Brazil vs Argentina W Prediction 20 August 2026

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The main thing
    Brazil (W)
    Brazil (W)
    Argentina (W)
    Argentina (W)
    58
    53
    17
    19
    9
    13
    12
    15
    12
    14

    🏀 Brazil are set to face Argentina in Friday’s marquee clash of the women’s Olympic qualifying tournament. Whenever these two national teams meet, the rivalry draws plenty of attention, but this time the stakes are even higher: the outcome will decide which side advances to the next stage. Brazil enter as the bookmakers’ favourites, boasting a slightly more skilled roster, yet their performances so far have left questions about their consistency and quality. The same can be said for Argentina, making it unlikely that we’ll see a high-scoring encounter.

    Head-to-head statistics Brazil - Argentina W

    67%
    14 Wins
    33%
    7 Wins
    20.08.26
    Olympic WOBQ
    Brazil (W)
    Brazil (W)
    Argentina (W)
    Argentina (W)
    58
    53
    17
    12
    19
    15
    9
    12
    13
    14
    09.08.26
    South American WSABC
    Argentina (W)
    Argentina (W)
    Brazil (W)
    Brazil (W)
    72
    66
    21
    21
    15
    14
    20
    11
    16
    20
    06.07.25
    American Championship Women
    Brazil (W)
    Brazil (W)
    Argentina (W)
    Argentina (W)
    108
    68
    33
    22
    26
    14
    28
    17
    21
    15
    28.06.25
    American Championship Women
    Argentina (W)
    Argentina (W)
    Brazil (W)
    Brazil (W)
    50
    71
    4
    22
    21
    18
    16
    8
    9
    23
    08.09.24
    FIBA S. American Women
    Argentina (W)
    Argentina (W)
    Brazil (W)
    Brazil (W)
    84
    76
    20
    29
    24
    22
    18
    11
    22
    14
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    Brazil (W) Team Overview

    Brazil bounced back from their opening defeat with a narrow 56-53 win over New Zealand in the second round. However, their overall performance still raised plenty of concerns. The team shot just 30.3% from the field, were beaten on the boards, and committed a staggering 18 turnovers. Fortunately for Brazil, their opponents struggled even more to generate offense. Gayton played a decisive role, leading the way with 18 points. It's clear that the absence of their WNBA-caliber trio - Cardoso, Suárez, and Costa, all of whom remained with their clubs -has significantly weakened Brazil, stripping them of their usual physical dominance and rebounding prowess. Nevertheless, even this current roster appears stronger on paper than Argentina’s lineup. Over their last 10 games, Brazil have averaged 67.9 points scored and 64.8 allowed per game, reflecting a relatively balanced approach on both ends of the floor without any glaring weaknesses.

    Match Results: Brazil (W)

    23.08.26
    Olympic WOBQ
    Mexico (W)
    Mexico (W)
    Brazil (W)
    Brazil (W)
    83
    64
    16
    23
    21
    10
    26
    16
    20
    15
    L
    20.08.26
    Olympic WOBQ
    Brazil (W)
    Brazil (W)
    Argentina (W)
    Argentina (W)
    58
    53
    17
    12
    19
    15
    9
    12
    13
    14
    W
    19.08.26
    Olympic WOBQ
    New Zealand (W)
    New Zealand (W)
    Brazil (W)
    Brazil (W)
    53
    56
    8
    12
    14
    10
    14
    21
    17
    13
    W
    17.08.26
    Olympic WOBQ
    Brazil (W)
    Brazil (W)
    South Sudan (W)
    South Sudan (W)
    61
    63
    12
    24
    9
    5
    19
    13
    16
    14
    5
    7
    L
    09.08.26
    South American WSABC
    Colombia (W)
    Colombia (W)
    Brazil (W)
    Brazil (W)
    48
    61
    15
    16
    13
    13
    9
    18
    11
    14
    W
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    Argentina (W) Team Overview

    Argentina secured their second win of the tournament, bouncing back after a shocking loss to New Zealand. Their latest victim was a tough South Sudan side, edging them out 64-61. The key to victory was a dominant second quarter, which they took 20-9. However, there are concerns for the Albiceleste, as they were thoroughly outworked on the boards, losing the rebounding battle 35-51- including a 26-41 deficit in their own paint. If not for slightly better three-point shooting (27% to South Sudan’s 20%), the outcome could have been very different. Mungo led the way offensively with 19 points. The squad is largely composed of players from domestic South American leagues and mid-tier European competitions. Chagas and Gretter serve as the team’s primary leaders. Argentina have managed to maintain a solid balance between offense and defense over their last ten games, averaging 63.1 points scored while conceding just 59.8 per contest.

    Match Results: Argentina (W)

    20.08.26
    Olympic WOBQ
    Brazil (W)
    Brazil (W)
    Argentina (W)
    Argentina (W)
    58
    53
    17
    12
    19
    15
    9
    12
    13
    14
    L
    18.08.26
    Olympic WOBQ
    South Sudan (W)
    South Sudan (W)
    Argentina (W)
    Argentina (W)
    61
    64
    15
    17
    9
    20
    21
    10
    16
    17
    W
    17.08.26
    Olympic WOBQ
    Argentina (W)
    Argentina (W)
    New Zealand (W)
    New Zealand (W)
    35
    57
    12
    14
    12
    14
    8
    8
    3
    21
    L
    10.08.26
    South American WSABC
    Argentina (W)
    Argentina (W)
    Venezuela (W)
    Venezuela (W)
    53
    44
    13
    17
    19
    7
    11
    12
    10
    8
    W
    09.08.26
    South American WSABC
    Argentina (W)
    Argentina (W)
    Brazil (W)
    Brazil (W)
    72
    66
    21
    21
    15
    14
    20
    11
    16
    20
    W
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    ⭐ Editor’s Prediction

    Both teams rarely surpass the 70-point mark per game, as reflected in their recent scoring averages of under 65 points. Brazil’s gritty defensive style combined with both sides’ low shooting percentages at this tournament point towards a low-scoring affair. The immense psychological pressure surrounding the stakes will likely add even more tension and hesitation to the players' performances. Expect a nervy contest, marked by frequent fouls and unforced errors. Still, the nominal hosts are tipped to prevail, thanks to a slight edge in roster quality. Our pick: Brazil to win.
    Brazil (W) Win (inc. OT)
    Published: 19/08/2026, 15:00
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Basketball expert
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    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Brazil (W) - Argentina (W)

    Argentina (W) won the 2nd quarter:
    argentina-2in 7 of last 8 games.
    2nd Quarter Argentina (W) Win
    +121
    Argentina (W) won the 1st half:
    argentina-2in 7 of last 8 games.
    1st Half Argentina (W) Win
    +118
    Over 119.5 points scored:
    brazil-1argentina-2in 10 of last 11 Brazil (W) games against Argentina (W).
    brazil-1in last 10 Brazil (W) home games.
    Total points Over (119,5)
    -154
    Over 28.5 points in the 1st quarter:
    brazil-1in 10 of last 11 Brazil (W) games.
    brazil-1in last 5 Brazil (W) home games.
    argentina-2in 8 of last 9 Argentina (W) games.
    argentina-2in 7 of last 8 Argentina (W) away games.
    1st Quarter Total Over 28,5
    -189
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