Bayern vs Alba Prediction 26 September 2026
🏀 On Saturday, basketball fans in Germany are in for a Bundesliga blockbuster as Bayern host Alba in a clash of the league’s heavyweights. These two clubs battled for the championship last spring, with the Berlin franchise snatching the title in a dramatic series. Naturally, the hosts are fired up for revenge - especially after recently delivering a statement win in the EuroLeague to delight their supporters. This is one matchup you simply can’t afford to miss.
Head-to-Head
📊 Bayern and Alba Berlin have faced off 91 times in official competitions. The hosts have claimed 54 victories, while the visitors have come out on top 36 times. Their most recent head-to-head took place on 21 June 2026 on Bayern’s home court in last season’s title-deciding clash, where Alba celebrated a dramatic 84-81 win.
Head-to-head statistics Bayern - Alba
Bayern Munich Team Overview
Bayern have made an impressive start to the new season, kicking things off with victories over Brose Bamberg in the Bundesliga and Hapoel Tel Aviv in the EuroLeague. Naturally, fans and club executives were especially pleased with the success on the international stage, as the Munich side entered as clear underdogs. It’s clear that new head coach Gavel, who arrived this summer, has quickly established a strong rapport with his squad. Bayern not only managed to keep their core from last season intact - Obst, Voigtmann, Hollatz, Lucic - but also strengthened the roster by bringing in Beauchamp, Washington Jr., and Norris. On top of that, Lithuanian guard Jokubaitis has returned after a serious injury that sidelined him for an entire year. The main challenge now is for Bayern to recover physically after an exhausting road battle with Hapoel - but their deep rotation offers plenty of optimism on that front.
Match Results: Bayern Munich
Alba Berlin Team Overview
Alba clinched their 12th league title last spring, but the reigning champions are not resting on their laurels. They’ve already opened the new campaign with back-to-back wins, seeing off Chemnitz and Fraport Skyliners. However, both games proved challenging for the Berlin side, as they’re still working their way into top form. With the roster remaining largely unchanged over the offseason - only minor additions were made to strengthen the bench - Alba are expected to hit their stride sooner rather than later. On the court, playmaker Hermansson continues to pull the strings, with Kyle, Ford, and Wieskamp also making a significant impact. Against Fraport, Angel stood out with an impressive 18-point performance. Now, all eyes are on how the defending champions will fare against a Bayern team that’s made a powerful start to the season.
Match Results: Alba Berlin
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 91;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 23; for the visitors on the road - 19;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 39.51;
- Today's home team averages 19.99, while the visitors average 19.52.
First Quarter Stats: Bayern Munich (home) vs Alba Berlin (away)
- Tournament matches played: 1 vs 0;
- Number of wins: 1 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 30 vs 0;
- Average points conceded: 13 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 5;
- Number of losses: 4 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 1;
- Average first quarter total: 43.2 (scored - 22.4, conceded - 20.8) vs 42.7 (scored - 21.9, conceded - 20.8).
- Over 41.5 points in the 1st quarter in 7 of last 8 Bayern Munich home games against Alba Berlin.
- Over 41.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 6 Bayern Munich games against Alba Berlin (Basketball League).
- Over 41.5 points in the 1st quarter in 6 of last 7 Bayern Munich games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 80.38, for the away team - 77.75;
- average total points in H2H matches - 158.13.
Statistics: Bayern Munich vs Alba Berlin
- average total in the tournament: 180 vs 174;
- average total points scored: 108 vs 91.5;
- average total points conceded: 72 vs 82.5;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 55 vs 41;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 53 vs 50.5;
- Bayern Munich: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 108;
- Alba Berlin: average total points scored away in the tournament - 0;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 85.9 (home - 90.67) vs 83.8 (away - 80.8).
- Bayern Munich have scored under 88.5 points in 14 of last 16 home games against Alba Berlin (Basketball League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 91;
- number of wins for the home team - 54, for the away team - 36.
Statistics: Bayern Munich vs Alba Berlin
- number of tournament matches played: 1 vs 2;
- number of wins: 1 (100%) vs 2 (100%);
- number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 1;
- number of away wins for the away team: 0.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 7 vs 6;
- number of losses: 3 vs 4;
- number of home wins for the home team: 4;
- number of away wins for the away team: 2.
- Alba Berlin won with a +13.5 points handicap in last 5 away games against Bayern Munich.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Bookmakers seem buoyed by Bayern’s triumph over Hapoel, but in doing so, they appear to be seriously underestimating Alba. The Berlin side boasts greater squad cohesion and holds a psychological edge after their springtime final victory over Bayern - on this very court, no less. Add to that the fatigue factor for Bayern, who have just two days to recover from their European clash. All signs point to a much tighter contest than the odds suggest. Our pick: back the visitors with a +11.5 handicap.
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Betting Tips: Bayern Munich - Alba Berlin
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