Samara vs CSKA Prediction 14 November 2026
🏀 Two teams at opposite ends of this season’s VTB United League standings meet in Samara. The hosts are still without a win, while CSKA Moscow have yet to slip up. CSKA are the favourites, but they do not always put on a high-scoring show, even against teams near the bottom. With a busy schedule ahead, they have little reason to expend extra energy in Samara.
Head-to-Head
📊 CSKA Moscow have won their last 12 head-to-head games against BC Krasnye Krylya Samara in the VTB United League. CSKA won four times last season, with a margin of at least 37 points on three occasions. Their most recent game was in April 2026, when CSKA Moscow won away from home (109-72).
Head-to-head statistics Samara - CSKA
Samara: nine defeats and attacking problems
The hosts’ situation is becoming increasingly difficult. Miloš Pavićević’s team have lost all nine of their league games and sit firmly in last place. BC Krasnye Krylya Samara have suffered heavy defeats against strong opponents in recent rounds, and on Wednesday they lost to Zenit (56:92). They were already 25 points behind at half-time and could not turn the game around. Even so, they keep fighting when the scoreline is heavily against them, but they have yet to play well enough to challenge the favourites regularly.
BC Krasnye Krylya Samara’s main problem is their weak offence. They average just 67.9 points and make 27.6% of their three-point shots. They also struggle against pressure: against Zenit, they committed 25 turnovers, which their opponents repeatedly punished with fast breaks. Such mistakes regularly prevent them from setting up their half-court offence. Ahead of the home game against CSKA Moscow, the coaching staff’s task is clear: reduce the number of turnovers and stop the visitors from scoring easy points after steals.
Match Results: BC Krasnye Krylya Samara
CSKA: winning even without scoring heavily
CSKA Moscow have yet to give their rivals a chance to close the gap at the top of the table. Andreas Pistiolis’s team have won all nine of their regular-season games, with little difficulty in most of them. CSKA recently beat Zenit (80:68) with a strong defensive display, then thrashed Dynamo Vladivostok (106:75). In the latter game, the Moscow side spread the workload evenly: all 12 players who took to the court scored.
Despite leading the table, CSKA do not look to score more than 100 points every time. They are averaging 92.1 points in the league this season and have exceeded 103.5 points only twice in nine games. The team use their possessions efficiently, rarely turn the ball over and know how to control the pace. CSKA have two more games coming up with short breaks between them, against Igokea (in the Winline Cup) and UNICS. If they quickly build a comfortable lead, the coaching staff will be able to use a wide rotation without demanding maximum scoring output from their leaders throughout the game.
Match Results: CSKA Moscow
Prediction for the 1st quarter
First Quarter Prediction
At home, BC Krasnye Krylya Samara have scored more than 16.5 points in the first quarter in 6 of their last 7 VTB United League games. They have averaged 19 points in that quarter across their recent home games, while CSKA Moscow have conceded an average of 17.5 first-quarter points in their recent away games. We pick BC Krasnye Krylya Samara Team Total Points Over 16.5 in the first quarter at odds of 2.04.*
Match Result Prediction
Outcome prediction
BC Krasnye Krylya Samara have covered the +34.5 handicap in 6 of their last 7 VTB United League home games. CSKA Moscow have won 9 of their last 10 games, so this bet does not require the hosts to win: they can lose, but by no more than 34 points. We pick BC Krasnye Krylya Samara +34.5 handicap for the game at odds of 2.12.*
Total Goals Prediction
Total Points Prediction
Under 169.5 total points has landed in 6 of BC Krasnye Krylya Samara’s last 7 games. CSKA Moscow have finished 7 of their last 8 games with under 176.5 total points, another argument for a moderate combined score. In their recent away games, CSKA Moscow have averaged 83 points, while BC Krasnye Krylya Samara have conceded 96.3 points in their recent home games. We’re backing Under 169.5 Total Points at odds of 1.65.*
Safer Bet
Reliable bet
BC Krasnye Krylya Samara have covered the +41.5 handicap in seven straight games. In home VTB United League games, they have also covered the tougher +34.5 handicap in six of their last seven. We pick BC Krasnye Krylya Samara +41.5 handicap for the game at odds of 1.47.*
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial prediction
BC Krasnye Krylya Samara remain the lowest-scoring team in the league, averaging 67.9 points. Against Zenit, the hosts managed just 56 points, and the game total was only 148. In six of BC Krasnye Krylya Samara’s last seven games, the teams scored fewer than 169.5 points combined. Against CSKA Moscow, who know how to limit opponents offensively, the hosts will find it even harder to get open shots.
CSKA Moscow could win by a wide margin without a high-scoring game. They can control the pace, and a comfortable lead would give the coaching staff a chance to spread playing time among the bench players. BC Krasnye Krylya Samara’s weak defence poses some risk, but the hosts’ low scoring could keep the combined score within the required range. The main prediction is Total Points Under 169.5.
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Betting Tips: BC Krasnye Krylya Samara - CSKA Moscow
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