Jordan vs Iran Prediction 2 July 2026
🔊Jordan host Iran in their next World Cup qualifier, a fixture that carries little tournament intrigue since both sides have already secured spots in the next round. This does nothing to diminish the hosts’ status as favorites - Jordan have been dominant throughout the competition and currently top Group C. Iran, however, are more than capable of putting up a fight. The real question is whether the visitors can find the motivation for a match with so little at stake.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Jordan and Iran:
- played 7 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 3 for today's home team and 4 for the guests;
- the home team averages 73 points per match, the guests - 78.43;
- average total match points - 151.43.
The last confrontation took place on 27 February 2026 at the venue of Iran and ended with a score of 60:73.
Head-to-head statistics Jordan - Iran
Jordan Team Overview
Jordan head into this clash in red-hot form, riding a four-game winning streak in World Cup qualifying. They’ve impressed on both ends of the floor, averaging 88.7 points per game while conceding just 78.5. Most of their victories have come by wide margins, underlining their growing dominance in the region. A key factor in their recent surge has been the naturalization of Jaylen Harris, a former NBA player whose skill set puts him a cut above the local talent.
The current roster also features standout performances from Al-Dwairi and Ibrahim. Thanks largely to this trio - along with Saleh - Jordan demolished Iraq in their last outing, cruising to a 108-59 win and sealing a spot in the second round of qualifiers. Expect Jordan to stay focused against Iran, with top spot in the group on the line (Iran trail by just one point).
Match Results: Jordan
Iran Team Overview
Iran are riding an impressive run, winning eight of their last ten games and dropping only two. They have also claimed three victories in four qualifying rounds-their sole defeat coming at the hands of Jordan. Averaging 78 points scored and conceding just 70 per game, those numbers were more than enough to secure a spot in the second stage of qualification.
In recent years, under Greek head coach Manolopoulos, Iran have firmly established themselves as one of the continent’s top national teams, finishing third at the 2025 FIBA Asia Cup. However, heading into the July fixtures, Iran are far from their peak form. In their most recent outing, they barely scraped past a much weaker Syria side, edging a 72-68 win. The squad is missing their leader and top scorer Vahedi, and preparations were hampered by a bout of food poisoning affecting several starting five players prior to that game, leaving them with minimal training time.
Match Results: Iran
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 7;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 0; for the visitors on the road - 2;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 36.57;
- Today's home team averages 16.57, while the visitors average 20.
First Quarter Stats: Jordan (home) vs Iran (away)
- Tournament matches played: 1 vs 1;
- Number of wins: 1 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (100%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 22 vs 21;
- Average points conceded: 12 vs 25.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 6;
- Number of losses: 5 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 37.3 (scored - 18.7, conceded - 18.6) vs 36.9 (scored - 19.1, conceded - 17.8).
- Jordan scored under 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in 6 of last 7 games against Iran.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 7;
- number of wins for the home team - 3, for the away team - 4.
Statistics: Jordan vs Iran
- number of tournament matches played: 4 vs 4;
- number of wins: 4 (100%) vs 3 (75%);
- number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (25%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 1;
- number of away wins for the away team: 1.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 6 vs 8;
- number of losses: 4 vs 2;
- number of home wins for the home team: 2;
- number of away wins for the away team: 3.
- Iran won with a +10.5 points handicap in 23 of last 25 games.
- Iran won with a +10.5 points handicap in last 12 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 73, for the away team - 78.43;
- average total points in H2H matches - 151.43.
Statistics: Jordan vs Iran
- average total in the tournament: 145.25 vs 148;
- average total points scored: 88.75 vs 78;
- average total points conceded: 56.5 vs 70;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 44.5 vs 38.5;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 44.25 vs 39.5;
- Jordan: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 74;
- Iran: average total points scored away in the tournament - 86;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 78.5 (home - 75.33) vs 75.4 (away - 73.25).
- Iran have scored over 68.5 points in 6 of last 7 games against Jordan.
- Iran have scored over 68.5 points in 7 of last 8 away games.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The visitors come into this one in impressive form - they consistently stay competitive thanks to a well-structured offense. The hosts, meanwhile, traditionally dictate the tempo at home with their high-paced attack and tight defense. However, Iran have covered a +10.5 handicap in 23 of their last 25 outings. With that in mind, we believe the smarter play is on the under, as Iran will be without not only Vahedi but also another key playmaker, Yakhchali, making it unlikely they’ll put up big numbers against Jordan’s formidable defense. On the flip side, the hosts are unlikely to go all out in what’s essentially a low-stakes contest. Our pick: Under 146.5.No comments
Betting Tips: Jordan - Iran
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