Rockets vs Memphis Prediction

Details
The main thing
    Houston Rockets
    Houston Rockets
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    132
    101
    32
    34
    34
    32
    26
    19
    26
    30

    🔊 Can the Texans bounce back from their recent setback and reclaim the fourth spot in the conference? On the final day of the NBA regular season, the Houston Rockets will host the Memphis Grizzlies. Previously, the hosts suffered a surprising defeat to a semi-reserve Minnesota lineup, allowing the Lakers to move ahead in the battle for the Western Conference's Top 4. Memphis, on the other hand, have little to play for except an upcoming vacation. Let's consider how this matchup might unfold and offer a well-founded prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These two teams have faced each other 55 times, with the Rockets holding a slight edge with 29 victories compared to the Grizzlies' 26. Their most recent matchup took place at the Grizzlies' home court and ended with a 119-109 win for the visitors from Houston.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    54%
    30 Wins
    46%
    26 Wins
    13.04.26
    NBA
    Houston Rockets
    Houston Rockets
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    132
    101
    32
    26
    34
    19
    34
    26
    32
    30
    28.03.26
    NBA
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Houston Rockets
    Houston Rockets
    109
    119
    30
    32
    19
    24
    33
    31
    27
    32
    27.01.26
    NBA
    Houston Rockets
    Houston Rockets
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    108
    99
    23
    24
    28
    30
    25
    23
    32
    22
    06.11.25
    NBA
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Houston Rockets
    Houston Rockets
    109
    124
    22
    34
    29
    26
    29
    34
    29
    30
    31.01.25
    NBA
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Houston Rockets
    Houston Rockets
    120
    119
    33
    38
    23
    28
    36
    30
    28
    23
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Houston Rockets Team Overview

    The Houston Rockets are in impressive form, having won 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 121.2 points per game while conceding just 109.3 points over this stretch. Houston's effective offense has become a key strength as they approach the end of the regular season, which is somewhat surprising given that Coach Udoka struggled to get the offense firing on all cylinders earlier in the season.

    However, even scoring 132 points in their recent clash with Minnesota wasn't enough to secure a win (132-136). The Rockets simply fell asleep on defense, particularly Sengun, who was made a laughingstock in the paint throughout the game. This setback was costly as it dropped Houston to 5th place, meaning they've lost home-court advantage for the first round of the playoffs. Nevertheless, against the current Lakers, who are missing two of their stars, the Texans still have excellent chances.

    Match Results: Houston Rockets

    02.05.26
    NBA
    Houston Rockets
    Houston Rockets
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    78
    98
    18
    23
    13
    26
    24
    22
    23
    27
    L
    30.04.26
    NBA
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Houston Rockets
    Houston Rockets
    93
    99
    28
    21
    19
    30
    20
    25
    26
    23
    W
    27.04.26
    NBA
    Houston Rockets
    Houston Rockets
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    115
    96
    26
    21
    30
    26
    34
    18
    25
    31
    W
    25.04.26
    NBA
    Houston Rockets
    Houston Rockets
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    108
    112
    32
    39
    20
    24
    23
    17
    26
    21
    7
    11
    L
    22.04.26
    NBA
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Houston Rockets
    Houston Rockets
    101
    94
    33
    26
    21
    25
    21
    17
    26
    26
    L
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    Memphis Grizzlies Team Overview

    The Memphis Grizzlies are enduring a rough patch with a five-game losing streak. They've dropped nine of their last ten games, highlighting significant issues both offensively and defensively. They average 111.3 points per game while conceding an average of 131.1 points, making them one of the league's worst defensive teams at this stage of the season. These numbers vividly illustrate the lack of spirit within the franchise.

    Isalo's squad seems to have completely given up on the remainder of the regular season, losing to all comers without much of a fight. On Friday, they managed to embarrass themselves even against one of the season's weakest teams, Utah (101-147). The Grizzlies appeared as if they didn't even show up on the court, displaying a playground-level performance. It's hard to believe Memphis will gear up for a serious battle against Houston-these players seem to be mentally checked out and already thinking about their beach vacations.

