Brazil vs Argentina W Prediction 20 August 2026

Details
Key points
    Brazil
    Brazil
    Argentina
    Argentina
    58
    53
    17
    19
    9
    13
    12
    15
    12
    14

    🏀 Brazil are set to face Argentina in Friday’s marquee clash of the women’s Olympic qualifying tournament. Whenever these two national teams meet, the rivalry draws plenty of attention, but this time the stakes are even higher: the outcome will decide which side advances to the next stage. Brazil enter as the bookmakers’ favourites, boasting a slightly more skilled roster, yet their performances so far have left questions about their consistency and quality. The same can be said for Argentina, making it unlikely that we’ll see a high-scoring encounter.

    Head-to-head statistics Brazil - Argentina W

    67%
    14 Wins
    33%
    7 Wins
    20.08.26
    Olympic WOBQ
    Brazil
    Brazil
    Argentina
    Argentina
    58
    53
    17
    12
    19
    15
    9
    12
    13
    14
    09.08.26
    South American WSABC
    Argentina
    Argentina
    Brazil
    Brazil
    72
    66
    21
    21
    15
    14
    20
    11
    16
    20
    06.07.25
    American Championship Women
    Brazil
    Brazil
    Argentina
    Argentina
    108
    68
    33
    22
    26
    14
    28
    17
    21
    15
    28.06.25
    American Championship Women
    Argentina
    Argentina
    Brazil
    Brazil
    50
    71
    4
    22
    21
    18
    16
    8
    9
    23
    08.09.24
    FIBA S. American Women
    Argentina (W)
    Argentina (W)
    Brazil (W)
    Brazil (W)
    84
    76
    20
    29
    24
    22
    18
    11
    22
    14
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    Brazil Team Overview

    Brazil bounced back from their opening defeat with a narrow 56-53 win over New Zealand in the second round. However, their overall performance still raised plenty of concerns. The team shot just 30.3% from the field, were beaten on the boards, and committed a staggering 18 turnovers. Fortunately for Brazil, their opponents struggled even more to generate offense. Gayton played a decisive role, leading the way with 18 points. It's clear that the absence of their WNBA-caliber trio - Cardoso, Suárez, and Costa, all of whom remained with their clubs -has significantly weakened Brazil, stripping them of their usual physical dominance and rebounding prowess. Nevertheless, even this current roster appears stronger on paper than Argentina’s lineup. Over their last 10 games, Brazil have averaged 67.9 points scored and 64.8 allowed per game, reflecting a relatively balanced approach on both ends of the floor without any glaring weaknesses.

    Match Results: Brazil

    23.08.26
    Olympic WOBQ
    Mexico
    Mexico
    Brazil
    Brazil
    83
    64
    16
    23
    21
    10
    26
    16
    20
    15
    L
    20.08.26
    Olympic WOBQ
    Brazil
    Brazil
    Argentina
    Argentina
    58
    53
    17
    12
    19
    15
    9
    12
    13
    14
    W
    19.08.26
    Olympic WOBQ
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    Brazil
    Brazil
    53
    56
    8
    12
    14
    10
    14
    21
    17
    13
    W
    17.08.26
    Olympic WOBQ
    Brazil
    Brazil
    South Sudan (W)
    South Sudan (W)
    61
    63
    12
    24
    9
    5
    19
    13
    16
    14
    5
    7
    L
    09.08.26
    South American WSABC
    Colombia
    Colombia
    Brazil
    Brazil
    48
    61
    15
    16
    13
    13
    9
    18
    11
    14
    W
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    Argentina Team Overview

    Argentina secured their second win of the tournament, bouncing back after a shocking loss to New Zealand. Their latest victim was a tough South Sudan side, edging them out 64-61. The key to victory was a dominant second quarter, which they took 20-9. However, there are concerns for the Albiceleste, as they were thoroughly outworked on the boards, losing the rebounding battle 35-51- including a 26-41 deficit in their own paint. If not for slightly better three-point shooting (27% to South Sudan’s 20%), the outcome could have been very different. Mungo led the way offensively with 19 points. The squad is largely composed of players from domestic South American leagues and mid-tier European competitions. Chagas and Gretter serve as the team’s primary leaders. Argentina have managed to maintain a solid balance between offense and defense over their last ten games, averaging 63.1 points scored while conceding just 59.8 per contest.

    Match Results: Argentina

    20.08.26
    Olympic WOBQ
    Brazil
    Brazil
    Argentina
    Argentina
    58
    53
    17
    12
    19
    15
    9
    12
    13
    14
    L
    18.08.26
    Olympic WOBQ
    South Sudan (W)
    South Sudan (W)
    Argentina
    Argentina
    61
    64
    15
    17
    9
    20
    21
    10
    16
    17
    W
    17.08.26
    Olympic WOBQ
    Argentina
    Argentina
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    35
    57
    12
    14
    12
    14
    8
    8
    3
    21
    L
    10.08.26
    South American WSABC
    Argentina
    Argentina
    Venezuela
    Venezuela
    53
    44
    13
    17
    19
    7
    11
    12
    10
    8
    W
    09.08.26
    South American WSABC
    Argentina
    Argentina
    Brazil
    Brazil
    72
    66
    21
    21
    15
    14
    20
    11
    16
    20
    W
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    ⭐ Editor’s Prediction

    Both teams rarely surpass the 70-point mark per game, as reflected in their recent scoring averages of under 65 points. Brazil’s gritty defensive style combined with both sides’ low shooting percentages at this tournament point towards a low-scoring affair. The immense psychological pressure surrounding the stakes will likely add even more tension and hesitation to the players' performances. Expect a nervy contest, marked by frequent fouls and unforced errors. Still, the nominal hosts are tipped to prevail, thanks to a slight edge in roster quality. Our pick: Brazil to win.
    Brazil Win (inc. OT)
    Odds-161
    Published: 19/08/2026, 15:00
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Basketball expert
    55
    0
    31
    86 predictions
    Statistics for November 2026

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    Betting Tips: Brazil - Argentina

    Argentina won the 2nd quarter:
    argentina-2in 7 of last 8 games.
    2nd Quarter Argentina to Win
    +121
    Argentina won the 1st half:
    argentina-2in 7 of last 8 games.
    1st Half Argentina to Win
    +118
    Over 119.5 points scored:
    brazil-1argentina-2in 10 of last 11 Brazil games against Argentina.
    brazil-1in last 10 Brazil home games.
    Total points Over (119,5)
    -154
    Over 28.5 points in the 1st quarter:
    brazil-1in 10 of last 11 Brazil games.
    brazil-1in last 5 Brazil home games.
    argentina-2in 8 of last 9 Argentina games.
    argentina-2in 7 of last 8 Argentina away games.
    1st Quarter Total Over 28,5
    -189
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