110
    96
    29
    20
    23
    38
    20
    25
    29
    22

    🔊 Can the visitors slow down one of the fastest offenses in the tournament? In this NBA regular-season matchup, Miami will face Golden State. The hosts are accustomed to playing at a high tempo. However, the veteran roster of the Warriors could pose a challenge to that pace. Expect a fascinating and competitive battle to unfold.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Statistical analysis of previous official games between the Miami Heat and the Golden State Warriors:

    • They have played 37 games;
    • Wins (including overtime): 19 for today's home team and 18 for the visitors;
    • The hosts average 107.08 points per game, while the visitors average 107.68;
    • The average total score per game is 214.76.

    The last encounter took place on 25 March 2025 at the Golden State Warriors' court and ended with a score of 112-86.

    Head-to-head statistics Heat - Warriors

    51%
    20 Wins
    49%
    19 Wins
    20.01.26
    NBA
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    135
    112
    36
    34
    34
    32
    34
    27
    31
    19
    20.11.25
    NBA
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    110
    96
    29
    20
    20
    25
    23
    29
    38
    22
    08.07.25
    NBA Summer League
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    79
    93
    22
    23
    14
    25
    21
    22
    22
    23
    25.03.25
    NBA
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    112
    86
    28
    22
    29
    18
    26
    30
    29
    16
    08.01.25
    NBA
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    98
    114
    23
    29
    25
    32
    30
    23
    20
    30
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Miami Heat Team Overview

    The Heat continue to play with their now-characteristic fast-paced style. This approach has them sitting second in the league for scoring, averaging 124.6 points per game. However, their results have started to dip to 57.1%. They still have some levers to pull moving forward, including boasting the best assists metric at 30.3. Yet, it's important not to overlook their defensive struggles, conceding 121.5 points due to their high tempo.

    As their pace potentially slows down, Miami might increasingly recall that for a long time, they were primarily a defensive team. They have several players capable of elite defense, such as Andrew Wiggins, who is particularly motivated against his former team. So, the Heat might also appeal to fans of pragmatic basketball.

    Match Results: Miami Heat

    03.11.26
    NBA
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    138
    117
    37
    30
    42
    42
    32
    21
    27
    24
    L
    31.10.26
    NBA
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    145
    125
    36
    42
    32
    19
    35
    27
    42
    37
    W
    28.10.26
    NBA
    Atlanta Hawks
    Atlanta Hawks
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    117
    129
    25
    34
    31
    35
    29
    28
    32
    32
    W
    26.10.26
    NBA
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    109
    113
    27
    23
    25
    30
    32
    30
    25
    30
    L
    24.10.26
    NBA
    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte Hornets
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    115
    110
    31
    31
    35
    27
    30
    17
    19
    35
    L
    Empty
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    Golden State Warriors Team Overview

    The primary challenge for Golden State in this scenario will be the back-to-back factor. Less than 24 hours ago, they faced Orlando and suffered a 113-121 defeat. It's worth noting that prior to this, they were on a three-game winning streak where their defense was performing quite well. On average, the visitors concede 114.4 points, ranking 8th in the entire league. Therefore, it makes sense to expect Steve Kerr's squad to deliberately slow down the pace.

    In terms of shooting efficiency, the Warriors are in excellent shape. This is hardly surprising, given that Stephen Curry, a living basketball legend, is on the roster. The sharpshooter continues to excel from beyond the arc, contributing significantly to the team's 37.6% accuracy rate. However, the number of attempts might not be particularly high, as the Heat are also adept at defending. Situationally, quick three-point opportunities will likely be contested.

    Match Results: Golden State Warriors

    03.11.26
    NBA
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix Suns
    116
    113
    19
    31
    32
    26
    42
    36
    23
    20
    W
    02.11.26
    NBA
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    Los Angeles Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    124
    112
    29
    37
    34
    20
    29
    28
    32
    27
    W
    31.10.26
    NBA
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    112
    95
    15
    38
    38
    15
    32
    27
    27
    15
    W
    29.10.26
    NBA
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    114
    119
    23
    30
    25
    34
    33
    29
    33
    26
    W
    27.10.26
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    114
    134
    32
    28
    24
    32
    28
    40
    30
    34
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • Number of encounters - 37;
    • Home team wins - 19, away team wins - 18.
    Trends
    • Golden State Warriors won with a +7.5 points handicap in 13 of last 15 away games against Miami Heat (NBA).
    👉Prediction: Golden State Warriors Handicap (+7,5)(odds: 1.7)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H:

    • average total points per match for the home team - 107.08, for the away team - 107.68;
    • average total points in H2H matches - 214.76.

    Statistics: Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors

    • average total in the tournament: 241.55 vs 229.76;
    • average total points scored: 120.45 vs 115.48;
    • average total points conceded: 121.1 vs 114.29;
    • average total points scored in the 1st half: 63.65 vs 54.81;
    • average total points scored in the 2nd half: 55.4 vs 59.86;
    • Miami Heat: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 121.36;
    • Golden State Warriors: average total points scored away in the tournament - 114.15;
    • last 10 matches (average total points scored): 121.8 (home - 126.6) vs 113.4 (away - 112.75).
    Trends
    • Under 234.5 points scored in 6 of last 7 Golden State Warriors games (NBA).
    👉Prediction: Total points Under (234,5)(odds: 1.57)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    In the current scenario, it's incredibly challenging to pinpoint an outright favorite. Sure, the odds suggest the Heat have a better chance. However, the visiting team boasts a roster filled with seasoned basketball veterans, providing hope in nearly every game-even when energy levels are low. Jimmy Butler knows how to play against this Miami side. The forward will be motivated against his former team, just as much as Andrew Wiggins will be. Yes, individual leaders can rack up impressive stats, but it's becoming clear that the game is overrated in terms of potential scoring. Our editorial team finds it reasonable to consider under 236.5 points.

    Total points Under (236,5)
    Odds-200
    Published: 19/11/2025, 09:44

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    Betting Tips: Miami Heat - Golden State Warriors

    Miami Heat lost the 3rd quarter:
    miami-heatgolden-state-warriorsin 7 of last 8 games against Golden State Warriors (NBA).
    3rd Quarter Golden State Warriors to Win
    +170
    Miami Heat won the 1st half:
    miami-heatin last 8 home games (NBA).
    1st Half Miami Heat to Win
    -270
    Miami Heat lost the 2nd half:
    miami-heatin last 4 home games (NBA).
    2nd Half Golden State Warriors to Win
    +165
    Under 237.5 points scored:
    golden-state-warriorsin 8 of last 9 Golden State Warriors away games (NBA).
    Total points Under (237,5)
    -192
    View more facts

    Heat - Warriors Table position

    Group stage EASTC
    MPWLForm
    1.
    New York Knicks
    New York Knicks
    431
    2.
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    431
    3.
    Milwaukee Bucks
    Milwaukee Bucks
    422
    4.
    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte Hornets
    413
    5.
    Chicago Bulls
    Chicago Bulls
    413