Pacers vs Hawks Prediction 10 October 2026
🏀 The Indiana Pacers host the Atlanta Hawks in one of Sunday’s NBA preseason matchups. The home side have significantly bolstered both their core and bench depth. Meanwhile, the visitors arrive with a host of athletic rookies and seasoned defensive specialists, aiming to bring more balance to their defensive game. This contest serves as the perfect testing ground for both teams to trial their revamped systems.
Head-to-Head
📊In the last five head-to-head clashes, Atlanta have clearly dominated, coming out on top in four of those matchups. The most recent encounter took place on 01 February 2026 in Indianapolis, where the Pacers claimed their only win in this stretch with a 129-124 victory.
Head-to-head statistics Pacers - Hawks

Indiana are relishing the return of Haliburton
Indiana opened their campaign against Minnesota with a 123-112 win, showcasing impressive offensive organization under Haliburton’s leadership and strong execution in transition. The Pacers thrive on a high-tempo game and make the most of their playmaker’s creativity. Their offense looked exactly as it should with Haliburton at the helm: 39 assists on 48 made field goals. For context, Indiana managed more than 39 assists in a game just twice throughout last season.
However, the Pacers still face roster issues: Furphy, Nance Jr., and McConnell remain sidelined as they recover from injuries and missed the season opener. Still, Rick Carlisle’s squad has the depth to absorb these absences - Huff contributed 16 points in just 15 minutes, while Sheppard added 13 more in that aforementioned clash with the Timberwolves.
Match Results: Indiana Pacers

Atlanta: a high-powered attack paired with a shaky defense
Atlanta have already played two preseason games, conceding a total of 248 points - 132 against Memphis and 116 against San Antonio. Defensive issues remain a systemic problem, but their win over the Spurs showed this team has plenty of grit. Facing last season’s runners-up, the Hawks clawed back from a 23-point deficit, thanks in large part to their bench. Flemings put up 15 points, while Asa added 16 off the bench.
It’s worth noting that Atlanta were without Johnson, Dort, Gueye, Gilbert, and Veesaar. That means their victory over the Texans came with a shorthanded roster, making it even more impressive. Incidentally, Johnson could be back in the lineup against Indiana, which would give the Hawks a significant boost.
Match Results: Atlanta Hawks
Total Points Prediction
Looking at their head-to-head history, the hosts average 108.8 points per game, while the visitors post 107.9. There’s a notable trend here: Atlanta have scored over 113.5 points on the road in nine of their last ten meetings with the Pacers. With this in mind, we recommend backing Atlanta’s individual total over 113.5 points at odds of 1.66.
Outcome Prediction
A clear trend emerges here - Atlanta have not lost by more than five points in each of their last six meetings with Indiana. Back the visitors with a +5.5 handicap at odds of 1.58.