Baskonia vs Besiktas Prediction 9 October 2026
🏀 Saski Baskonia welcome Besiktas to their home court for Round 4 of the EuroLeague. Both teams are renowned for their uncompromising, high-octane style and physical intensity. For Baskonia, their home arena has long been a fortress, and last round’s win over Olimpia showed the Basques are starting to rediscover their trademark rhythm. Meanwhile, Besiktas - back in Europe’s top flight with an ambitious roster - are aiming to notch a second straight road victory.
Head-to-Head
📊These sides have never faced each other before.
Saski Baskonia are bouncing back
Saski Baskonia made a sluggish start to the season but have gradually found their rhythm, stringing together back-to-back wins. First, they saw off Olimpia Milan in the EuroLeague, then followed up with a victory over Girona in the Spanish league. Lawson was the standout performer against the Italians, posting 16 points and emerging as the Basques’ early leader after three rounds. Duarte and Santos have also contributed solidly, with Santos - who only joined the squad a week ago - already providing a significant boost in the paint, previously the franchise’s biggest weakness.
Baskonia’s main issue remains their defense. Over their opening three games, they have allowed an average of 97.7 points per contest - one of the worst marks in the competition, much like last season. Unless they address this flaw, even making a push for the play-in could prove challenging, given how fierce the competition is across all tiers of the standings this year.
Match Results: Saski Baskonia
Beşiktaş: Can they shore up their defense in the paint?
Beşiktaş are back in the EuroLeague after a 14-year absence, having received a special invitation. Despite the long break, the Turkish side boast a solid roster. Serbian head coach Alimpijević enters his fourth season at the helm, and his system is already well established. Scottie Wilbekin stands out as their most dangerous weapon - a seasoned guard with extensive European experience who has the ability to change the course of a game single-handedly. For Baskonia, containing him will be the top defensive challenge. Wilbekin is joined in the backcourt by Dotson, who averaged 10.0 points per game in last season’s EuroCup and helped propel the team to the final. His speed and ability to ignite fast breaks are the foundation of Beşiktaş’s up-tempo offense.
However, there’s a major concern up front. Malian center Sissoko has frozen his contract due to injury, leaving the squad critically thin at the five spot. Žižić is forced to shoulder most of the workload in the paint, and against Santos and Baskonia’s fresh bigs, his stamina and foul trouble could become decisive factors. Another storyline to watch: Omoruyi. The former Saski man returns to Vitoria as an opponent - expect his motivation to be through the roof.
Match Results: Besiktas
Total Points Prediction
On average, Saski Baskonia score 87.6 points per game, while Besiktas average 95. However, it’s hard to overlook the trend: the Istanbul side have failed to surpass the 94.5-point mark in eleven of their last twelve outings. The smart play here is to back the under 94.5 individual total for the visitors, with odds at 1.37.
Prediction on the Outcome
There’s an intriguing trend here: Baskonia have avoided defeats by more than three points in 13 of their last 15 home games. With that in mind, it makes sense to back the home side with a +3.5 handicap at odds of 1.46.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The home court in Vitoria is renowned as one of the toughest venues in Europe. Duarte has seamlessly integrated into the system, while Santos has shored up the team's weakest spot. Beşiktaş bring plenty of attacking firepower, but without Sissoko, their frontline looks vulnerable. Still, Saski's defense remains a genuine concern. If Wilbekin and Brown both find their rhythm, the Basques' home advantage could quickly disappear. Beşiktaş have already shown they can perform on the road. With both teams featuring some of the EuroLeague's leakiest defenses, this clash is likely to turn into a high-scoring shootout. We're backing over 175 total points.
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Betting Tips: Saski Baskonia - Besiktas
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