Olympiacos vs Zalgiris Prediction 12 November 2025
🔊 Olympiacos and Zalgiris are set to clash in Piraeus to determine the stronger side in this thrilling encounter. Both teams sit at the top of the EuroLeague standings, and this matchup could significantly impact their future prospects. Can the Lithuanians once again neutralize their opponent's star-studded offense? We'll find out soon, but for now, let's analyze the game and offer an insightful prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of the previous official games between Olympiacos and Zalgiris:
- They have faced each other 34 times;
- Victories (including overtime): 21 for the current home team and 13 for the visitors;
- The home team averages 77.91 points per game, while the visitors average 74.82;
- The average total score per game is 152.74.
The last encounter took place on 02 January 2025 at Zalgiris' court and ended with a score of 85-92.
Head-to-head statistics Olympiacos - Zalgiris
Olympiacos Team Overview
Olympiacos are showcasing consistent form in the EuroLeague. Winning four out of their last five games highlights their effectiveness both offensively and defensively. They allow few points on average, thanks to their tight defense and player discipline on the court. One of their strengths lies in controlling the pace and executing long-range shots. It's noteworthy that Olympiacos often find success by starting matches with a powerful opening.
In the recent round, Bartzokas's squad confidently defeated Partizan at home (80-71). However, as has been the case several times this season, the quality of their basketball has faced criticism. Particularly, their poor three-point shooting, which places Olympiacos second to last in this category. For now, the club relies heavily on their formidable defense, which allows just 80 points on average (2nd place). There might be an improvement in their offensive play, as Evans made his return from a severe injury last weekend.
Match Results: Olympiacos
Zalgiris Kaunas Team Overview
Zalgiris are riding high on a wave of success, boasting five consecutive victories that underscore the Lithuanian team's confidence. They effectively capitalize on fast breaks and maintain an impressive three-point shooting percentage. It's crucial to note their ability to adapt to opponents through a diverse offensive strategy and flexible defense. The last time Zalgiris fell to Olympiacos was in January 2025, and even then it was by a narrow margin, highlighting the club's competitiveness against formidable opponents.
After nine rounds, the Lithuanian squad can boast the best defense in the EuroLeague, allowing just 76.2 points per game. Meanwhile, their offense hasn't faltered significantly compared to last year, averaging 87.1 points (ranked 8th). Notably, Zalgiris lead the league in three-point shooting with a 42.7% success rate. This balanced style of basketball enables them to defeat seemingly more skilled opponents on paper. In recent weeks, William-Goss has been sidelined with an injury, but Lo has stepped up admirably in his absence.
Match Results: Zalgiris Kaunas
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 34;
- Number of first-quarter wins for the home team (on their court) - 8; for the away team (on the road) - 7;
- Average first-quarter total: 37.32;
- Today's home team averages 18.88 points, while the visitors average 18.44 points.
First-Quarter Stats: Olympiacos (home) vs Zalgiris (away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 4;
- Number of wins: 2 (40%) vs 4 (100%);
- Number of losses: 2 (40%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of draws: 1 (20%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 21.2 vs 26.5;
- Average points conceded: 20.2 vs 19.25.
Last 10 Matches (overall):
- Number of wins: 3 vs 8;
- Number of losses: 6 vs 2;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 0;
- Average first-quarter total: 42 (scored - 21.1, conceded - 20.9) vs 38.9 (scored - 21.7, conceded - 17.2).
- Olympiacos have scored fewer than 21.5 points in the first quarter at home in eight consecutive head-to-head games against this team (EuroLeague).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total meetings - 34;
- Home wins - 21, Away wins - 13.
Statistics: Olympiacos vs Zalgiris
- Matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- Wins: 6 (66.67%) vs 7 (77.78%);
- Losses: 3 (33.33%) vs 2 (22.22%);
- Home wins in the tournament: 3;
- Away wins in the tournament: 3.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 8 vs 7;
- Losses: 2 vs 3;
- Home wins: 5;
- Away wins: 3.
- Zalgiris cover the +8.5 spread on the road in 17 of their last 18 games.
- Zalgiris cover the +8.5 spread in 8 consecutive games.
Total Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Average points per game for home team - 77.91, for visitors - 74.82;
- Average total points in head-to-head games - 152.74.
Statistics: Olympiacos vs Zalgiris
- Average total in the tournament: 164.78 vs 163.33;
- Average points scored: 84.78 vs 87.11;
- Average points conceded: 80 vs 76.22;
- Average first-half points scored: 43.56 vs 43.78;
- Average second-half points scored: 41.22 vs 43.33;
- Olympiacos: average points scored at home in the tournament - 78.6;
- Zalgiris: average points scored on the road in the tournament - 88.5;
- Last 10 games (average points scored): 87.5 (home - 84.71) vs 86 (away - 87.5).
- Zalgiris score under 78.5 points on the road in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head EuroLeague encounters.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The game promises to be rich in tactical maneuvers from both teams. Considering the current form of the clubs, we can expect a tightly contested battle with a focus on defensive strategies. Given Žalgiris' recent away game trends, there's a likelihood they won't surpass the 78-point mark due to the host's strong defense. Analyzing the match scenario based on the opponents' conditions and head-to-head trends, a low-scoring encounter appears to be the most probable outcome. We're betting on a total under 165.5 points.No comments
Betting Tips: Olympiacos - Zalgiris Kaunas
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