Panathinaikos vs Olympiacos Prediction
🔊 On Wednesday, Panathinaikos host Olympiacos in Game 4 of the Greek Championship playoff finals. So far, both teams have defended home court, trading victories, and now the visitors head to Athens leading the series 2-1. Can Bartzokas’ men clinch the title on the road, or will it all come down to a decisive Game 5 back in Piraeus? We’ll find out soon enough, but for now, let’s break down what to expect from this clash and offer a well-founded prediction for your best bet.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Panathinaikos and Olympiacos:
- played 118 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 51 for today's home team and 67 for the guests;
- the home team averages 73.08 points per match, the guests - 74.55;
- average total match points - 147.64.
The last confrontation took place on 08 June 2026 at the venue of Olympiacos and ended with a score of 102:92.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Panathinaikos Team Overview
Panathinaikos are showcasing impressive offensive firepower this season, averaging 91.1 points per game while conceding 79.1 on the defensive end. Over their last ten outings, they have split their results evenly with five wins and five losses, highlighting their inconsistency at this crucial stage of the campaign.
At home, Panathinaikos consistently maintain a high tempo, putting up an average of 87.8 points and allowing 85 over their past ten games. The team’s main strengths lie in efficient shooting and their ability to sustain intensity even against top-tier opposition. Their most recent clash in the finals series against Olympiacos ended in a 10-point defeat. Ataman’s squad will need a flawless defensive performance-similar to what they delivered in Game 2-otherwise, it will be their rivals who are celebrating with the gold medals.
Match Results: Panathinaikos

Olympiacos Team Overview
Olympiacos head into this clash in near-perfect shape-nine wins from their last ten games underline the visitors’ impressive form and confidence ahead of a crucial showdown in Athens.
The team have been highly efficient offensively, averaging 96.1 points per game while maintaining a solid defensive record, conceding just 78 on average. Over their last ten outings, the visitors have ramped up their offensive tempo to 92.1 points scored and allowed only 74.3 per contest, further cementing their status as favourites in this high-stakes encounter. However, Olympiacos struggled badly in their previous away game against Panathinaikos. Will things be different this time?
Match Results: Olympiacos
Prediction for the 1st quarter
1st Quarter Statistics: Panathinaikos (home) vs Olympiacos (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- wins: 7 (46.67%) vs 12 (80%);
- losses: 8 (53.33%) vs 3 (20%);
- draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- average total points scored: 22.2 vs 23.27;
- average total points conceded: 21.33 vs 17.53.
Last 10 Matches (overall):
- wins: 2 vs 9;
- losses: 8 vs 1;
- draws: 0 vs 0;
- average 1st quarter total: 38.5 (scored - 18, conceded - 20.5) vs 39.5 (scored - 23.5, conceded - 16).
- Panathinaikos scored under 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in 14 of last 16 home games against Olympiacos.
- Panathinaikos scored under 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in 9 of last 10 games.
- Panathinaikos scored under 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 6 games (A1 Basketball League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 118;
- number of wins for the home team - 51, for the away team - 67.
Statistics: Panathinaikos vs Olympiacos
- number of tournament matches played: 24 vs 24;
- number of wins: 24 (77.42%) vs 30 (96.77%);
- number of losses: 7 (22.58%) vs 1 (3.23%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 13;
- number of away wins for the away team: 14.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 5 vs 9;
- number of losses: 5 vs 1;
- number of home wins for the home team: 3;
- number of away wins for the away team: 3.
- Panathinaikos won with a +4.5 points handicap in last 8 home games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 73.08, for the away team - 74.55;
- average total points in H2H matches - 147.64.
Statistics: Panathinaikos vs Olympiacos
- average total in the tournament: 170.32 vs 174.19;
- average total points scored: 91.19 vs 96.13;
- average total points conceded: 79.13 vs 78.06;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 46.77 vs 47.58;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 43.58 vs 48.55;
- Panathinaikos: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 94.87;
- Olympiacos: average total points scored away in the tournament - 93.87;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 87.8 (home - 90.8) vs 92.1 (away - 88.75).
- Panathinaikos have scored under 87.5 points in 35 of last 37 home games against Olympiacos (A1 Basketball League).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams have been consistently high-scoring this season, and recent trends only reinforce the expectation of another shootout. Panathinaikos tend to play at a fast tempo on their home court- the total has gone over 165.5 in six of their last seven games in Athens. Olympiacos are in formidable form as well, averaging over 92 points per game across their last ten outings. Their most recent head-to-head clash produced a combined 194 points, proving that the high stakes of this rivalry don't stop either side's stars from piling up the points. Backing over 162.5 total points looks like a well-founded prediction here.
