Memphis vs Rockets Prediction 18 July 2026
🏀 The Memphis Grizzlies are set to face the Houston Rockets in the NBA Summer League semifinals. Both teams finished among the top four during the group stage and are now not only looking to further test their young prospects but also have their sights set on lifting the trophy. Despite both sides posting identical win-loss records in Las Vegas, the oddsmakers have installed the Tennessee outfit as favorites heading into this clash. We'll see if the Grizzlies can live up to that billing.
Head-to-Head
📊 There’s little point in analyzing recent head-to-heads between these teams’ main squads. The Summer League features entirely different, and notably weaker, rosters.
Head-to-head statistics Memphis - Rockets

Memphis Grizzlies Team Overview
Memphis’ Summer League campaign has once again highlighted just how unpredictable teams built around young, talented but inexperienced players can be. Through their first three games, it seemed impossible for the Grizzlies to find any defensive rhythm in what is essentially a glorified exhibition tournament, as they conceded at least 85 points in every outing in Las Vegas. But then came a showdown with a powerful Atlanta side, and Memphis absolutely dominated, cruising to a 96-64 victory. The key? Total control on the boards, out-rebounding their opponents 36-24. Individually, the Boozer-Coward duo stole the show, combining for 47 points. Now, the big question is whether this Tennessee squad can carry that high level of play into their clash with Houston.
Match Results: Memphis Grizzlies

Houston Rockets Team Overview
The Houston Rockets have also played four games in Las Vegas so far, coming away with three wins and just one defeat. Their crucial victory over direct rivals Brooklyn (100-83) proved decisive in securing a playoff berth. After struggling offensively earlier in the tournament, the Texans finally showcased their full arsenal, especially from beyond the arc, as Houston knocked down an impressive 47.8% of their three-point attempts. Once again, it was recent draft pick Thornton, wearing number 31, who led the charge with 23 points, while Newton added 20 of his own. And let's not forget that head coach Dunn still has a promising prospect in Crawford, who had a quieter outing against the Nets, connecting on just 4 of his 14 shots from the field. With their roster depth and the current level of team chemistry, Houston fans have every reason to believe their team can make a run to the tournament final.
Match Results: Houston Rockets
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 106.3, for the away team - 108.46;
- average total points in H2H matches - 214.77.
Statistics: Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets
- average total in the tournament: 185.71 vs 177.75;
- average total points scored: 97.14 vs 94;
- average total points conceded: 88.57 vs 83.75;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 49.86 vs 44;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 47.29 vs 50;
- Memphis Grizzlies: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 89;
- Houston Rockets: average total points scored away in the tournament - 93;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 100.1 (home - 89) vs 96.8 (away - 95.4).
- Over 182.5 points scored in 6 of last 7 Houston Rockets games (NBA Summer League).