New Orleans vs Nuggets Prediction 15 November 2026

Details
Key points

    🏀 The New Orleans Pelicans host the Denver Nuggets in an NBA regular-season game. The home team come into this game after a difficult stretch, sitting near the bottom of the standings and looking for ways to improve their results. The visitors are among the teams still in contention for higher positions, though they have yet to reach their best level. They do, however, have the edge in experience and offensive organisation.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The Nuggets have won each of the last five meetings. In October 2026, they won two games in a row: first 141-135 in overtime, then 104-91. Denver also won 122-116 in January 2026.

    Head-to-head statistics New Orleans - Nuggets

    34%
    20 Wins
    66%
    38 Wins
    29.10.26
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    91
    104
    18
    37
    27
    20
    28
    22
    18
    25
    25.10.26
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    141
    135
    24
    38
    33
    35
    32
    35
    37
    18
    15
    9
    14.01.26
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    116
    122
    31
    32
    34
    28
    27
    29
    24
    33
    20.11.25
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    118
    125
    30
    26
    28
    36
    25
    35
    35
    28
    30.10.25
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    122
    88
    34
    25
    19
    22
    39
    11
    30
    30
    Empty
    There are no events
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    New Orleans Pelicans: defensive problems and rotation absences

    The New Orleans Pelicans are going through a difficult spell: they have lost their last six games, most recently falling 111-142 to Memphis the previous day. New Orleans score 116.9 points per game on average but concede 125.6, pointing to serious defensive problems. They allow opponents too many scoring opportunities, and their own offensive efforts do not make up the difference. Turnovers are another problem: the Pelicans average 16.5 per game.

    Much of their offence depends on Zion Williamson and Saddiq Bey. Williamson puts pressure on the basket with drives and play in the paint, while Bey can contribute with shots from the perimeter. He scored 30 points in the most recent game against Memphis. Meanwhile, player absences limit the rotation options and make it difficult to find a consistent combination of players. The team have a particularly tough time on defence, where the absence of several players affects their rebounding and individual defence.

    Match Results: New Orleans Pelicans

    14.11.26
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    111
    142
    28
    35
    30
    35
    28
    35
    25
    37
    L
    12.11.26
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Brooklyn Nets
    Brooklyn Nets
    111
    145
    25
    39
    41
    44
    15
    24
    30
    38
    L
    10.11.26
    NBA
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    138
    87
    35
    20
    37
    23
    40
    22
    26
    22
    L
    09.11.26
    NBA
    Los Angeles Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    139
    123
    28
    28
    39
    32
    35
    35
    37
    28
    L
    07.11.26
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    109
    115
    30
    27
    21
    30
    28
    20
    30
    38
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Denver Nuggets: balanced offence and control of the game

    Denver have won three of their last five games, including victories over Toronto (128:109), Indiana (114:102) and Memphis (123:118). The Nuggets average 114.5 points scored and 113.3 conceded per game. They shoot 48.3% from the field, record 27.6 assists and commit 13.3 turnovers per game. These figures reflect Denver’s strength: an organised offence in which scoring depends not only on individual contributions from their leaders, but also on how the entire starting five work together.

    The team’s key player is Nikola Jokic. The centre averages 23.5 points, 10.8 rebounds and 9.0 assists per game. His impact goes beyond scoring: Jokic connects the players on offence, finds open teammates and helps Denver control the pace. Jamal Murray creates opportunities from the perimeter, while Aaron Gordon and Christian Braun bring physicality and off-ball movement. With roles divided this way, the Nuggets can keep scoring even in games where one of their leaders does not score many points.

    Match Results: Denver Nuggets

    12.11.26
    NBA
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    118
    123
    24
    35
    28
    30
    38
    29
    28
    29
    W
    10.11.26
    NBA
    Houston Rockets
    Houston Rockets
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    110
    100
    32
    24
    22
    16
    23
    28
    33
    32
    L
    07.11.26
    NBA
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    102
    114
    19
    27
    22
    37
    37
    26
    24
    24
    W
    05.11.26
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    128
    109
    33
    35
    31
    32
    41
    15
    23
    27
    W
    03.11.26
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Portland Trail Blazers
    Portland Trail Blazers
    110
    118
    31
    19
    35
    39
    21
    27
    23
    33
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    New Orleans Pelicans

    ⛔ Dejounte Murray, Trey Murphy III, Bryce McGowens, Yves Missi and Trendon Watford are out for New Orleans. Bennedict Mathurin is doubtful.

    📋 Projected starting five: Fears, Jones, Bey, Williamson, Matkovic.

    Denver Nuggets

    ⛔ Only Julian Strawther is unavailable for Denver.

    📋 Projected starting five: Murray, Brown, Johnson, Gordon, Jokic.

    Prediction on the Outcome

    Although New Orleans have rarely beaten Denver in recent years, they often put up a good fight at home. The Pelicans have covered a (+13.5) handicap in 19 consecutive home games against Denver. We pick the home team to win with a (+13.5) handicap at odds of 1.62*.

    Total Points Prediction

    Denver have scored fewer than 123.5 points in 10 of their last 11 NBA away games. In away head-to-head games, they have failed to reach even 122.5 points in 14 of 16 meetings. Meanwhile, New Orleans have conceded an average of 119.7 points in their recent home games. We pick Nuggets Team Total Points Under 123.5 for the game at odds of 1.89.*

    *Odds are indicative and may vary between bookmakers.

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    Denver look like favourites based on current form and head-to-head history, but the gap in quality will not necessarily translate into a large points margin. The Pelicans can keep scoring through Williamson and Bey. The main concern is New Orleans' defence: in recent games, they have allowed opponents to score 130 points or more far too often. Even so, we think the Pelicans will put up a fight at home against a Nuggets side that are not in ideal shape. We’re backing New Orleans to win with a +13.5 handicap.
    New Orleans Pelicans Handicap (+13,5)
    Odds-145
    Published: 14/11/2026, 07:09
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Basketball expert
    61
    0
    35
    96 predictions
    Statistics for November 2026

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    Betting Tips: New Orleans Pelicans - Denver Nuggets

    New Orleans Pelicans have lost:
    new-orleans-pelicansdenver-nuggetsin last 8 games against Denver Nuggets (NBA).
    Denver Nuggets Win (inc. OT)
    Everygame
    -556
    New Orleans Pelicans lost the 2nd half:
    new-orleans-pelicansdenver-nuggetsin last 6 games against Denver Nuggets (NBA).
    new-orleans-pelicansdenver-nuggetsin last 4 home games against Denver Nuggets (NBA).
    2nd Half Denver Nuggets to Win
    -278
    New Orleans Pelicans lost the 2nd quarter:
    new-orleans-pelicansin 7 of last 8 games (NBA).
    2nd Quarter Denver Nuggets to Win
    -200
    New Orleans Pelicans lost the 1st half:
    new-orleans-pelicansin last 5 games (NBA).
    1st Half Denver Nuggets to Win
    Thunderpick
    -333
    View more facts

    New Orleans - Nuggets Table position

    Regular season Western Conference
    MPWLForm
    8.
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    1385
    9.
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    1064
    10.
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    1275
    11.
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix Suns
    1156
    12.
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    1349
    13.
    Los Angeles Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    1138
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