Pelicans vs Mavericks Prediction 17 March 2026
🔊 Who will find more motivation in a clash between two under-motivated teams? The New Orleans Pelicans and the Dallas Mavericks are set to face off in the NBA regular season. Both squads have long lost their playoff hopes, so they're currently focused on rebuilding and aiming for a lower position to secure a strong draft pick. So far, the hosts are leading in this "game of tanking." Let's consider how this matchup might unfold and make a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 The head-to-head history between these clubs includes 54 games, with the Pelicans celebrating victory 21 times. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have had more reasons to cheer, winning 33 times. Their last encounter was on 23 December 2025, when a high-scoring battle at New Orleans' home court ended 119-113 in favor of the hosts.
Head-to-head statistics Pelicans - Mavericks

New Orleans Pelicans Team Overview
The New Orleans Pelicans, despite lacking any clear motivation, are currently delivering a stretch of competitive and quality basketball, winning six of their last ten games-a commendable feat for any team, let alone a Western Conference underdog. During this period, they have averaged 118.9 points per game while allowing 115.6, indicating an uptick in offensive strength and solid defense. The team focuses on fast breaks and a high tempo, creating numerous open shot opportunities.
Recently, Zion and his squad went toe-to-toe with the formidable Houston Rockets on their home court, narrowly losing 105-107. Murray dominated the court, hitting 14 of 18 shots from the field, finishing the game with 35 points. Additionally, the Pelicans impressively shot 40% from beyond the arc. Fans can only lament that the first half of the season was marred by injuries to key players and a lack of cohesion.
Match Results: New Orleans Pelicans

Dallas Mavericks Team Overview
The Dallas Mavericks find themselves in a much tougher spot than their current opponents, having secured just two wins in their last 10 games. Despite this, they still hold a slight edge in the Western Conference standings, leading the Pelicans by just one victory. Their average scoring during this stretch is a paltry 105.5 points per game, while they concede an average of 119.2 points, raising concerns about the team's defense.
However, in their previous outing, Kidd's squad delivered a pleasant surprise to their fans with a sensational road victory over the formidable Cleveland Cavaliers (130-120), where the odds for a Mavericks win exceeded 8.00 before the game. The Texans played arguably their best offensive basketball of the season, showcasing impressive teamwork and great spirit. Three players-Flagg, Marshall, and Washington-each scored 20+ points. It will be interesting to see if this offensive fireworks display continues in New Orleans.
Match Results: Dallas Mavericks
Latest news
New Orleans Pelicans
⛔ For the Pelicans, Murray is questionable, and McGowens is definitely out.
📋 Probable lineup: Williamson, Bey, Murphy, Jones, Murray.
Dallas Mavericks
⛔ Dallas might be without Gafford, but Thompson could make his return after a long absence.
📋 Probable lineup: Flagg, Christie, Marshall, Washington, Gafford.
🏀 Three-Point Shooting
New Orleans are somewhat average when it comes to long-range shooting, hitting 34.6% of their attempts (23rd in the league). However, the Pelicans surprisingly excel at defending the perimeter, allowing opponents to score from deep just 34.8% of the time (6th).
Dallas are among the worst in the league for three-point shooting, converting only 34.2% of their attempts (28th). Yet, as poor as they are at offense from beyond the arc, they excel in defense, leading the league by allowing just 34.3%.