Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos Prediction
🔊 Wednesday in Piraeus sees the opening game of the Greek Championship playoff finals as Olympiacos host Panathinaikos. This is the country’s marquee showdown, and this year there’s extra intrigue: at the end of May, Olympiacos clinched the EuroLeague title right on Panathinaikos’ home court in Athens. Can the visitors exact revenge for that painful blow? We have our doubts, but let’s break down the matchup and look for the best prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Olympiacos and Panathinaikos:
- played 115 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 65 for today's home team and 50 for the guests;
- the home team averages 74.39 points per match, the guests - 72.94;
- average total match points - 147.33.
The last confrontation took place on 30 March 2026 at the venue of Panathinaikos and ended with a score of 94:101.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Olympiacos Team Overview
Olympiacos come into the game riding a phenomenal run of form, having racked up ten consecutive victories. Over their last ten outings, the squad average 95.8 points per game while conceding just 72.5-an impressive display of balance between offense and defense. Their season scoring numbers are even higher, with 97.7 points per contest and a respectable defensive mark of 78 points allowed on average.
The team consistently surpasses the 90-point mark at home and demonstrates reliable shooting both from beyond the arc and mid-range. This high tempo enables them to dictate the pace of play effectively. Bartzokas’ men have rightfully claimed the title of Europe’s top side and enter this clash as clear favorites, even against a powerhouse like Panathinaikos.
Match Results: Olympiacos
Panathinaikos Team Overview
Panathinaikos are also in impressive form, having claimed seven wins in their last ten outings and riding a four-game winning streak heading into this heated derby. Over that stretch, they’re averaging 91.4 points per game, but their defense has looked vulnerable, conceding 85.6 points on average-significantly higher than their season mark of 78.9.
Panathinaikos thrive in high-tempo contests and frequently push games past the century mark with their aggressive offense, yet their defense often struggles against elite opposition. In their most recent head-to-head, they fell to Olympiacos 94-101. Can the Athens powerhouse turn the tables and claim revenge on the road?
Match Results: Panathinaikos
Prediction for the 1st quarter
1st Quarter Statistics: Olympiacos (home) vs Panathinaikos (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- wins: 7 (50%) vs 11 (78.57%);
- losses: 7 (50%) vs 2 (14.29%);
- draws: 0 (0%) vs 1 (7.14%).
- average total points scored: 23.86 vs 22.93;
- average total points conceded: 20.29 vs 17.43.
Last 10 Matches (overall):
- wins: 8 vs 5;
- losses: 2 vs 5;
- draws: 0 vs 0;
- average 1st quarter total: 41.8 (scored - 24.1, conceded - 17.7) vs 40.3 (scored - 20.5, conceded - 19.8).
- Over 38.5 points in the 1st quarter in 11 of last 12 Olympiacos games against Panathinaikos (A1 Basketball League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 115;
- number of wins for the home team - 65, for the away team - 50.
Statistics: Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos
- number of tournament matches played: 24 vs 24;
- number of wins: 28 (100%) vs 23 (82.14%);
- number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 5 (17.86%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 14;
- number of away wins for the away team: 11.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 10 vs 7;
- number of losses: 0 vs 3;
- number of home wins for the home team: 6;
- number of away wins for the away team: 4.
- Panathinaikos won with a +11.5 points handicap in 26 of last 27 games against Olympiacos.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 74.39, for the away team - 72.94;
- average total points in H2H matches - 147.33.
Statistics: Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos
- average total in the tournament: 175.79 vs 171.5;
- average total points scored: 97.79 vs 92.54;
- average total points conceded: 78 vs 78.96;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 48.43 vs 48.07;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 49.36 vs 43.54;
- Olympiacos: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 99.14;
- Panathinaikos: average total points scored away in the tournament - 88.29;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 95.8 (home - 94.5) vs 91.4 (away - 86.2).
- Panathinaikos have scored over 78.5 points in 9 of last 10 games against Olympiacos.
⭐ Editors’ Prediction
All the data points to a fast-paced, attack-minded contest: Olympiacos consistently rack up high scores at home, while Panathinaikos respond with quick transitions but struggle defensively. Seven of Panathinaikos’ last eight games have gone over the 165.5 total, and Olympiacos have seen the over 170.5 line hit in six straight home fixtures-underscoring a clear trend toward high-scoring encounters, especially when these rivals meet in Piraeus. With that in mind, backing the over 164.5 total points looks like a well-founded prediction.
Betting Tips: Olympiacos - Panathinaikos
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