Iran vs Jordan Prediction 13 September 2026
🏀 Iran host Jordan in the final round of the Asian Games group stage. Both teams are level on points after two games and desperately need a win to secure a playoff spot. With the sides evenly matched in terms of quality, this promises to be one of the most hard-fought contests of the day. Iran boast a stronger defensive unit, while Jordan favour a more creative and attacking brand of basketball. Expect a clash of two distinct basketball philosophies.
Head-to-Head
📊 Iran and Jordan have faced each other eight times in official matches. The hosts have claimed five victories, while the visitors have won three, including games decided in overtime. Their most recent meeting took place on 02 July 2026 in Jordan, where Iran came out on top with a 67-49 win.
Head-to-head statistics Iran - Jordan
Iran Team Overview
After suffering a defeat to Qatar in their Asian Games opener, Iran bounced back with a hard-fought victory over Taiwan, edging them 72-69. The team showed significant improvement in their offensive sets, ramping up both aggression and tempo on the attacking end. Still, Iran’s hallmark remains their stifling defense, built around a slow pace, dominance on the boards, and the ability to neutralize opposing sharpshooters. Their main weakness lies in inconsistent perimeter shooting and frequent scoring droughts, but as we saw in their previous outing, Iran have demonstrated they are capable of progress on offense as well. As usual, the squad is anchored by one of Asian basketball’s most recognizable names - veteran center Hamed Haddadi - alongside a seasoned core featuring Amin, Yakhchali, and Kazemi.
Match Results: Iran
Jordan Team Overview
Jordan remain one of the top contenders for medals at the Asian Games. Their opening defeat to Taiwan dampened expectations, but in their second outing against Qatar, the team looked much more composed - not just offensively (which was already a strength against Taiwan), but especially on the defensive end. The result was a convincing 76-65 victory. Overall, Jordan are a more entertaining side to watch than Iran, as even without several of their naturalized stars from previous years, they aim to play at a higher tempo. However, they have struggled to protect their own rim and have been prone to turnovers under pressure. That said, their latest performance against Qatar showed clear progress defensively. It will be interesting to see how Jordan continue their run in the tournament.
Match Results: Jordan
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-head meetings:
- Total encounters - 8;
- First quarter wins at home - 0; away - 1;
- Average first quarter total: 35.5 points;
- Tonight’s hosts average 19.63 points in the opening quarter, while the visitors post 15.88.
Last 10 games (overall):
- Wins: 5 vs 3;
- Losses: 4 vs 6;
- Draws: 1 vs 1;
- Average first quarter total: 31.8 (scored - 17.4, conceded - 14.4) vs 39.5 (scored - 19, conceded - 20.5).
- The first quarter total has gone under 35.5 points in 7 of Iran’s last 8 games.
- Jordan have seen the first quarter total stay under 35.5 points in six consecutive men’s Asian Games fixtures.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 77, for the away team - 70;
- average total points in H2H matches - 147.
Statistics: Iran vs Jordan
- average total in the tournament: 126.5 vs 152;
- average total points scored: 62.5 vs 78;
- average total points conceded: 64 vs 74;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 24.5 vs 39;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 38 vs 39;
- Iran: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 0;
- Jordan: average total points scored away in the tournament - 0;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 72.4 (home - 74) vs 76.1 (away - 80).
- Iran have scored over 70.5 points in 7 of last 8 games (Asian Games - Men's Basketball).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 8;
- number of wins for the home team - 5, for the away team - 3.
Statistics: Iran vs Jordan
- number of tournament matches played: 2 vs 2;
- number of wins: 1 (50%) vs 1 (50%);
- number of losses: 1 (50%) vs 1 (50%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 0;
- number of away wins for the away team: 0.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 6 vs 3;
- number of losses: 4 vs 7;
- number of home wins for the home team: 2;
- number of away wins for the away team: 2.
- Iran won with a +1.5 points handicap in 7 of last 8 games (Asian Games - Men's Basketball).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams have struggled with efficiency in their shooting early in the tournament. Head-to-head clashes between Iran and Jordan are typically slow-paced, tactical battles - back in July 2026, they combined for just 116 points. Iran’s defense is more than capable of denying Jordan easy looks in the opening seconds of possessions, forcing another drawn-out contest dominated by half-court sets. Historically, offensive output drops in high-stakes games due to nerves and defensive-minded approaches like Iran’s. We expect this matchup to follow the same pattern. Our pick: under 142.5 total points.
No comments
Betting Tips: Iran - Jordan
in 7 of last 8 games against Jordan.in last 8 games (Asian Games - Men's Basketball).in 7 of last 8 games against Jordan.in 7 of last 8 games against Jordan.Other predictions
