Pelicans vs Nuggets Prediction 29 October 2026

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Key points

    🏀 In this NBA regular season clash, the New Orleans Pelicans are set to face off against the Denver Nuggets. The visitors boast a far superior roster, giving them a clear edge over a Pelicans side struggling with issues across the board. It's hard to see New Orleans managing to exact any revenge here.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These teams faced off just a few days ago, with the Denver Nuggets coming out on top in a high-scoring clash, 141-135. It's worth noting that the outcome was decided in overtime. Looking at their last five head-to-head meetings, the Nuggets have also dominated, winning all five matchups.

    Head-to-head statistics Pelicans - Nuggets

    35%
    20 Wins
    65%
    37 Wins
    25.10.26
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    141
    135
    24
    38
    33
    35
    32
    35
    37
    18
    15
    9
    14.01.26
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    116
    122
    31
    32
    34
    28
    27
    29
    24
    33
    20.11.25
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    118
    125
    30
    26
    28
    36
    25
    35
    35
    28
    30.10.25
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    122
    88
    34
    25
    19
    22
    39
    11
    30
    30
    06.02.25
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    144
    119
    36
    36
    32
    32
    45
    27
    31
    24
    Empty
    There are no events
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    New Orleans Pelicans: the hosts rely on a basic style of play

    The hosts are coming off three straight defeats. Aside from their recent loss to the Denver Nuggets in their last head-to-head, they also fell short against Utah (119-120) and Indiana (120-123). The New Orleans Pelicans are struggling defensively, with persistent errors surfacing regardless of the game's tempo. On top of that, some players simply aren’t putting in enough effort on the defensive end. This scenario could prove costly once again when facing Denver.

    Offensively, the hosts have looked relatively solid, but their attack relies more on individual efforts than on cohesive team play or well-drilled sets. Without question, Murphy, Murray, or Williamson are all capable of putting up big numbers in the upcoming clash. However, the rest of the roster might end up holding the team back rather than pushing them toward victory. The Pelicans have also had notable issues from beyond the arc, converting just 29% of their three-point attempts against Denver.

    Match Results: New Orleans Pelicans

    25.10.26
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    141
    135
    24
    38
    33
    35
    32
    35
    37
    18
    15
    9
    L
    24.10.26
    NBA
    Utah Jazz
    Utah Jazz
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    120
    119
    31
    28
    31
    24
    24
    38
    34
    29
    L
    22.10.26
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    120
    123
    31
    38
    35
    18
    26
    30
    28
    37
    L
    17.10.26
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Washington Wizards
    Washington Wizards
    107
    106
    23
    17
    33
    34
    25
    19
    26
    36
    W
    15.10.26
    NBA
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    97
    101
    18
    24
    27
    32
    18
    19
    34
    26
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Denver Nuggets: The visitors are hitting their stride

    Denver have had an inconsistent start to the season, picking up just one win from their first three games. They recently fell to Golden State, 114-134, and also lost to Oklahoma City, 84-96. As recent results show, the Nuggets continue to struggle against top-tier opponents. However, when facing teams likely to be fighting for a spot around 10th in the conference, Denver can assert themselves and play to their strengths - right now, they have the tools to do just that.

    First and foremost, Nikola Jokic deserves mention. Regardless of his form, Jokic consistently creates quality looks - both for himself and his teammates. There’s also a clear area for improvement: three-point shooting. The team is hitting just over 30% from deep in recent outings. Still, with Jamal Murray and several other capable shooters - including Jokic himself - the Nuggets have every chance to improve their perimeter efficiency. Against the Pelicans, those opportunities should be there.

    Match Results: Denver Nuggets

    27.10.26
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    114
    134
    32
    28
    24
    32
    28
    40
    30
    34
    L
    25.10.26
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    141
    135
    24
    38
    33
    35
    32
    35
    37
    18
    15
    9
    W
    23.10.26
    NBA
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    96
    84
    24
    27
    20
    21
    26
    16
    26
    20
    L
    17.10.26
    NBA
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    106
    121
    22
    36
    33
    26
    28
    26
    23
    33
    W
    15.10.26
    NBA
    Los Angeles Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    122
    110
    24
    24
    34
    31
    38
    26
    26
    29
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Total Points Prediction

    The New Orleans Pelicans have scored under 120.5 points in six of their last seven NBA games. In 12 of their last 14 head-to-head meetings, the team has also failed to reach 119.5 points. Additionally, the Denver Nuggets are conceding an average of just 103.8 points in recent road games. Considering these trends, a reasonable pick is New Orleans Pelicans under 120.5 points for this matchup at odds of 1.65*.

    Reliable Bet

    Denver Nuggets have scored fewer than 32.5 points in the first quarter in each of their last eight head-to-head road games. In six of their last seven away fixtures, they have even failed to reach the tougher 30.5 mark. Back Denver Nuggets’ individual total under 32.5 points in the first quarter at odds of 1.42*.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Bookmakers aren't naming a clear favorite in this matchup, largely because New Orleans are playing at home. On top of that, Denver are dealing with a much tighter schedule, leaving them with less time to recover. Still, the gap in quality between the teams is significant. The Nuggets need to improve across all facets of their game, and they're working on that every time they step on the court. The Pelicans, meanwhile, tend to play a fairly basic style. They lack the potential to build better chemistry ahead of this contest. Williamson will attack the rim, others will take their chances from deep, but there's little sign of a cohesive system. Denver can wear their opponents down with consistency. Our editorial team recommends backing the Denver Nuggets -4.5 spread.
    Denver Nuggets Handicap (-4,5)
    Odds-116
    Published: 28/10/2026, 14:23
    Roman Smirnov
    Roman Smirnov
    Basketball and football specialist
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    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: New Orleans Pelicans - Denver Nuggets

    New Orleans Pelicans have lost:
    new-orleans-pelicansdenver-nuggetsin last 7 games against Denver Nuggets (NBA).
    Denver Nuggets Win (inc. OT)
    Everygame
    -182
    New Orleans Pelicans lost the 2nd half:
    new-orleans-pelicansdenver-nuggetsin last 5 games against Denver Nuggets (NBA).
    new-orleans-pelicansin 5 of last 6 home games (NBA).
    2nd Half Denver Nuggets to Win
    -154
    New Orleans Pelicans won the 3rd quarter:
    new-orleans-pelicansin 7 of last 8 games (NBA).
    3rd Quarter New Orleans Pelicans to Win
    +115
    New Orleans Pelicans lost the 4th quarter:
    new-orleans-pelicansin last 6 games (NBA).
    4th Quarter Denver Nuggets to Win
    -125
    View more facts

    Pelicans - Nuggets Table position

    Regular season Western Conference
    MPWLForm
    9.
    Los Angeles Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    312
    10.
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    312
    11.
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix Suns
    312
    13.
    Utah Jazz
    Utah Jazz
    413
    14.
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    303
    15.
    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento Kings
    404