Celtics vs Raptors Prediction 10 January 2026
🔊 Can the hosts keep up their successful run this season? In an NBA regular-season clash, Boston will face off against Toronto. Despite a recent setback, the Celtics are capable of delivering solid defensive performances. The visitors are also among the leaders in this aspect. This showdown might turn into a low-scoring affair.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical analysis of previous official games between the Boston Celtics and Toronto Raptors:
- They have played 63 games;
- Wins (including overtime): 39 for the home team today and 24 for the visitors;
- The hosts average 106.19 points per game, while the visitors average 103.44;
- The average total points per game is 209.63.
Their last encounter took place on 21 December 2025 at the Toronto Raptors' court and ended with a score of 96-112.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Boston Celtics Team Overview
It's reasonable to predict a scenario where Boston continues to play at a deliberately slow pace. Sure, they enjoy picking up the tempo, but Toronto aren't the kind of opponents you can afford to do that against. Especially considering their recent loss to Denver (110-114). Given that the Nuggets were missing their main star, the Celtics' defeat looks like a major setback. This only adds motivation for them to step up their game defensively.
Boston rank as the second-best team in the tournament in terms of points allowed, conceding just 110.6 per game. Additionally, they perform quite well in blocking shots, averaging 5.4 per game, which places them seventh. Coupled with minimizing turnovers, fans can expect a pragmatic-albeit occasionally explosive-yet overall effective style of basketball.
Match Results: Boston Celtics

Toronto Raptors Team Overview
Toronto's basketball team might opt for a highly pragmatic strategy in their upcoming matchup. They recently edged out Charlotte with a 97-96 victory. The Canadians excel at defending their own half. Considering it's an away game and their three-point shooting hasn't been stellar, focusing on defense makes sense. The players are gifted in terms of physical attributes, and their tactical execution is on point.
Overall, the visitors are in excellent form, boasting four wins in their last five games. They've had high-scoring encounters, such as the one against Atlanta (134-117). However, it's clear that their upcoming opponents won't allow them to pick up the pace significantly. Barrett and his teammates can make decisive plays on the opponent's side of the court, but don't expect a showtime offense.
Match Results: Toronto Raptors
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 63;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 15; for the visitors on the road - 9;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 51.76;
- Today's home team averages 27.03, while the visitors average 24.73.
First Quarter Stats: Boston Celtics (home) vs Toronto Raptors (away)
- Tournament matches played: 19 vs 21;
- Number of wins: 13 (68.42%) vs 12 (57.14%);
- Number of losses: 6 (31.58%) vs 7 (33.33%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 2 (9.52%).
- Average points scored: 30.32 vs 29.1;
- Average points conceded: 27.53 vs 28.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 5;
- Number of losses: 5 vs 5;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 60.7 (scored - 31.3, conceded - 29.4) vs 53 (scored - 25.6, conceded - 27.4).
- Boston Celtics scored over 26.5 points in the 1st quarter in 9 of last 10 games against Toronto Raptors (NBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 63;
- Home team wins - 39, away team wins - 24.
- Toronto Raptors won with a +15.5 points handicap in 13 of last 15 away games (NBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 106.19, for the away team - 103.44;
- average total points in H2H matches - 209.63.
Statistics: Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors
- average total in the tournament: 227.78 vs 226;
- average total points scored: 117.65 vs 114.05;
- average total points conceded: 110.13 vs 111.95;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 60.48 vs 56.64;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 57.18 vs 56.82;
- Boston Celtics: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 118.53;
- Toronto Raptors: average total points scored away in the tournament - 113.62;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 121.2 (home - 114.25) vs 110.6 (away - 101.75).
- Over 215.5 points scored in 12 of last 13 Boston Celtics home games (NBA).
- Over 215.5 points scored in last 7 Boston Celtics games (NBA).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Bookmakers are suggesting that Boston might have an easy ride in this matchup. Indeed, Mazzulla's squad has been impressive on their home court. Additionally, the visitors will have their main option, Ingram, on the floor. Therefore, the Canadians will likely need to rely heavily on their defensive game. The Celtics excel in this area as well. As a result, we could witness a serious tactical battle where most possessions aren't played at a high pace. Considering this, our editorial team recommends looking at the under 228.5 points total.