    Match Results: Memphis Grizzlies

    13.04.26
    NBA
    Houston Rockets
    Houston Rockets
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    132
    101
    32
    26
    34
    19
    34
    26
    32
    30
    L
    11.04.26
    NBA
    Utah Jazz
    Utah Jazz
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    147
    101
    33
    30
    41
    22
    36
    22
    37
    27
    L
    09.04.26
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    136
    119
    37
    33
    31
    39
    39
    22
    29
    25
    L
    07.04.26
    NBA
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    126
    142
    36
    24
    28
    44
    26
    33
    36
    41
    L
    05.04.26
    NBA
    Milwaukee Bucks
    Milwaukee Bucks
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    131
    115
    34
    25
    28
    31
    30
    31
    39
    28
    L
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Houston Rockets

    ✅ Houston have no injuries.

    📋 Projected lineup: Sengun, Durant, Smith, Thompson, Sheppard.

    Memphis Grizzlies

    ⛔ Memphis are missing a whole lineup for the season finale for various reasons: Pippen, Morant, Jerome, Hendricks, Edey, Coward, Clark, Wells, Spencer.

    📋 Projected lineup: Whitehead, Okani, Bol, Masek, Williamson.

    🏀Three-Point Shooting

    Throughout the regular season, Houston have excelled in three-point shooting, boasting a 36.6% accuracy rate, ranking them 9th. Udoka's squad performs even better on their own perimeter with a 35.2% success rate, placing them 8th.

    Memphis, on the other hand, lag behind significantly with a 35.4% accuracy rate, ranking them 20th. The Grizzlies show a similar level of performance on their defensive arc, allowing 36.5% of three-pointers to be made against them.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Houston are in significantly better form compared to Memphis. The Texans are eager to bounce back from their painful loss to Minnesota and will give it their all. Looking at the current lineup and attitude of the Grizzlies, their fans can only feel disheartened. We believe the visitors will falter once again, and Houston will face no difficulties. We're backing the home victory with a spread of (-16.5).

    Our choice
    Houston Rockets Handicap (-16.5) at odds of -133*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (11 April 2026, 19:13)

    Betting Tips: Houston Rockets - Memphis Grizzlies

    Houston Rockets have won
    houston-rocketsin 8 of last 9 games (NBA).
    Memphis Grizzlies have lost
    memphis-grizzliesin 12 of last 13 games (NBA).
    memphis-grizzliesin last 10 away games (NBA).
    Houston Rockets Win (inc. OT)
    Bovada
    -1111
    Houston Rockets won the 1st half
    houston-rocketsin 11 of last 12 home games (NBA).
    houston-rocketsin 8 of last 9 games (NBA).
    Memphis Grizzlies lost the 1st half
    memphis-grizzliesin 12 of last 13 games (NBA).
    memphis-grizzliesin 6 of last 7 away games (NBA).
    1st Half Houston Rockets Win
    -455
    Houston Rockets won the 4th quarter
    houston-rocketsmemphis-grizzliesin last 6 home games against Memphis Grizzlies (NBA).
    Memphis Grizzlies lost the 4th quarter
    memphis-grizzliesin last 9 games (NBA).
    memphis-grizzliesin 8 of last 9 away games (NBA).
    4th Quarter Houston Rockets Win
    -333
    Houston Rockets lost the 1st half
    houston-rocketsmemphis-grizzliesin 5 of last 6 home games against Memphis Grizzlies (NBA).
    1st Half Memphis Grizzlies Win
    +390
    View more facts

    Rockets - Memphis Table position

    Group stage WESTB
    gWLForm
    1.
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    440
    2.
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    431
    3.
    Los Angeles Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    422
    4.
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    413
    5.
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    404