Connecticut Sun (W) vs Lynx Prediction 20 September 2026
π In this WNBA regular season clash, the Connecticut Sun take on the Minnesota Lynx. The hosts have been struggling offensively, while the visitors - despite being considered among the leagueβs elite - have also seen their away form dip. Expect a game dominated by defense, with both teams likely to prioritize stops over scoring.
Head-to-Head
π The most recent meeting between these teams took place in early July, with Minnesota coming out on top, 86-80. It's worth noting that the Lynx have claimed victory in four of their last five encounters.
Head-to-head statistics Connecticut Sun (W) - Lynx
Connecticut Sun (W) Team Overview
Connecticutβs return from a lengthy international break ended in a heavy defeat, as they were routed by Atlanta, 59-103. This season, the team have struggled mightily, winning just 25.6% of their games. Major issues are apparent on both ends of the court: theyβre conceding 87.7 points per game while only averaging 78.3 on offense. Back on home court, Connecticut will look to play a more pragmatic style, but that alone is unlikely to secure them a victory.
Match Results: Connecticut Sun (W)
Minnesota Lynx (W) Team Overview
Minnesota, despite a recent dip in form, still boast impressive numbers. The team have come out on top in 77.3% of their games. Offensively, they remain solid with an average of 90.3 points per game while conceding 82.8. However, they've dropped their last three matchups, including a recent 81-93 defeat to New York. Against Connecticut, the hosts are likely to dictate the pace, resulting in fewer scoring opportunities. Expect a slower tempo, making it tough for Minnesota to put on an offensive showcase. However, they do have every chance to deliver a strong defensive performance.
Match Results: Minnesota Lynx (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 54;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 7; for the visitors on the road - 17;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 40.09;
- Today's home team averages 20.09, while the visitors average 20.
First Quarter Stats: Connecticut Sun (W) (home) vs Minnesota Lynx (W) (away)
- Tournament matches played: 21 vs 21;
- Number of wins: 9 (42.86%) vs 10 (47.62%);
- Number of losses: 12 (57.14%) vs 11 (52.38%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 20.24 vs 21.71;
- Average points conceded: 21.38 vs 21.67.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 4 vs 6;
- Number of losses: 6 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 43.8 (scored - 20.7, conceded - 23.1) vs 43.5 (scored - 22.3, conceded - 21.2).
- Minnesota Lynx (W) scored under 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in 14 of last 15 away games against Connecticut Sun (W) (WNBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 81.52, for the away team - 81.93;
- average total points in H2H matches - 163.44.
Statistics: Connecticut Sun (W) vs Minnesota Lynx (W)
- average total in the tournament: 166 vs 173;
- average total points scored: 78.3 vs 90.25;
- average total points conceded: 87.7 vs 82.75;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 40.67 vs 46.25;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 37.49 vs 44;
- Connecticut Sun (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 79.1;
- Minnesota Lynx (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 88.86;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 74.7 (home - 76) vs 85.9 (away - 85.8).
- Connecticut Sun (W) have scored over 74.5 points in 11 of last 12 home games against Minnesota Lynx (W) (WNBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 54;
- number of wins for the home team - 27, for the away team - 27.
Statistics: Connecticut Sun (W) vs Minnesota Lynx (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 41 vs 41;
- number of wins: 11 (25.58%) vs 34 (77.27%);
- number of losses: 32 (74.42%) vs 10 (22.73%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 7;
- number of away wins for the away team: 18.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 2 vs 6;
- number of losses: 8 vs 4;
- number of home wins for the home team: 2;
- number of away wins for the away team: 4.
- Connecticut Sun (W) won with a +15.5 points handicap in 16 of last 18 home games (WNBA).
β Editorβs Prediction
In this matchup, Minnesota are the clear favorites. Their roster boasts significantly more quality across the board. Connecticut will look to compensate with a solid defensive display. Playing at home, they might be able to dig deep and find some success on their own end of the court. However, the difference in class is likely to be decisive. Minnesota are also more than capable of delivering elite defense. Our editorial team suggests backing the under 170.5 points in this one.
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Betting Tips: Connecticut Sun (W) - Minnesota Lynx (W)
in 6 of last 7 home games against Minnesota Lynx (W) (WNBA).in last 5 games against Minnesota Lynx (W) (WNBA).in 6 of last 7 games (WNBA).in 8 of last 9 away games (WNBA).
in 6 of last 7 games (WNBA).
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