Pelicans vs Mavericks Prediction 17 March 2026

Details
Key points
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    129
    111
    32
    35
    36
    26
    26
    28
    32
    25

    🔊 Who will find more motivation in a clash between two under-motivated teams? The New Orleans Pelicans and the Dallas Mavericks are set to face off in the NBA regular season. Both squads have long lost their playoff hopes, so they're currently focused on rebuilding and aiming for a lower position to secure a strong draft pick. So far, the hosts are leading in this "game of tanking." Let's consider how this matchup might unfold and make a well-founded prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The head-to-head history between these clubs includes 54 games, with the Pelicans celebrating victory 21 times. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have had more reasons to cheer, winning 33 times. Their last encounter was on 23 December 2025, when a high-scoring battle at New Orleans' home court ended 119-113 in favor of the hosts.

    Head-to-head statistics Pelicans - Mavericks

    40%
    22 Wins
    60%
    33 Wins
    17.03.26
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    129
    111
    32
    26
    35
    28
    36
    32
    26
    25
    23.12.25
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    119
    113
    36
    34
    21
    29
    22
    24
    40
    26
    22.11.25
    NBA
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    118
    115
    25
    34
    24
    29
    36
    22
    33
    30
    06.11.25
    NBA
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    99
    101
    19
    29
    30
    23
    28
    26
    22
    23
    22.02.25
    NBA
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    111
    103
    32
    22
    24
    31
    30
    29
    25
    21
    Empty
    There are no events
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    New Orleans Pelicans Team Overview

    The New Orleans Pelicans, despite lacking any clear motivation, are currently delivering a stretch of competitive and quality basketball, winning six of their last ten games-a commendable feat for any team, let alone a Western Conference underdog. During this period, they have averaged 118.9 points per game while allowing 115.6, indicating an uptick in offensive strength and solid defense. The team focuses on fast breaks and a high tempo, creating numerous open shot opportunities.

    Recently, Zion and his squad went toe-to-toe with the formidable Houston Rockets on their home court, narrowly losing 105-107. Murray dominated the court, hitting 14 of 18 shots from the field, finishing the game with 35 points. Additionally, the Pelicans impressively shot 40% from beyond the arc. Fans can only lament that the first half of the season was marred by injuries to key players and a lack of cohesion.

    Match Results: New Orleans Pelicans

    08.10.26
    NBA
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    128
    118
    33
    36
    40
    28
    20
    32
    35
    22
    L
    07.10.26
    NBA
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    110
    116
    34
    28
    33
    24
    26
    38
    17
    26
    W
    19.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    91
    73
    23
    16
    18
    23
    29
    12
    21
    22
    L
    15.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    82
    77
    16
    15
    15
    18
    21
    16
    30
    28
    L
    12.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix Suns
    81
    75
    16
    12
    25
    19
    21
    23
    19
    21
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Dallas Mavericks Team Overview

    The Dallas Mavericks find themselves in a much tougher spot than their current opponents, having secured just two wins in their last 10 games. Despite this, they still hold a slight edge in the Western Conference standings, leading the Pelicans by just one victory. Their average scoring during this stretch is a paltry 105.5 points per game, while they concede an average of 119.2 points, raising concerns about the team's defense.

    However, in their previous outing, Kidd's squad delivered a pleasant surprise to their fans with a sensational road victory over the formidable Cleveland Cavaliers (130-120), where the odds for a Mavericks win exceeded 8.00 before the game. The Texans played arguably their best offensive basketball of the season, showcasing impressive teamwork and great spirit. Three players-Flagg, Marshall, and Washington-each scored 20+ points. It will be interesting to see if this offensive fireworks display continues in New Orleans.

    Match Results: Dallas Mavericks

    09.10.26
    NBA
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Houston Rockets
    Houston Rockets
    117
    135
    19
    27
    26
    38
    35
    34
    37
    36
    L
    18.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    New York Knicks
    New York Knicks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    88
    110
    23
    16
    18
    25
    19
    35
    28
    34
    W
    16.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    87
    97
    20
    24
    25
    25
    18
    28
    24
    20
    W
    13.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    88
    96
    19
    24
    27
    26
    19
    18
    23
    28
    W
    12.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    70
    91
    19
    21
    25
    26
    13
    20
    13
    24
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    New Orleans Pelicans

    ⛔ For the Pelicans, Murray is questionable, and McGowens is definitely out.

    📋 Probable lineup: Williamson, Bey, Murphy, Jones, Murray.

    Dallas Mavericks

    ⛔ Dallas might be without Gafford, but Thompson could make his return after a long absence.

    📋 Probable lineup: Flagg, Christie, Marshall, Washington, Gafford.

    🏀 Three-Point Shooting

    New Orleans are somewhat average when it comes to long-range shooting, hitting 34.6% of their attempts (23rd in the league). However, the Pelicans surprisingly excel at defending the perimeter, allowing opponents to score from deep just 34.8% of the time (6th).

    Dallas are among the worst in the league for three-point shooting, converting only 34.2% of their attempts (28th). Yet, as poor as they are at offense from beyond the arc, they excel in defense, leading the league by allowing just 34.3%.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    This matchup promises to be thrilling and fast-paced from both sides. While New Orleans appear more confident given Dallas's recent struggles, it's important to remember that the Mavericks have historically held their own against the Pelicans in head-to-head battles. Let's assume the Texans are inspired by their impressive performance against Cleveland and, buoyed by the return of legendary sharpshooter Thompson, they can put up a strong fight. We'll take the visitors with a spread of (+10.5).

    Dallas Mavericks Handicap (+10,5)
    Odds-161
    Published: 16/03/2026, 14:21

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    Betting Tips: New Orleans Pelicans - Dallas Mavericks

    New Orleans Pelicans lost the 3rd quarter:
    new-orleans-pelicansdallas-mavericksin last 7 games against Dallas Mavericks (NBA).
    3rd Quarter Dallas Mavericks to Win
    +130
    Dallas Mavericks lost the 2nd half:
    dallas-mavericksin 8 of last 9 games (NBA).
    2nd Half New Orleans Pelicans to Win
    -200
    Dallas Mavericks won with a +5.5 points handicap:
    new-orleans-pelicansdallas-mavericksin 7 of last 8 games against New Orleans Pelicans (NBA).
    Dallas Mavericks Handicap (+5,5)
    +107

    Pelicans - Mavericks Table position

    Group stage WESTB
    MPWLForm
    1.
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    440
    2.
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    431
    3.
    Los Angeles Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    422
    4.
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    413
    5.
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    404